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Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Bayesian models have become very popular over the last years in several fields such as signal processing, statistics, and machine learning. Bayesian inference requires the approximation of complicated integrals involving posterior…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-20 Luca Martino , Víctor Elvira

From its inception in the 1950s to the modern frontiers of applied statistics, Markov chain Monte Carlo has been one of the most ubiquitous and successful methods in statistical computing. In that time its development has been fueled by…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-11 Michael Betancourt

Monte-Carlo techniques are standard numerical tools for exploring non-Gaussian and multivariate likelihoods. Many variants of the original Metropolis-Hastings algorithm have been proposed to increase the sampling efficiency. Motivated by…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-31 Maximilian Philipp Herzog , Heinrich von Campe , Rebecca Maria Kuntz , Lennart Röver , Björn Malte Schäfer

We introduce and discuss Monte Carlo methods in quantum field theories. Methods of independent Monte Carlo, such as random sampling and importance sampling, and methods of dependent Monte Carlo, such as Metropolis sampling and Hamiltonian…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2020-12-01 Anosh Joseph

Recent advances in stochastic gradient variational inference have made it possible to perform variational Bayesian inference with posterior approximations containing auxiliary random variables. This enables us to explore a new synthesis of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-20 Tim Salimans , Diederik P. Kingma , Max Welling

This is a concise mathematical introduction to Monte Carlo methods, a rich family of algorithms with far-reaching applications in science and engineering. Monte Carlo methods are an exciting subject for mathematical statisticians and…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-28 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Omar Al-Ghattas

The data augmentation (DA) algorithms are popular Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms often used for sampling from intractable probability distributions. This review article comprehensively surveys DA MCMC algorithms, highlighting…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-18 Vivekananda Roy , Kshitij Khare , James P. Hobert

Bayesian computation crucially relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. In the case of massive data sets, running the Metropolis-Hastings sampler to draw from the posterior distribution becomes prohibitive due to the large…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-07 Roberto Casarin , Radu V. Craiu , Fabrizio Leisen

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are generally regarded as the gold standard technique for Bayesian inference. They are theoretically well-understood and conceptually simple to apply in practice. The drawback of MCMC is that in…

Computation · Statistics 2019-07-17 Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead

Stellar oscillations can provide a wealth of information about a star, which can be extracted from observed time series of the star's brightness or radial velocity. In this paper we address the question of how to extract as much information…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Brendon J. Brewer , Timothy R. Bedding , Hans Kjeldsen , Dennis Stello

In this paper, we propose an approach for an application of Bayesian optimization using Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and concepts from the statistical physics of classical systems. Our method leverages the power of modern machine learning…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-06 Anton Lebedev , Thomas Warford , M. Emre Şahin

A review of Bayesian restoration of digital images based on Monte Carlo techniques is presented. The topics covered include Likelihood, Prior and Posterior distributions, Poisson, Binay symmetric channel, and Gaussian channel models of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2007-05-23 K. P. N. Murthy , M. Janani , B. Shenbga Priya

The estimation of cosmological parameters from precision observables is an important industry with crucial ramifications for particle physics. This article discusses the statistical methods presently used in cosmological data analysis,…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-12-15 Andrew R Liddle

Bayesian statistics is a cornerstone of imaging sciences, underpinning many and varied approaches from Markov random fields to score-based denoising diffusion models. In addition to powerful image estimation methods, the Bayesian paradigm…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-15 David Y. W. Thong , Charlesquin Kemajou Mbakam , Marcelo Pereyra

We consider the problem of optimizing a real-valued continuous function $f$ using a Bayesian approach, where the evaluations of $f$ are chosen sequentially by combining prior information about $f$, which is described by a random process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-11-22 Romain Benassi , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez

Factor analysis is a flexible technique for assessment of multivariate dependence and codependence. Besides being an exploratory tool used to reduce the dimensionality of multivariate data, it allows estimation of common factors that often…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-19 Kelly C. M. Gonçalves , Afonso C. B. Silva

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo method is the dominant paradigm for posterior computation in Bayesian analysis. It is common to control computation time by making approximations to the Markov transition kernel. Comparatively little attention…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-30 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Sayan Mukherjee , David Dunson

We apply Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to the problem of parametric galaxy modeling, estimating posterior distributions of galaxy properties such as ellipticity and brightness for more than 100,000 images of galaxies taken from DC2, a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-20 James J. Buchanan , Michael D. Schneider , Kerianne Pruett , Robert E. Armstrong

Estimates of orbital parameters were made using a Bayesian optimization technique on astrometric data for 25 visual binary systems catalogued a century ago by the ninth Astronomer Royal, Sir Frank Dyson. An advantage of this method is that…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-28 Isabella Soh Xiao Si , Michael D. Rhodes , Edwin Budding , Timothy Banks