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This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

This research examines the use of Large Language Models (LLMs) in predicting time series, with a specific focus on the LLMTIME model. Despite the established effectiveness of LLMs in tasks such as text generation, language translation, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Rui Cao , Qiao Wang

How to handle time features shall be the core question of any time series forecasting model. Ironically, it is often ignored or misunderstood by deep-learning based models, even those baselines which are state-of-the-art. This behavior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Li Shen , Yuning Wei , Yangzhu Wang

In the current context of Big Data, the nature of many forecasting problems has changed from predicting isolated time series to predicting many time series from similar sources. This has opened up the opportunity to develop competitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Hansika Hewamalage , Christoph Bergmeir , Kasun Bandara

Despite their simplicity, linear models perform well at time series forecasting, even when pitted against deeper and more expensive models. A number of variations to the linear model have been proposed, often including some form of feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 William Toner , Luke Darlow

Time series forecasting is at the core of important application domains posing significant challenges to machine learning algorithms. Recently neural network architectures have been widely applied to the problem of time series forecasting.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-28 Chrysoula Kosma , Giannis Nikolentzos , Nancy Xu , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Quantum algorithms have the potential to enhance machine learning across a variety of domains and applications. In this work, we show how quantum machine learning can be used to improve financial forecasting. First, we use classical and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-05 Sohum Thakkar , Skander Kazdaghli , Natansh Mathur , Iordanis Kerenidis , André J. Ferreira-Martins , Samurai Brito

Accurate time-series forecasting is crucial in various scientific and industrial domains, yet deep learning models often struggle to capture long-term dependencies and adapt to data distribution shifts over time. We introduce Future-Guided…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Skye Gunasekaran , Assel Kembay , Hugo Ladret , Rui-Jie Zhu , Laurent Perrinet , Omid Kavehei , Jason Eshraghian

Financial market risk forecasting involves applying mathematical models, historical data analysis and statistical methods to estimate the impact of future market movements on investments. This process is crucial for investors to develop…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Jinxin Xu , Kaixian Xu , Yue Wang , Qinyan Shen , Ruisi Li

Studying the reliability of complex systems using machine learning techniques involves facing a series of technical and practical challenges, ranging from the intrinsic nature of the system and data to the difficulties in modeling and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Maria Luz Gamiz , Fernando Navas-Gomez , Rafael Nozal-Cañadas , Rocio Raya-Miranda

The growing instability of both global and domestic economic environments has increased the risk of financial distress at the household level. However, traditional econometric models often rely on delayed and aggregated data, limiting their…

Financial time-series forecasting is one of the most challenging domains in the field of time-series analysis. This is mostly due to the highly non-stationary and noisy nature of financial time-series data. With progressive efforts of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-17 Mostafa Shabani , Dat Thanh Tran , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis

The recent development of foundation models for time series data has generated considerable interest in using such models across a variety of applications. Although foundation models achieve state-of-the-art predictive performance, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Coen Adler , Yuxin Chang , Felix Draxler , Samar Abdi , Padhraic Smyth

Deep learning is rapidly becoming a go-to tool for many artificial intelligence problems due to its ability to outperform other approaches and even humans at many problems. Despite its popularity we are still unable to accurately predict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-30 Daniel Justus , John Brennan , Stephen Bonner , Andrew Stephen McGough

Organizing and managing cryptocurrency portfolios and decision-making on transactions is crucial in this market. Optimal selection of assets is one of the main challenges that requires accurate prediction of the price of cryptocurrencies.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Arash Peik , Mohammad Ali Zare Chahooki , Amin Milani Fard , Mehdi Agha Sarram

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has recently shown its capabilities for almost every field of life. Machine Learning, which is a subset of AI, is a `HOT' topic for researchers. Machine Learning outperforms other classical forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Gang He , Khwaja Mutahir Ahmad , Wenxin Yu , Xiaochuan Xu , Jay Kumar

Time series has attracted a lot of attention in many fields today. Time series forecasting algorithm based on complex network analysis is a research hotspot. How to use time series information to achieve more accurate forecasting is a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Tianxiang Zhan , Fuyuan Xiao

Anomaly detection in time series is a complex task that has been widely studied. In recent years, the ability of unsupervised anomaly detection algorithms has received much attention. This trend has led researchers to compare only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Julien Audibert , Pietro Michiardi , Frédéric Guyard , Sébastien Marti , Maria A. Zuluaga

While time series momentum is a well-studied phenomenon in finance, common strategies require the explicit definition of both a trend estimator and a position sizing rule. In this paper, we introduce Deep Momentum Networks -- a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

We use multi-class machine learning classifiers to identify the stocks that outperform or underperform other stocks. The resulting long-short portfolios achieve annual Sharpe ratios of 1.67 (value-weighted) and 3.35 (equal-weighted), with…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-24 Yang Bai , Kuntara Pukthuanthong