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The P-splines of Eilers and Marx (1996) combine a B-spline basis with a discrete quadratic penalty on the basis coefficients, to produce a reduced rank spline like smoother. P-splines have three properties that make them very popular as…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-10 Simon N. Wood

We consider the nonparametric multivariate isotonic regression problem, where the regression function is assumed to be nondecreasing with respect to each predictor. Our goal is to construct a Bayesian credible interval for the function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

This paper introduces a boosted conformal procedure designed to tailor conformalized prediction intervals toward specific desired properties, such as enhanced conditional coverage or reduced interval length. We employ machine learning…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Ran Xie , Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candès

The current standard for confidence interval construction in the context of a possibly misspecified model is to use an interval based on the sandwich estimate of variance. These intervals provide asymptotically correct coverage, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-31 James W. Harmon , Peter D. Hoff

The fairness of a deep neural network is strongly affected by dataset bias and spurious correlations, both of which are usually present in modern feature-rich and complex visual datasets. Due to the difficulty and variability of the task,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Rebecca S Stone , Nishant Ravikumar , Andrew J Bulpitt , David C Hogg

We propose a new penalty, the springback penalty, for constructing models to recover an unknown signal from incomplete and inaccurate measurements. Mathematically, the springback penalty is a weakly convex function. It bears various…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-22 Congpei An , Hao-Ning Wu , Xiaoming Yuan

Within the statistical and machine learning literature, regularization techniques are often used to construct sparse (predictive) models. Most regularization strategies only work for data where all predictors are treated identically, such…

Computation · Statistics 2020-12-16 Sander Devriendt , Katrien Antonio , Tom Reynkens , Roel Verbelen

We present an estimation procedure for nonlinear mixed-effects models in which the population trajectory is represented by penalized splines and adapted to individuals via subject-specific transformation parameters. By exploiting the mixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Matteo D'Alessandro , Magne Thoresen , Øystein Sørensen

Subsampling methods have been recently proposed to speed up least squares estimation in large scale settings. However, these algorithms are typically not robust to outliers or corruptions in the observed covariates. The concept of influence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-20 Brian McWilliams , Gabriel Krummenacher , Mario Lucic , Joachim M. Buhmann

We introduce a novel function-on-function linear quantile regression model to characterize the entire conditional distribution of a functional response for a given functional predictor. Tensor cubic $B$-splines expansion is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang , Semanur Saricam

We present a new method for generating confidence sets within the split conformal prediction framework. Our method performs a trainable transformation of any given conformity score to improve conditional coverage while ensuring exact…

We consider an optimization problem with strongly convex objective and linear inequalities constraints. To be able to deal with a large number of constraints we provide a penalty reformulation of the problem. As penalty functions we use a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-29 Angelia Nedich , Tatiana Tatarenko

Semiparametric regression offers a flexible framework for modeling non-linear relationships between a response and covariates. A prime example are generalized additive models where splines (say) are used to approximate non-linear functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-05 Francis K. C. Hui , Chong You , Han Lin Shang , Samuel Müller

In assessing prediction accuracy of multivariable prediction models, optimism corrections are essential for preventing biased results. However, in most published papers of clinical prediction models, the point estimates of the prediction…

Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Shu Yang , Peng Ding

In high-dimensional and/or non-parametric regression problems, regularization (or penalization) is used to control model complexity and induce desired structure. Each penalty has a weight parameter that indicates how strongly the structure…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-30 Jean Feng , Noah Simon

The estimation of regression parameters in one dimensional broken stick models is a research area of statistics with an extensive literature. We are interested in extending such models by aiming to recover two or more intersecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Georg Hahn , Moulinath Banerjee , Bodhisattva Sen

Function-on-function linear regression is important for understanding the relationship between the response and the predictor that are both functions. In this article, we propose a reproducing kernel Hilbert space approach to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-29 Holger Dette , Jiajun Tang

Nonparametric methods play a central role in modern empirical work. While they provide inference procedures that are more robust to parametric misspecification bias, they may be quite sensitive to tuning parameter choices. We study the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-27 Sebastian Calonico , Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell

Nonconvex penalty methods for sparse modeling in linear regression have been a topic of fervent interest in recent years. Herein, we study a family of nonconvex penalty functions that we call the trimmed Lasso and that offers exact control…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-16 Dimitris Bertsimas , Martin S. Copenhaver , Rahul Mazumder
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