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For the most popular sequential change detection rules such as CUSUM, EWMA, and the Shiryaev-Roberts test, we develop integral equations and a concise numerical method to compute a number of performance metrics, including average detection…

Computation · Statistics 2011-09-15 George V. Moustakides , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We offer a numerical study of the effect of headstarting on the performance of a Shiryaev-Roberts (SR) chart set up to control the mean of a normal process. The study is a natural extension of that previously carried out by Lucas and…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-05 Aleksey S. Polunchenko

The CUSUM procedure is known to be optimal for detecting a change in distribution under a minimax scenario, whereas the Shiryaev-Roberts procedure is optimal for detecting a change that occurs at a distant time horizon. As a simpler…

Computation · Statistics 2011-09-15 George V. Moustakides , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We address the sequential change-point detection problem for the Gaussian model where baseline distribution is Gaussian with variance \sigma^2 and mean \mu such that \sigma^2=a\mu, where a>0 is a known constant; the change is in \mu from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-06 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Nitis Mukhopadhyay

In this paper, we study the quickest change detection with mismatched post-change models. A change point is the time instant at which the distribution of a random process changes. The objective of quickest change detection is to minimize…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-27 Jingxian Wu , Jing Yang

We consider the problem of efficient financial surveillance aimed at "on-the-go" detection of structural breaks (anomalies) in "live"-monitored financial time series. With the problem approached statistically, viz. as that of multi-cyclic…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-04 Andrey Pepelyshev , Aleksey S. Polunchenko

We present a computationally efficient online kernel Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) method for change-point detection that utilizes the maximum over a set of kernel statistics to account for the unknown change-point location. Our approach exhibits…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-07 Song Wei , Yao Xie

We propose a numerical method to evaluate the performance of the emerging Generalized Shiryaev--Roberts (GSR) change-point detection procedure in a "minimax-ish" multi-cyclic setup where the procedure of choice is applied repetitively…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-19 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov , Wenyu Du

The gist of the quickest change-point detection problem is to detect the presence of a change in the statistical behavior of a series of sequentially made observations, and do so in an optimal detection-speed-vs.-"false-positive"-risk…

Computation · Statistics 2015-04-21 Wenyu Du , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov

The problem of quickest change detection (QCD) under transient dynamics is studied, where the change from the initial distribution to the final persistent distribution does not happen instantaneously, but after a series of transient phases.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-13 Shaofeng Zou , Georgios Fellouris , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

In a variety of different settings cumulative sum (CUSUM) procedures have been applied for the sequential detection of structural breaks in the parameters of stochastic models. Yet their performance depends strongly on the time of change…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-07 Stefan Fremdt

We propose two procedures to detect a change in the mean of high-dimensional online data. One is based on a max-type U-statistic and another is based on a sum-type U-statistic. Theoretical properties of the two procedures are explored in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-27 Jun Li

We derive analytically an exact closed-form formula for the standard minimax Average Run Length (ARL) to false alarm delivered by the Generalized Shiryaev-Roberts (GSR) change-point detection procedure devised to detect a shift in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-23 Wenyu Du , Grigory Sokolov , Aleksey S. Polunchenko

After obtaining an accurate approximation for $ARL_0$, we first consider the optimal design of weight parameter for a multivariate EWMA chart that minimizes the stationary average delay detection time (SADDT). Comparisons with moving…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Yanhong Wu , Wei Biao Wu

In this paper, we not only propose an new optimal sequential test of sum of logarithmic likelihood ratio (SLR) but also present the CUSUM sequential test (control chart, stopping time) with the observation-adjusted control limits…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-09 Fuquan Tang , Dong Han

We consider the quickest change-point detection problem in pointwise and minimax settings for general dependent data models. Two new classes of sequential detection procedures associated with the maximal "local" probability of a false alarm…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Serguei M. Pergamenchtchikov , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Classical quickest change detection algorithms require modeling pre-change and post-change distributions. Such an approach may not be feasible for various machine learning models because of the complexity of computing the explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-02 Suya Wu , Enmao Diao , Taposh Banerjee , Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh

We study real-time detection of low-rank changes in the covariance structure of high-dimensional streaming data, motivated by robotic swarm monitoring. Building on the spiked covariance model, we propose the Multi-rank Subspace-CUSUM…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Jonghyeok Lee , Yao Xie , Youngser Park , Jason Hindes , Ira Schwartz , Carey Priebe

In this paper, we consider a non-Bayesian sequential change detection based on the Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) algorithm employed by an energy harvesting sensor where the distributions before and after the change are assumed to be known. In a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-15 Subhrakanti Dey

We consider the problem of quickest changepoint detection under the Average Run Length (ARL) constraint where the pre-change and post-change laws lie in composite families $\mathscr{P}$ and $\mathscr{Q}$ respectively. In such a problem, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Ashwin Ram , Aaditya Ramdas
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