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Energy forecasting is vital for grid reliability and operational efficiency. Although recent advances in time series forecasting have led to progress, existing benchmarks remain limited in spatial and temporal scope and lack multi-energy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Chen Shao , Yue Wang , Zhenyi Zhu , Zhanbo Huang , Sebastian Pütz , Benjamin Schäfer , Tobais Käfer , Michael Färber

Traditionally, it is understood that fluctuations in the equilibrium distribution are not evident in thermodynamic systems of large $N$ (the number of particles in the system) \cite{Huang1}. In this paper we examine the validity of this…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-10-03 Kieran Kelly , Przemysław Repetowicz , Seosamh macRéamoinn

We study multifractal properties in time evolution of a single particle subject to repeated measurements. For quantum systems, we consider circuit models consisting of local unitary gates and local projective measurements. For classical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-10-28 Kohei Yajima , Hisanori Oshima , Ken Mochizuki , Yohei Fuji

To ensure reliable operation of power grids, their frequency shall stay within strict bounds. Multiple sources of disturbances cause fluctuations of the grid frequency, ranging from changing demand over volatile feed-in to energy trading.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-29 Benjamin Schäfer , Marc Timme , Dirk Witthaut

The application of the flow tracing method to power flows in and out of storage units allows to analyse the usage of this technology option in large-scale interconnected electricity systems. We apply this method to a data-driven model of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-26 Bo Tranberg , Mirko Schäfer , Tom Brown , Jonas Hörsch , Martin Greiner

By applying the multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis to the high-frequency tick-by-tick data from Deutsche B\"orse both in the price and in the time domains, we investigate multifractal properties of the time series of logarithmic…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 P. Oswiecimka , J. Kwapien , S. Drozdz

We analyze European temperature variability from station data with the method of detrended fluctuation analysis. This method is known to give a scaling exponent indicating long range correlations in time for temperature anomalies. However,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-10-02 Philipp G Meyer , Holger Kantz

In our previous publication [Kogan et al, Phys. Rev. {\bf 48}, 9404 (1993)] we considered the issue of statistics of radiation diffusively propagating in a disordered medium. The consideration was in the framework of diagrammatic techniques…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 Eugene Kogan , Moshe Kaveh

Accurately evaluating the real-time flexibility of electric vehicles (EVs) is necessary for EV aggregators to offer ancillary services. However, regulation-caused uncertain state-of-charge and random departure behavior complicate the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-21 Yixin Li , Zhengshuo Li

Dynamical systems in nature exhibit self-similar fractal space-time fluctuations on all scales indicating long-range correlations and therefore the statistical normal distribution with implicit assumption of independence, fixed mean and…

General Physics · Physics 2010-02-18 A. M. Selvam

We study a fluctuation relation representing a nonequilibrium equality indicating that the ratio between the distribution of trajectories obtained by exchanging the initial and final positions is characterized by free energy differences for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-27 Kazuhiko Seki

Fluctuations represent a major challenge for the incorporation of electric power from large wind-farms into power grids. Wind farm power output fluctuates strongly in time, over various time scales. Understanding these fluctuations,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2014-12-24 Richard J. A. M. Stevens , Charles Meneveau

Arguably the most important problem in quantitative finance is to understand the nature of stochastic processes that underlie market dynamics. One aspect of the solution to this problem involves determining characteristics of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Kevin E. Bassler , Joseph L. McCauley , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

We experimentally demonstrate that highly structured distributions of work emerge during even the simple task of erasing a single bit. These are signatures of a refined suite of time-reversal symmetries in distinct functional classes of…

80% of all Renewable Energy Power in Germany is installed in tree-like distribution grids. Intermittent power fluctuations from such sources introduce new dynamics into the lower grid layers. At the same time, distributed resources will…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-11 Sabine Auer , Frank Hellmann , Marie Krause , Jürgen Kurths

The detrended cross-correlation coefficient $\rho_{\rm DCCA}$ has recently been proposed to quantify the strength of cross-correlations on different temporal scales in bivariate, non-stationary time series. It is based on the detrended…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-12-09 Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Stanislaw Drozdz

Potential of electrical loads in providing grid ancillary services is often limited due to the uncertainties associated with the load behavior. A knowledge of the expected uncertainties with a load control program would invariably yield to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Soumya Kundu , Jacob Hansen , Jianming Lian , Karan Kalsi

Using the Markovian method, we study the stochastic nature of electrical discharge current fluctuations in the Helium plasma. Sinusoidal trends are extracted from the data set by the Fourier-Detrended Fluctuation analysis and consequently…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-21 S. Kimiagar , M. Sadegh Movahed , S. Khorram , M. Reza Rahimi Tabar

In this work, an analysis of multifractal parameters of daily precipitation series over the Iberian Peninsula was performed in two 30-year periods to explore whether these properties follow any pattern. Fluctuations of precipitation series…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-20 J. Gomez-Gomez , R. Carmona-Cabezas , E. Sanchez-Lopez , E. Gutierrez de Rave , F. J. Jimenez-Hornero

Across a large range of scales, accreting sources show remarkably similar patterns of variability, most notably the log-normality of the luminosity distribution and the linear root-mean square (rms)-flux relationship. These results are…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2024-01-30 Samuel G. D. Turner , Christopher S. Reynolds
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