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Contagion processes on networks, including disease spreading, information diffusion, or social behaviors propagation, can be modeled as simple contagion, i.e. involving one connection at a time, or as complex contagion, in which multiple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-19 Giulia Cencetti , Diego Andrés Contreras , Marco Mancastroppa , Alain Barrat

Targeting influential nodes in complex networks allows fastening or hindering rumors, epidemics, and electric blackouts. Since communities are prevalent in real-world networks, community-aware centrality measures exploit this information to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-02 Stephany Rajeh , Ali Yassin , Ali Jaber , Hocine Cherifi

We present a model of contagion that unifies and generalizes existing models of the spread of social influences and micro-organismal infections. Our model incorporates individual memory of exposure to a contagious entity (e.g., a rumor or…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-01 Peter Sheridan Dodds , Duncan J. Watts

The process of contagiousness spread modelling is well-known in epidemiology. However, the application of spread modelling to banking market is quite recent. In this work, we present a system of ordinary differential equations, simulating…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Olena Kostylenko , Helena Sofia Rodrigues , Delfim F. M. Torres

We discuss the systemic risk implied by the interbank exposures reconstructed with the maximum entropy method. The maximum entropy method severely underestimates the risk of interbank contagion by assuming a fully connected network, while…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-16 M. Andrecut

We introduce a general model for the balance-sheet consistent valuation of interbank claims within an interconnected financial system. Our model represents an extension of clearing models of interdependent liabilities to account for the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-03 Paolo Barucca , Marco Bardoscia , Fabio Caccioli , Marco D'Errico , Gabriele Visentin , Guido Caldarelli , Stefano Battiston

System modeling is a classical approach to ensure their reliability since it is suitable both for a formal verification and for software testing techniques. In the context of model-based testing an approach combining random testing and…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-06-14 Julien Bernard , Pierre-Cyrille Héam , Olga Kouchnarenko

In recent years, it has become apparent that an isolated microprudential approach to capital adequacy requirements of individual institutions is insufficient. It can increase the homogeneity of the financial system and ultimately the cost…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-27 Jana Hlavinova , Birgit Rudloff , Alexander Smirnow

The aim of this paper is to quantify and manage systemic risk caused by default contagion in the interbank market. We model the market as a random directed network, where the vertices represent financial institutions and the weighted edges…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou , Daniel Ritter

In ATM systems, the massive number of interacting entities makes it difficult to identify critical elements and paths of disturbance propagation, as well as to predict the system-wide effects that innovations might have. To this end,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-07 Piero Mazzarisi , Silvia Zaoli , Fabrizio Lillo , Luis Delgado , Gérald Gurtner

This paper develops a continuous framework for analyzing financial contagion that incorporates both geographic proximity and interbank network linkages. The framework characterizes stress propagation through a master equation whose solution…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-05 Tatsuru Kikuchi

Algorithmic systems make decisions that have a great impact in our lives. As our dependency on them is growing so does the need for transparency and holding them accountable. This paper presents a model for evaluating how transparent these…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-07-18 Yiannis Kanellopoulos

Centrality metrics have been used in various networks, such as communication, social, biological, geographic, or contact networks. In particular, they have been used in order to study and analyze targeted attack behaviors and investigated…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Zelin Wan , Yash Mahajan , Beom Woo Kang , Terrence J. Moore , Jin-Hee Cho

Understanding the network structure, and finding out the influential nodes is a challenging issue in the large networks. Identifying the most influential nodes in the network can be useful in many applications like immunization of nodes in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-01-10 Naveen Gupta , Anurag Singh , Hocine Cherifi

Identifying key nodes is crucial for accelerating or impeding dynamic spreading in a network. Community-aware centrality measures tackle this problem by exploiting the community structure of a network. Although there is a growing trend to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-02 Stephany Rajeh , Marinette Savonnet , Eric Leclercq , Hocine Cherifi

This paper provides a framework for modeling financial contagion in a network subject to fire sales and price impacts, but allowing for firms to borrow to cover their shortfall as well. We consider both uncollateralized and collateralized…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-02 Maxim Bichuch , Zachary Feinstein

It had been believed in the conventional practice that the risk of a bank going bankrupt is lessened in a straightforward manner by transferring the risk of loan defaults. But the failure of American International Group in 2008 posed a more…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-17 Yoshiharu Maeno , Kenji Nishiguchi , Satoshi Morinaga , Hirokazu Matsushima

Systemic risk refers to the risk that the financial system is susceptible to failures due to the characteristics of the system itself. The tremendous cost of systemic risk requires the design and implementation of tools for the efficient…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-06 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff , Stefan Weber

This article investigates the causality structure of financial time series. We concentrate on three main approaches to measuring causality: linear Granger causality, kernel generalisations of Granger causality (based on ridge regression and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-17 Anna Zaremba , Tomaso Aste

Hierarchy and centrality are two popular notions used to characterize the importance of entities in complex systems. Indeed, many complex systems exhibit a natural hierarchical structure, and centrality is a fundamental characteristic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-03-03 Stephany Rajeh , Marinette Savonnet , Eric Leclercq , Hocine Cherifi
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