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Modelling random dynamical systems in continuous time, diffusion processes are a powerful tool in many areas of science. Model parameters can be estimated from time-discretely observed processes using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-12 Susanne Pieschner , Christiane Fuchs

This work proposes a method for the two-dimensional simulation of Brownian particles in a fluid with restrictions. The method is based on simple numerical rules between two matrices. One of the matrix represent the identification of all…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-04-24 Eric Plaza

We design and implement a novel algorithm for computing a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimator of the cumulative distribution function of a quantity of interest in problems with random input parameters or initial conditions. Our approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Søren Taverniers , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

The stochastic trajectories of molecules in living cells, as well as the dynamics in many other complex systems, often exhibit memory in their path over long periods of time. In addition, these systems can show dynamic heterogeneities due…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-10 Michał Balcerek , Agnieszka Wyłomańska , Krzysztof Burnecki , Ralf Metzler , Diego Krapf

We study the Riemannian Langevin Algorithm for the problem of sampling from a distribution with density $\nu$ with respect to the natural measure on a manifold with metric $g$. We assume that the target density satisfies a log-Sobolev…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Khashayar Gatmiry , Santosh S. Vempala

We present a novel technique for amortized posterior estimation using Normalizing Flows trained with likelihood-weighted importance sampling. This approach allows for the efficient inference of theoretical parameters in high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Rajneil Baruah

The marginal likelihood plays an important role in many areas of Bayesian statistics such as parameter estimation, model comparison, and model averaging. In most applications, however, the marginal likelihood is not analytically tractable…

Method of parameterizing and smoothing the unknown underling distributions using Bernstein polynomials is proposed, verified and investigated. Any distribution with bounded and smooth enough density can be approximated by the proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-23 Zhong Guan

The Riemannian barycentre is one of the most widely used statistical descriptors for probability distributions on Riemannian manifolds. At present, existing algorithms are able to compute the Riemannian barycentre of a probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Salem Said

In Bayesian statistics, the marginal likelihood is used for model selection and averaging, yet it is often challenging to compute accurately for complex models. Approaches such as bridge sampling, while effective, may suffer from issues of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Giorgio Micaletto , Aki Vehtari

This analysis derives the maximum likelihood estimator and applies Bayesian inference to model geometric Brownian motion, incorporating jump diffusion to account for sudden market shifts. The Bayesian approach is implemented using Markov…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-14 Yifei Yan , Juan Sosa , Carlos Martínez

We introduce the Locally Linear Latent Variable Model (LL-LVM), a probabilistic model for non-linear manifold discovery that describes a joint distribution over observations, their manifold coordinates and locally linear maps conditioned on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-02 Mijung Park , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Ahmad Qamar , Zoltan Szabo , Lars Buesing , Maneesh Sahani

This paper presents a novel mathematical framework for representing uncertainty in large deformation diffeomorphic image registration. The Bayesian posterior distribution over the deformations aligning a moving and a fixed image is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-01-13 Demian Wassermann , Matt Toews , Marc Niethammer , William Wells

The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

Models for distributions of shapes contained within images can be widely used in biomedical applications ranging from tumor tracking for targeted radiation therapy to classifying cells in a blood sample. Our focus is on hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-20 Kelvin Gu , Debdeep Pati , David B. Dunson

Multilinear embedding estimates for the fractional Laplacian are obtained in terms of functionals defined over a hyperbolic surface. Convolution estimates used in the proof enlarge the classical framework of the convolution algebra for…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2012-04-26 William Beckner

Fractional Brownian motion is a self-affine, non-Markovian and translationally invariant generalization of Brownian motion, depending on the Hurst exponent $H$. Here we investigate fractional Brownian motion where both the starting and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-09 Mathieu Delorme , Kay Jörg Wiese

In this paper we consider a new probability sampling methods based on Langevin diffusion dynamics to resolve the problem of existing Monte Carlo algorithms when draw samples from high dimensional target densities. We extent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Z. Zarezadeh , N. Zarezadeh

The efficiency of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) depends on how the underlying geometry of the problem is taken into account. For distributions with strongly varying curvature, Riemannian metrics help in efficient exploration of the target…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-03 Marcelo Hartmann , Mark Girolami , Arto Klami

The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the strong approximation of the integrated empirical process. More precisely, we obtain the exact rate of the approximations by a sequence of weighted Brownian bridges and a weighted Kiefer…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Sergio Alvarez-Andrade , Salim Bouzebda , Aimé Lachal