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Economic complexity methods, and in particular relatedness measures, lack a systematic evaluation and comparison framework. We argue that out-of-sample forecast exercises should play this role, and we compare various machine learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Giambattista Albora , Luciano Pietronero , Andrea Tacchella , Andrea Zaccaria

Nonlinear metrics, such as the F1-score, Matthews correlation coefficient, and Fowlkes-Mallows index, are often used to evaluate the performance of machine learning models, in particular, when facing imbalanced datasets that contain more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Emir Demirović , Peter J. Stuckey

Although adversarial examples and model robustness have been extensively studied in the context of linear models and neural networks, research on this issue in tree-based models and how to make tree-based models robust against adversarial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-12 Hongge Chen , Huan Zhang , Duane Boning , Cho-Jui Hsieh

Tree-based models are used in many high-stakes application domains such as finance and medicine, where robustness and interpretability are of utmost importance. Yet, methods for improving and certifying their robustness are severely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Miklós Z. Horváth , Mark Niklas Müller , Marc Fischer , Martin Vechev

This study addresses the predictive limitation of probabilistic circuits and introduces transformations as a remedy to overcome it. We demonstrate this limitation in robotic scenarios. We motivate that independent component analysis is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-09 Tom Schierenbeck , Vladimir Vutov , Thorsten Dickhaus , Michael Beetz

A common approach to aggregate classification estimates in an ensemble of decision trees is to either use voting or to average the probabilities for each class. The latter takes uncertainty into account, but not the reliability of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Florian Busch , Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Hendrik Blockeel

In this paper, we show that conditional inference trees and ensembles are suitable methods for modeling linguistic variation. As against earlier linguistic applications, however, we claim that their suitability is strongly increased if we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Claus Weihs , Sarah Buschfeld

We consider the task of learning Ising models when the signs of different random variables are flipped independently with possibly unequal, unknown probabilities. In this paper, we focus on the problem of robust estimation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Ashish Katiyar , Vatsal Shah , Constantine Caramanis

When randomized ensemble methods such as bagging and random forests are implemented, a basic question arises: Is the ensemble large enough? In particular, the practitioner desires a rigorous guarantee that a given ensemble will perform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-06 Miles E. Lopes , Suofei Wu , Thomas C. M. Lee

We derive tight bounds on the expected weights of several combinatorial optimization problems for random point sets of size $n$ distributed among the leaves of a balanced hierarchically separated tree. We consider {\it monochromatic} and…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2013-07-29 Béla Csaba , Thomas A. Plick , Ali Shokoufandeh

There are various costs for attackers to manipulate the features of security classifiers. The costs are asymmetric across features and to the directions of changes, which cannot be precisely captured by existing cost models based on…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Yizheng Chen , Shiqi Wang , Weifan Jiang , Asaf Cidon , Suman Jana

Random forest is widely exploited as an ensemble learning method. In many practical applications, however, there is still a significant challenge to learn from imbalanced data. To alleviate this limitation, we propose a deep dynamic boosted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Haixin Wang , Xingzhang Ren , Jinan Sun , Wei Ye , Long Chen , Muzhi Yu , Shikun Zhang

Recently there have been many advances in research on language modeling of source code. Applications range from code suggestion and completion to code summarization. However, complete program synthesis of industry-grade programming…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Sander de Bruin , Vadim Liventsev , Milan Petković

We consider the use of decision trees for decision-making problems under the predict-then-optimize framework. That is, we would like to first use a decision tree to predict unknown input parameters of an optimization problem, and then make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Adam N. Elmachtoub , Jason Cheuk Nam Liang , Ryan McNellis

Tree-ensemble algorithms, such as random forest, are effective machine learning methods popular for their flexibility, high performance, and robustness to overfitting. However, since multiple learners are combined, they are not as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-09 Klest Dedja , Felipe Kenji Nakano , Konstantinos Pliakos , Celine Vens

Decision trees are widely used for non-linear modeling, as they capture interactions between predictors while producing inherently interpretable models. Despite their popularity, performing inference on the non-linear fit remains largely…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Soham Bakshi , Snigdha Panigrahi

In this paper we tackle the problem of point and probabilistic forecasting by describing a blending methodology of machine learning models that belong to gradient boosted trees and neural networks families. These principles were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Ioannis Nasios , Konstantinos Vogklis

The field of machine learning is subject to an increasing interest in models that are not only accurate but also interpretable and robust, thus allowing their end users to understand and trust AI systems. This paper presents a novel method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Valentin Lemaire , Gaël Aglin , Siegfried Nijssen

We present Collaborative Trees, a novel tree model designed for regression prediction, along with its bagging version, which aims to analyze complex statistical associations between features and uncover potential patterns inherent in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-21 Chien-Ming Chi

Many applications require the collection of data on different variables or measurements over many system performance metrics. We term those broadly as measures or variables. Often data collection along each measure incurs a cost, thus it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Donghui Yan , Zhiwei Qin , Songxiang Gu , Haiping Xu , Ming Shao
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