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Ensemble transform Kalman filtering (ETKF) data assimilation is often used to combine available observations with numerical simulations to obtain statistically accurate and reliable state representations in dynamical systems. However, it is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Tongtong Li , Anne Gelb , Yoonsang Lee

We propose a generalised framework for the updating of a prior ensemble to a posterior ensemble, an essential yet challenging part in ensemble-based filtering methods. The proposed framework is based on a generalised and fully Bayesian view…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-29 Margrethe Kvale Loe , Håkon Tjelmeland

Accurate state estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is fundamental to modern aerospace operations across air, sea, and space domains. Online tracking of adversarial unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) is especially challenging due to agile…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Akhil Gupta , Erhan Guven

A data-driven investigation of the flow around a high-rise building is performed combining heterogeneous experimental samples and RANS CFD. The coupling is performed using techniques based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), including…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-01-27 Lucas Villanueva , Miguel Martinez Valero , Anina Sarkic Glumac , Marcello Meldi

Several localized versions of the ensemble Kalman filter have been proposed. Although tests applying such schemes have proven them to be extremely promising, a full basic understanding of the rationale and limitations of localization is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-30 Young-noh Yoon , Edward Ott , Istvan Szunyogh

We address the problem of observation noise misspecification in Bayesian filtering of dynamical systems via recent advances in generalised Bayesian inference. Mis-match in tail decay between the true data generating process and an assumed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Hans Reimann , Sebastian Reich

Accurate estimation and forecasting of energy consumption are important for power-system operation, planning, and demand-side management. In practice, however, complete and timely measurements may not always be available, and the observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Ruoyu Hu , Dahai Yu , Feng Bao , Guang Wang , Guannan Zhang

This manuscript derives locally weighted ensemble Kalman methods from the point of view of ensemble-based function approximation. This is done by using pointwise evaluations to build up a local linear or quadratic approximation of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Philipp Wacker

We investigate the applicability of the data assimilation (DA) to large eddy simulations (LESs) based on the lattice Boltzmann method (LBM). We carry out the observing system simulation experiment of a two-dimensional (2D) forced isotropic…

Many real-world problems require one to estimate parameters of interest, in a Bayesian framework, from data that are collected sequentially in time. Conventional methods for sampling from posterior distributions, such as {Markov Chain Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Jiangqi Wu , Linjie Wen , Peter L Green , Jinglai Li , Simon Maskell

A new ensemble filter that allows for the uncertainty in the prior distribution is proposed and tested. The filter relies on the conditional Gaussian distribution of the state given the model-error and predictability-error covariance…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-19 Michael Tsyrulnikov , Alexander Rakitko

Nonlinear extensions of the Kalman filter (KF), such as the extended Kalman filter (EKF) and the unscented Kalman filter (UKF), are indispensable for state estimation in complex dynamical systems, yet the conditions for a nonlinear KF to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-25 Shida Jiang , Jaewoong Lee , Shengyu Tao , Scott Moura

In this paper, we propose a computational framework to estimate the physical properties that govern the thermal response of laser-irradiated tissue. We focus in particular on two quantities, the absorption and scattering coefficients, which…

Medical Physics · Physics 2023-05-09 Andrea Arnold , Loris Fichera

Ensemble Kalman filters are based on a Gaussian assumption, which can limit their performance in some non-Gaussian settings. This paper reviews two nonlinear, non-Gaussian extensions of the Ensemble Kalman Filter: Gaussian anamorphosis (GA)…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-08 Ian Grooms

The extended Kalman filter (EKF) is a widely adopted method for sensor fusion in navigation applications. A crucial aspect of the EKF is the online determination of the process noise covariance matrix reflecting the model uncertainty. While…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Nadav Cohen , Itzik Klein

In this article, we propose a new filtering algorithm based in the Koopman operator, showing that a nonlinear filtering problem can be seen as an equivalent problem where the dynamics is infinite dimensional, but linear. Using Extended…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Diego Olguín , Axel Osses , Héctor Ramírez

The kinematics of many systems encountered in robotics, mechatronics, and avionics are naturally posed on homogeneous spaces; that is, their state lies in a smooth manifold equipped with a transitive Lie group symmetry. This paper proposes…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-19 Pieter van Goor , Tarek Hamel , Robert Mahony

The filtering distribution captures the statistics of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. Classical particle filters provably approximate this distribution in quite general settings; however they behave…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Edoardo Calvello , Pierre Monmarché , Andrew M. Stuart , Urbain Vaes

Ensemble Kalman inversion (EKI) is a technique for the numerical solution of inverse problems. A great advantage of the EKI's ensemble approach is that derivatives are not required in its implementation. But theoretically speaking, EKI's…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-03 Xin T. Tong , Matthias Morzfeld

Accurate data assimilation (DA) for systems with piecewise-smooth or discontinuous state variables remains a significant challenge, as conventional covariance-based ensemble Kalman filter approaches often fail to effectively balance…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Tongtong Li , Anne Gelb , Yoonsang Lee
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