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This paper provides a formalism for an important class of causal inference problems inspired by user-advertiser interaction in online advertiser. Then this formalism is specialized to an extension of temporal marked point processes and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-07 Alexander Merkov , David Rohde

The availability of large spatial data geocoded at accurate locations has fueled a growing interest in spatial modeling and analysis of point processes. The proposed research is motivated by the intensity estimation problem for large…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-19 Lihao Yin , Huiyan Sang

We describe a method to perform functional operations on probability distributions of random variables. The method uses reproducing kernel Hilbert space representations of probability distributions, and it is applicable to all operations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-14 Bernhard Schölkopf , Krikamol Muandet , Kenji Fukumizu , Jonas Peters

New algorithms for computing power moments of hitting times and accumulated rewards of hitting type for semi-Markov processes. The algorithms are based on special techniques of sequential phase space reduction and recurrence relations…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-21 Dmitrii Silvestrov , Raimondo Manca

The distribution of the grid points at which a response function is observed in longitudinal or functional data applications is often informative and not independent of the response process. In this paper we introduce a covariation model to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-15 Daniel Gervini , Tyler J. Baur

Motivated by the need for computationally tractable spatial methods in neuroimaging studies, we develop a distributed and integrated framework for estimation and inference of Gaussian process model parameters with ultra-high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich , Ani Eloyan

Point process modeling is gaining increasing attention, as point process type data are emerging in numerous scientific applications. In this article, motivated by a neuronal spike trains study, we propose a novel point process regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-10 Xiwei Tang , Lexin Li

This paper is concerned with the joint analysis of multivariate mixed-type spatial data, where some components are point processes and some are of lattice-type by nature. After a survey of statistical methods for marked spatial point and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-20 Matthias Eckardt , Jorge Mateu

This paper introduces a new approach to inferring the second order properties of a multivariate log Gaussian Cox process (LGCP) with a complex intensity function. We assume a semi-parametric model for the multivariate intensity function…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-05 Kristian Bjørn Hessellund , Ganggang Xu , Yongtao Guan , Rasmus Waagepetersen

We propose a latent self-exciting point process model that describes geographically distributed interactions between pairs of entities. In contrast to most existing approaches that assume fully observable interactions, here we consider a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-05-02 Yoon-Sik Cho , Aram Galstyan , P. Jeffrey Brantingham , George Tita

In this chapter, we address the challenge of exploring the posterior distributions of Bayesian inverse problems with computationally intensive forward models. We consider various multivariate proposal distributions, and compare them with…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-02 Mikkel B. Lykkegaard , Colin Fox , Dave Higdon , C. Shane Reese , J. David Moulton

We introduce a semi-parametric estimator of the Poisson intensity parameter of a spatial stationary Gibbs point process. Under very mild assumptions satisfied by a large class of Gibbs models, we establish its strong consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-14 Nadia Morsli , Jean-François Coeurjolly

In several application fields like daily pluviometry data modelling, or motion analysis from image sequences, observations contain two components of different nature. A first part is made with discrete values accounting for some symbolic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-27 Cécile Hardouin , Jian-Feng Yao

Density estimation plays a fundamental role in many areas of statistics and machine learning. Parametric, nonparametric and semiparametric density estimation methods have been proposed in the literature. Semiparametric density models are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-11 Jian Shi , Jiahui Yu , Anna Liu , Yuedong Wang

In this paper, we study mixed power-exponential moment functionals of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes in discrete time. Conditions under which the moment functionals of interest can be expanded in asymptotic power series with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Mikael Petersson

This paper presents an alternative approach of analyzing possibly multitype point patterns in space and space-time that occur on network structures, and introduces several different graph-related intensity measures. The proposed formalism…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-18 Matthias Eckardt , Jorge Mateu

Cumulative probability models (CPMs) are a robust alternative to linear models for continuous outcomes. However, they are not feasible for very large datasets due to elevated running time and memory usage, which depend on the sample size,…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-15 Chun Li , Guo Chen , Bryan E. Shepherd

Neural marked temporal point processes have been a valuable addition to the existing toolbox of statistical parametric models for continuous-time event data. These models are useful for sequences where each event is associated with a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Yuxin Chang , Alex Boyd , Padhraic Smyth

Crime has both varying patterns in space, related to features of the environment, economy, and policing, and patterns in time arising from criminal behavior, such as retaliation. Serious crimes may also be presaged by minor crimes of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-09 Alex Reinhart , Joel Greenhouse

Temporal point processes are powerful generative models for event sequences that capture complex dependencies in time-series data. They are commonly specified using autoregressive models that learn the distribution of the next event from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Marin Biloš , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka