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This paper analyses how Time Series Analysis techniques can be applied to capture movement of an exchange traded index in a stock market. Specifically, Seasonal Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) class of models is applied…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-28 Amit Tewari

Predicting stock market is vital for investors and policymakers, acting as a barometer of the economic health. We leverage social media data, a potent source of public sentiment, in tandem with macroeconomic indicators as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Shengkun Wang , YangXiao Bai , Taoran Ji , Kaiqun Fu , Linhan Wang , Chang-Tien Lu

Large and stable indices of the world wide stock markets such as NYSE and SP 500 together with NASDAQ -- the index representing markets of new trends, and WIG -- the index of the local stock market of Eastern Europe, are considered. Due to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Danuta Makowiec

This paper tries to address the problem of stock market prediction leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) strategies. The stock market prediction can be modeled based on two principal analyses called technical and fundamental. In the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-05 Sohrab Mokhtari , Kang K. Yen , Jin Liu

Forecasting financial time series is considered to be a difficult task due to the chaotic feature of the series. Statistical approaches have shown solid results in some specific problems such as predicting market direction and single-price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-05 Angelo Garangau Menezes , Saulo Martiello Mastelini

Given financial data from popular sites like Yahoo and the London Exchange, the presented paper attempts to model and predict stocks that can be considered "good investments". Stocks are characterized by 125 features ranging from gross…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-03-10 Mike Wu

Feature extraction from financial data is one of the most important problems in market prediction domain for which many approaches have been suggested. Among other modern tools, convolutional neural networks (CNN) have recently been applied…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-23 Ehsan Hoseinzade , Saman Haratizadeh

This project aims to predict short-term and long-term upward trends in the S&P 500 index using machine learning models and feature engineering based on the "101 Formulaic Alphas" methodology. The study employed multiple models, including…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-17 Shasha Yu , Qinchen Zhang , Yuwei Zhao

The aim of this paper is the analysis and selection of stock trading systems that combine different models with data of different nature, such as financial and microeconomic information. Specifically, based on previous work by the authors…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-03 Juan C. King , Jose M. Amigo

Predicting the stock market trend has always been challenging since its movement is affected by many factors. Here, we approach the future trend prediction problem as a machine learning classification problem by creating tomorrow_trend…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-31 Taylan Kabbani , Fatih Enes Usta

From a complex network perspective, investigating the stock market holds paramount significance as it enables the systematic revelation of topological features inherent in the market. This approach is crucial in exploring market…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-09-28 Yijie Teng , Rongmei Yang , Shuqi Xu , Linyuan Lü

As is widely known, the stock market is a complex system in which a multitude of factors influence the performance of individual stocks and the market as a whole. One method for comprehending -- and potentially predicting -- stock market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-19 Aarush Pratik Sheth , Jonah Riley Weinbaum , Kevin Javier Zvonarek

We consider the problem of neural network training in a time-varying context. Machine learning algorithms have excelled in problems that do not change over time. However, problems encountered in financial markets are often time-varying. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-25 Steven Y. K. Wong , Jennifer Chan , Lamiae Azizi , Richard Y. D. Xu

Stock market prediction has remained an extremely challenging problem for many decades owing to its inherent high volatility and low information noisy ratio. Existing solutions based on machine learning or deep learning demonstrate superior…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Zhaojian Yu , Yinghao Wu , Genesis Wang , Heming Weng

Stock recommendation is vital to investment companies and investors. However, no single stock selection strategy will always win while analysts may not have enough time to check all S&P 500 stocks (the Standard & Poor's 500). In this paper,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Hongyang Yang , Xiao-Yang Liu , Qingwei Wu

The aim of link prediction is to forecast connections that are most likely to occur in the future, based on examples of previously observed links. A key insight is that it is useful to explicitly model network dynamics, how frequently links…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-04-13 Alireza Hajibagheri , Gita Sukthankar , Kiran Lakkaraju

Performance forecasting is an age-old problem in economics and finance. Recently, developments in machine learning and neural networks have given rise to non-linear time series models that provide modern and promising alternatives to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-21 Carmina Fjellström

The stock market has been established since the 13th century, but in the current epoch of time, it is substantially more practicable to anticipate the stock market than it was at any other point in time due to the tools and data that are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-27 Ryan Chipwanya

Time series forecasting is widely used in a multitude of domains. In this paper, we present four models to predict the stock price using the SPX index as input time series data. The martingale and ordinary linear models require the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-23 Aaron Elliot , Cheng Hua Hsu

Accurate prediction of stock market trends is crucial for informed investment decisions and effective portfolio management, ultimately leading to enhanced wealth creation and risk mitigation. This study proposes a novel approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Lida Shahbandari , Elahe Moradi , Mohammad Manthouri