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We study the problem of estimating a functional or a parameter in the context where outcome is subject to nonignorable missingness. We completely avoid modeling the regression relation, while allowing the propensity to be modeled by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-12 Samidha Shetty , Yanyuan Ma , Jiwei Zhao

In this paper we propose and study a general class of Gaussian Semiparametric Estimators (GSE) of the fractional differencing parameter in the context of long-range dependent multivariate time series. We establish large sample properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-16 Guilherme Pumi , Sílvia R. C. Lopes

In this paper, we consider the filtering and smoothing recursions in nonparametric finite state space hidden Markov models (HMMs) when the parameters of the model are unknown and replaced by estimators. We provide an explicit and time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-24 Yohann De Castro , Elisabeth Gassiat , Sylvain Le Corff

In various statistical settings, the goal is to estimate a function which is restricted by the statistical model only through a conditional moment restriction. Prominent examples include the nonparametric instrumental variable framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-28 AmirEmad Ghassami , James M. Robins , Andrea Rotnitzky

In this expository paper, we consider the problem of causal inference and efficient estimation for the counterfactual survivor function. This problem has previously been considered in the literature in several papers, each relying on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Benjamin R. Baer , Ashkan Ertefaie , Robert L. Strawderman

We consider the regression model with errors-in-variables where we observe $n$ i.i.d. copies of $(Y,Z)$ satisfying $Y=f(X)+\xi, Z=X+\sigma\epsilon$, involving independent and unobserved random variables $X,\xi,\epsilon$. The density $g$ of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-11 Fabienne Comte , Marie-Luce Taupin

Randomized experiments are the preferred approach for evaluating the effects of interventions, but they are costly and often yield estimates with substantial uncertainty. On the other hand, in silico experiments leveraging foundation models…

We propose a general semi-supervised inference framework focused on the estimation of the population mean. As usual in semi-supervised settings, there exists an unlabeled sample of covariate vectors and a labeled sample consisting of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-15 Anru Zhang , Lawrence D. Brown , T. Tony Cai

We consider a class of semiparametric regression models which are one-parameter extensions of the Cox [J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 34 (1972) 187-220] model for right-censored univariate failure times. These models assume that the hazard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Michael R. Kosorok , Bee Leng Lee , Jason P. Fine

How can we explain the influence of training data on black-box models? Influence functions (IFs) offer a post-hoc solution by utilizing gradients and Hessians. However, computing the Hessian for an entire dataset is resource-intensive,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Jungyeon Koh , Hyeonsu Lyu , Jonggyu Jang , Hyun Jong Yang

The research is about a systematic investigation on the following issues. First, we construct different outcome regression-based estimators for conditional average treatment effect under, respectively, true (oracle), parametric,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Lu Li , Niwen Zhou , Lixing Zhu

The development of modern technology has enabled data collection of unprecedented size, which poses new challenges to many statistical estimation and inference problems. This paper studies the maximum score estimator of a semi-parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Xi Chen , Wenbo Jing , Weidong Liu , Yichen Zhang

We provide a unified approach to a method of estimation of the regression parameter in balanced linear models with a structured covariance matrix that combines a high breakdown point and bounded influence with high asymptotic efficiency at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Hendrik Paul Lopuhaä

In this paper we give a brief review of semiparametric theory, using as a running example the common problem of estimating an average causal effect. Semiparametric models allow at least part of the data-generating process to be unspecified…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-20 Edward H. Kennedy

A new index for high-impact weather forecasting is introduced and assessed in comparison with the well-established extreme forecast index (EFI). Two other ensemble summary statistics are also included in this comparison study: the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-05 Zied Ben-Bouallegue

Instrumental variable models allow us to identify a causal function between covariates $X$ and a response $Y$, even in the presence of unobserved confounding. Most of the existing estimators assume that the error term in the response $Y$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-23 Sorawit Saengkyongam , Leonard Henckel , Niklas Pfister , Jonas Peters

Standard local polynomial estimators of a nonparametric regression function employ a weighted least squares loss function that is tailored to the setting of homoscedastic Gaussian errors. We introduce the outrigger local polynomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Elliot H. Young , Rajen D. Shah , Richard J. Samworth

The aim of this paper is to present a new estimation procedure that can be applied in many statistical frameworks including density and regression and which leads to both robust and optimal (or nearly optimal) estimators. In density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-23 Yannick Baraud , Lucien Birgé , Mathieu Sart

Quantifying the influence of infinitesimal changes in training data on model performance is crucial for understanding and improving machine learning models. In this work, we reformulate this problem as a weighted empirical risk minimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Omri Lev , Ashia C. Wilson

Suppose we are interested in the mean of an outcome that is subject to nonignorable nonresponse. This paper develops new semiparametric estimation methods with instrumental variables which affect nonresponse, but not the outcome. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Baoluo Sun , Wang Miao , Deshanee S. Wickramarachchi