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Interaction patterns among individuals play vital roles in spreading infectious diseases. Understanding these patterns and integrating their impact in modeling diffusion dynamics of infectious diseases are important for epidemiological…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-04-02 Md Shahzamal , Raja Jurdak , Bernard Mans , Ahmad El Shoghri , Frank De Hoog

The extinction and persistence of infective individuals are closely related to the random change of the environment. In this paper, via the random/stochastic SIRS models, we analyze qualitatively and quantitatively the impact caused by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-01 Jianhai Bao , Jinghai Shao

This article is concerned with a nonlocal dispersal susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model with Neumann boundary condition, where the rates of disease transmission and recovery are assumed to be spatially heterogeneous and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-01-21 Fei-Ying Yang , Wan-Tong Li , Liang Zhang

We investigate a model of epidemic spreading with partial immunization which is controlled by two probabilities, namely, for first infections, $p_0$, and reinfections, $p$. When the two probabilities are equal, the model reduces to directed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Stephan M. Dammer , Haye Hinrichsen

The shape of an epidemic wave in simple epidemic models applies to a homogeneous distribution of infected people in the population. In large inhomogeneous systems, at country-scale for instance, the wave shape is similar except for the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-11-21 L. Vanel

We present a finite-size scaling theory of a contact process with permanent immunity on uncorrelated scale-free networks. We model an epidemic outbreak by an analog of the susceptible-infected-removed model where an infected individual…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-20 D. S. M. Alencar , T. F. A. Alves , F. W. S. Lima , G. A. Alves , A. Macedo-Filho , R. S. Ferreira

We investigate the information-theoretical limits of inference tasks in epidemic spreading on graphs in the thermodynamic limit. The typical inference tasks consist in computing observables of the posterior distribution of the epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-25 Alfredo Braunstein , Louise Budzynski , Matteo Mariani

I present three models of plant--pathogen interactions. The models are stochastic and spatially explicit at the scale of individual plants. For each model, I use a version of pair approximation or moment closure along with a separation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 David H. Brown

We analyze the susceptible-infected-susceptible model for epidemic spreading in which a fraction of the individuals become immune by vaccination. This process is understood as a dilution by vaccination, which decreases the fraction of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-10 Tânia Tomé , Mário J. de Oliveira

We derive the master equations for the Susceptible-Infected (SI) model on general hypernetworks with~$N$-body interactions. We solve these equations exactly for infinite~$d$-regular hypernetworks, and obtain an explicit solution for the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-17 Gadi Fibich , Guy Rothmann

We study a stochastic epidemic model with multiple patches (locations), where individuals in each patch are categorized into three compartments, Susceptible, Infected and Recovered/Removed, and may migrate from one patch to another in any…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Guodong Pang , Etienne Pardoux

We simulate a spatial behavioral model of the diffusion of an infection to understand the role of geographic characteristics: the number and distribution of outbreaks, population size, density, and agents' movements. We show that several…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-31 Alberto Bisin , Andrea Moro

The spread of one disease, in some cases, can stimulate the spreading of another infectious disease. Here, we treat analytically a symmetric coinfection model for spreading of two diseases on a two-layer multiplex network. We allow layer…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-20 N. Azimi-Tafreshi

We investigate saturation effects in susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) models of the spread of epidemics in heterogeneous populations. The structure of interactions in the population is represented by networks with connectivity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Jaewook Joo , Joel L. Lebowitz

Pathogen introduction in plant communities can cause serious impact and biodiversity losses that may take long time to manage and restore. Effective control of epidemic spreading in the wild is a problem of paramount importance, because of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-15 Ignacio Taguas , José A. Capitán , Juan C. Nuño

Consider the model where particles are initially distributed on $\mathbb{Z}^d, \, d\geq 2$, according to a Poisson point process of intensity $\lambda>0$, and are moving in continuous time as independent simple symmetric random walks. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Vladas Sidoravicius , Alexandre Stauffer

In this paper, we use a series of small world networks to simulate the epidemic spreading in the real world. To make our model more similar to the real world, we employ a parameter $p_{move}$ to denote its moving probability, which…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Sheng Li , Meng Meng , Hongru Ma

Since 1927, until recently, models describing the spread of disease have mostly been of the SIR-compartmental type, based on the assumption that populations are homogeneous and well-mixed. The focus of these models have typically been on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-23 Lara Goscé , David A W Barton , Anders Johansson

We consider a symmetric finite-range contact process on $\mathbb{Z}$ with two types of particles (or infections), which propagate according to the same supercritical rate and die (or heal) at rate $1$. Particles of type $1$ can enter any…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Mariela Pentón Machado

Network epidemics is a ubiquitous model that can represent different phenomena and finds applications in various domains. Among its various characteristics, a fundamental question concerns the time when an epidemic stops propagating. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Daniel Figueiredo , Giulio Iacobelli , Seva Shneer