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The simulation of exit times for diffusion processes is a challenging task since it concerns many applications in different fields like mathematical finance, neuroscience, reliability... The usual procedure is to use discretiza-tion schemes…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Samuel Herrmann , C. Zucca

Continuous-time stochastic processes play an important role in the description of random phenomena, it is therefore of prime interest to study particular variables depending on their paths, like stopping time for example. One approach…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Samuel Herrmann , Nicolas Massin

We introduce exact methods for the simulation of sample paths of one-dimensional diffusions with a discontinuity in the drift function. Our procedures require the simulation of finite-dimensional candidate draws from probability laws…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-24 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth O. Roberts , Kasia B. Taylor

Fastest arrival events, where the first among many diffusing particles reaches a target, are central in triggering signal initiation in molecular stochastic systems. Classical approaches to simulate such events rely on full trajectory…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Emmanuel Akame Mfoumou , David Holcman

We describe a new, surprisingly simple algorithm, that simulates exact sample paths of a class of stochastic differential equations. It involves rejection sampling and, when applicable, returns the location of the path at a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexandros Beskos , Gareth O. Roberts

We propose a method for estimating first passage time densities of one-dimensional diffusions via Monte Carlo simulation. Our approach involves a representation of the first passage time density as expectation of a functional of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-10 Tomoyuki Ichiba , Constantinos Kardaras

Piecewise Diffusion Markov Processes (PDifMPs) are valuable for modelling systems where continuous dynamics are interrupted by sudden shifts and/or changes in drift and diffusion. The first-passage time (FPT) in such models plays a central…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Sascha Desmettre , Devika Khurana , Amira Meddah

Diffusion processes arise in many fields, and so simulating the path of a diffusion is an important problem. It is usually necessary to make some sort of approximation via model-discretization, but a recently introduced class of algorithms,…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Paul A. Jenkins

The first-passage time (FPT) is a fundamental concept in stochastic processes, representing the time it takes for a process to reach a specified threshold for the first time. Often, considering a time-dependent threshold is essential for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Devika Khurana , Sascha Desmettre , Evelyn Buckwar

Under some weak conditions, the first-passage time of the Brownian motion to a continuous curved boundary is an almost surely finite stopping time. Its probability density function (pdf) is explicitly known only in few particular cases.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Samuel Herrmann , Etienne Tanré

In order to approximate the exit time of a one-dimensional diffusion process, we propose an algorithm based on a random walk. Such an algorithm was already introduced in both the Brownian context and in the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck context. Here…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Samuel Herrmann , Nicolas Massin

This paper introduces a framework for simulating finite dimensional representations of (jump) diffusion sample paths over finite intervals, without discretisation error (exactly), in such a way that the sample path can be restored at any…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-10 Murray Pollock , Adam M. Johansen , Gareth O. Roberts

We consider a bivariate diffusion process and we study the first passage time of one component through a boundary. We prove that its probability density is the unique solution of a new integral equation and we propose a numerical algorithm…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-16 Elisa Benedetto , Laura Sacerdote , Cristina Zucca

In order to describe or estimate different quantities related to a specific random variable, it is of prime interest to numerically generate such a variate. In specific situations, the exact generation of random variables might be either…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Samuel Herrmann , Cristina Zucca

In this paper, using an algorithm based on the retrospective rejection sampling scheme, we propose an exact simulation of a Brownian diffusion whose drift admits several jumps. We treat explicitly and extensively the case of two jumps,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-27 David Dereudre , Sara Mazzonetto , Sylvie Roelly

We present a novel computational method of first-passage times between a starting site and a target site of regular bounded lattices. We derive accurate expressions for all the moments of this first-passage time, validated by numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 S Condamin , O. Benichou , M. Moreau

We present a new efficient method for Monte Carlo simulations of diffusion-reaction processes. First introduced by us in [Phys. Rev. Lett., 97:230602, 2006], the new algorithm skips the traditional small diffusion hops and propagates the…

Materials Science · Physics 2013-05-29 T. Oppelstrup , V. V. Bulatov , A. Donev , M. H. Kalos , G. H. Gilmer , B. Sadigh

We show in detail some results, outlined in a previous paper regarding the case of Brownian motion (BM), about the distribution of the $n$th-passage time of a one-dimensional diffusion obtained by a space or time transformation of BM,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Mario Abundo , Maria Beatrice Scioscia Santoro

A class of algorithms in discrete space and continuous time for Brownian first passage time estimation is considered. A simple algorithm is derived that yields exact mean first passage times (MFPT) for linear potentials in one dimension,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-09-29 Artur B. Adib

Systems where resource availability approaches a critical threshold are common to many engineering and scientific applications and often necessitate the estimation of first passage time statistics of a Brownian motion (Bm) driven by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-05 Annalisa Molini , Peter Talkner , Gabriel G. Katul , Amilcare Porporato
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