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This paper proposes a novel dynamical model for determining clearing payments in financial networks. We extend the classical Eisenberg-Noe model of financial contagion to multiple time periods, allowing financial operations to continue…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Giuseppe C. Calafiore , Giulia Fracastoro , Anton V. Proskurnikov

The proposed model is aimed to reveal important patterns in the behavior of a simplified financial system. The patterns could be detected as regular cycles consisting of debt bubbles and crises. Financial cycles have a well defined…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-19 Alexander Smirnov

We consider financial networks, where banks are connected by contracts such as debts or credit default swaps. We study the clearing problem in these systems: we want to know which banks end up in a default, and what portion of their…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-11-23 Pál András Papp , Roger Wattenhofer

In this paper, we propose a dynamical model to capture cascading failures among interconnected organizations in the global financial system. Failures can take the form of bankruptcies, defaults, and other insolvencies. The network that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-13 Leonardo Stella , Dario Bauso , Franco Blanchini , Patrizio Colaneri

The debts' clearing problem is about clearing all the debts in a group of $n$ entities (e.g. persons, companies) using a minimal number of money transaction operations. In our previous works we studied the problem, gave a dynamic…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2011-11-17 C. Pătcaş

The global financial system can be represented as a large complex network in which banks, hedge funds and other financial institutions are interconnected to each other through visible and invisible financial linkages. Recently, a lot of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-11 Fabio Caccioli , Paolo Barucca , Teruyoshi Kobayashi

We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in an assets-liabilities dynamical model of banking system. In the model considered each bank is represented by its assets and its liabilities.The capital reserves of a bank are the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-30 Lorella Fatone , Francesca Mariani

In this paper we introduce a generalized extension of the Eisenberg-Noe model of financial contagion to allow for time dynamics of the interbank liabilities, including a dynamic examination of default risk. This framework separates the cash…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-28 Tathagata Banerjee , Alex Bernstein , Zachary Feinstein

We study financial systems from a game-theoretic standpoint. A financial system is represented by a network, where nodes correspond to firms, and directed labeled edges correspond to debt contracts between them. The existence of cycles in…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Panagiotis Kanellopoulos , Maria Kyropoulou , Hao Zhou

We study the incentives of banks in a financial network, where the network consists of debt contracts and credit default swaps (CDSs) between banks. One of the most important questions in such a system is the problem of deciding which of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-19 Pál András Papp , Roger Wattenhofer

The current global financial system forms a highly interconnected network where a default in one of its nodes can propagate to many other nodes, causing a catastrophic avalanche effect. In this paper we consider the problem of reducing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Giuseppe Calafiore , Giulia Fracastoro , Anton V. Proskurnikov

The latest financial crisis has painfully revealed the dangers arising from a globally interconnected financial system. Conventional approaches based on the notion of the existence of equilibrium and those which rely on statistical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-12 V. Sasidevan , Nils Bertschinger

We introduce a simple model for addressing the controversy in the study of financial systems, sometimes taken as brownian-like processes and other as critical systems with fluctuations of arbitrary magnitude. The model considers a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-01 João P. da Cruz , Pedro G. Lind

A financial system is represented by a network, where nodes correspond to banks, and directed labeled edges correspond to debt contracts between banks. Once a payment schedule has been defined, where we assume that a bank cannot refuse a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Panagiotis Kanellopoulos , Maria Kyropoulou , Hao Zhou

Financial structures such as securitisations, insurance contracts, and other hierarchical claims systems can be interpreted as deterministic allocation mechanisms acting on stochastic inflow processes. This paper develops a general…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Antonio Scala

The scope of financial systemic risk research encompasses a wide range of interbank channels and effects, including asset correlation shocks, default contagion, illiquidity contagion, and asset fire sales. This paper introduces a financial…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-23 Thomas R. Hurd , Davide Cellai , Sergey Melnik , Quentin Shao

A modern version of Monetary Circuit Theory with a particular emphasis on stochastic underpinning mechanisms is developed. It is explained how money is created by the banking system as a whole and by individual banks. The role of central…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-27 Alexander Lipton

Banking system crises are complex events that in a short span of time can inflict extensive damage to banks themselves and to the external economy. The crisis literature has so far identified a number of distinct effects or channels that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-16 T. R. Hurd

We propose a dynamic model of dependence structure between financial institutions within a financial system and we construct measures for dependence and financial instability. Employing Markov structures of joint credit migrations, our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-11 Yu-Sin Chang

Financial networks are characterized by complex structures of mutual obligations. These obligations are fulfilled entirely or in part (when defaults occur) via a mechanism called clearing, which determines a set of payments that settle the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Giuseppe Calafiore , Giulia Fracastoro , Anton V. Proskurnikov
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