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Nonparametric regression models offer a way to understand and quantify relationships between variables without having to identify an appropriate family of possible regression functions. Although many estimation methods for these models have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-07 Matias Salibian-Barrera

Resonances in open quantum systems depending on at least two controllable parameters can show the phenomenon of exceptional points (EPs), where not only the eigenvalues but also the eigenvectors of two or more resonances coalesce. Their…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-14 Patrick Egenlauf , Patric Rommel , Jörg Main

Gaussian processes (GPs) are versatile tools that have been successfully employed to solve nonlinear estimation problems in machine learning, but that are rarely used in signal processing. In this tutorial, we present GPs for regression as…

We formulate a reduced-order strategy for efficiently forecasting complex high-dimensional dynamical systems entirely based on data streams. The first step of our method involves reconstructing the dynamics in a reduced-order subspace of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-08 Zhong Yi Wan , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

We introduce CUTS-GPR, a new method for performing numerically exact Gaussian process regression (GPR) in high-dimensional settings. The key component of CUTS-GPR is an extremely fast kernel matrix-vector product, which exhibits near-linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Mads Greisen Højlund , August Smart Lykke-Møller , Henry Moss , Ove Christiansen

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a flexible non-parametric approach to approximate complex models. In many cases, these models correspond to processes with bounded physical properties. Standard GP regression typically results in a proxy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-10 Andrew Pensoneault , Xiu Yang , Xueyu Zhu

Multi-output Gaussian process regression has become an important tool in uncertainty quantification, for building emulators of computationally expensive simulators, and other areas such as multi-task machine learning. We present a holistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Daria Semochkina , Samuel E. Jackson , David C. Woods

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a powerful tool in probabilistic machine learning with a solid theoretical foundation. Thanks to current advances, modeling complex data with GPs is becoming increasingly feasible, which makes them an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Sarem Seitz

This paper proposes a new algorithm for Gaussian process classification based on posterior linearisation (PL). In PL, a Gaussian approximation to the posterior density is obtained iteratively using the best possible linearisation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-19 Ángel F. García-Fernández , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

We show how to construct the best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) for the continuation of a curve in a spline-function model. We assume that the entire curve is drawn from some smooth random process and that the curve is given up to some…

Applications · Statistics 2010-05-12 Yair Goldberg , Ya'acov Ritov , Avishai Mandelbaum

Time series forecasting involves collecting and analyzing past observations to develop a model to extrapolate such observations into the future. Forecasting of future events is important in many fields to support decision making as it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Igor Ilic , Berk Gorgulu , Mucahit Cevik , Mustafa Gokce Baydogan

The functional linear model is an important extension of the classical regression model allowing for scalar responses to be modeled as functions of stochastic processes. Yet, despite the usefulness and popularity of the functional linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stanislav Nagy

Almost all scientific data have uncertainties originating from different sources. Gaussian process regression (GPR) models are a natural way to model data with Gaussian-distributed uncertainties. GPR also has the benefit of reducing I/O…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Haoyu Li , Isaac J Michaud , Ayan Biswas , Han-Wei Shen

This work presents a novel method for extracting potential barrier distributions from experimental fusion cross sections. We utilize a simple Gaussian process regression (GPR) framework to model the observed cross sections as a function of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-06-10 Kyle Godbey

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are expressive models for capturing signal statistics and expressing prediction uncertainty. As a result, the robotics community has gathered interest in leveraging these methods for inference, planning, and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Francesco Crocetti , Jeffrey Mao , Alessandro Saviolo , Gabriele Costante , Giuseppe Loianno

This work introduces the Efficient Transformed Gaussian Process (ETGP), a new way of creating C stochastic processes characterized by: 1) the C processes are non-stationary, 2) the C processes are dependent by construction without needing a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Juan Maroñas , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

The generalised linear model (GLM) is a very important tool for analysing real data in biology, sociology, agriculture, engineering and many other application domain where the relationship between the response and explanatory variables may…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-04 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

Empirical best linear unbiased prediction (EBLUP) method uses a linear mixed model in combining information from different sources of information. This method is particularly useful in small area problems. The variability of an EBLUP is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Snigdhansu Chatterjee , Partha Lahiri , Huilin Li

We construct flexible likelihoods for multi-output Gaussian process models that leverage neural networks as components. We make use of sparse variational inference methods to enable scalable approximate inference for the resulting class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-03 Martin Jankowiak , Jacob Gardner

Gaussian processes offer an attractive framework for predictive modeling from longitudinal data, i.e., irregularly sampled, sparse observations from a set of individuals over time. However, such methods have two key shortcomings: (i) They…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-09 Junjie Liang , Yanting Wu , Dongkuan Xu , Vasant Honavar