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Related papers: Minimax Risk for Missing Mass Estimation

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The paper deals with the problem of nonparametric estimating the $L_p$--norm, $p\in (1,\infty)$, of a probability density on $R^d$, $d\geq 1$ from independent observations. The unknown density %to be estimated is assumed to belong to a ball…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Alexander Goldenshluger , Oleg Lepski

This paper shows that one cannot learn the probability of rare events without imposing further structural assumptions. The event of interest is that of obtaining an outcome outside the coverage of an i.i.d. sample from a discrete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-13 Elchanan Mossel , Mesrob I. Ohannessian

We consider the problem of estimating a continuous distribution function $F$, as well as meaningful functions $\tau(F)$ under a large class of loss functions. We obtain best invariant estimators and establish their minimaxity for H\"{o}lder…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-09 Mohammad Jafari Jozani , Alexandre Leblanc , Eric Marchand

When faced with a small sample from a large universe of possible outcomes, scientists often turn to the venerable Good--Turing estimator. Despite its pedigree, however, this estimator comes with considerable drawbacks, such as the need to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Yanjun Han , Jonathan Niles-Weed , Yandi Shen , Yihong Wu

Maximum likelihood estimation is one of the most used methods in quantum state tomography, where the aim is to reconstruct the density matrix of a physical system from measurement results. One strategy to deal with positivity and unit trace…

We describe the minimax reconstruction rates in linear ill-posed equations in Hilbert space when smoothness is given in terms of general source sets. The underlying fundamental result, the minimax rate on ellipsoids, is proved similarly to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-16 LiTao Ding , Peter Mathé

We quantify the minimax rate for a nonparametric regression model over a star-shaped function class $\mathcal{F}$ with bounded diameter. We obtain a minimax rate of ${\varepsilon^{\ast}}^2\wedge\mathrm{diam}(\mathcal{F})^2$ where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-20 Akshay Prasadan , Matey Neykov

Obtaining guarantees on the convergence of the minimizers of empirical risks to the ones of the true risk is a fundamental matter in statistical learning. Instead of deriving guarantees on the usual estimation error, the goal of this paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Paul Escande

We develop minimax optimal risk bounds for the general learning task consisting in predicting as well as the best function in a reference set G up to the smallest possible additive term, called the convergence rate. When the reference set…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-04 Jean-Yves Audibert

Overparametrization often helps improve the generalization performance. This paper presents a dual view of overparametrization suggesting that downsampling may also help generalize. Focusing on the proportional regime $m\asymp n \asymp p$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Xin Chen , Yicheng Zeng , Siyue Yang , Qiang Sun

This paper proposes an estimation framework to assess the performance of sorting over perturbed/noisy data. In particular, the recovering accuracy is measured in terms of Minimum Mean Square Error (MMSE) between the values of the sorting…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Alex Dytso , Martina Cardone , H. Vincent Poor

In an error estimation of finite element solutions to the Poisson equation, we usually impose the shape regularity assumption on the meshes to be used. In this paper, we show that even if the shape regularity condition is violated, the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-19 Kenta Kobayashi , Takuya Tsuchiya

We study the problem of predicting as well as the best linear predictor in a bounded Euclidean ball with respect to the squared loss. When only boundedness of the data generating distribution is assumed, we establish that the least squares…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Tomas Vaškevičius , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We consider the problem of estimating the predictive density of future observations from a non-parametric regression model. The density estimators are evaluated under Kullback--Leibler divergence and our focus is on establishing the exact…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-12 Xinyi Xu , Feng Liang

An important estimation problem that is closely related to large-scale multiple testing is that of estimating the null density and the proportion of nonnull effects. A few estimators have been introduced in the literature; however, several…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-12 T. Tony Cai , Jiashun Jin

Marginal expected shortfall is unquestionably one of the most popular systemic risk measures. Studying its extreme behaviour is particularly relevant for risk protection against severe global financial market downturns. In this context,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli , Matteo Schiavone

Estimating linear, mean-square continuous functionals is a pivotal challenge in statistics. In high-dimensional contexts, this estimation is often performed under the assumption of exact model sparsity, meaning that only a small number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Jelena Bradic , Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Yinchu Zhu

Sparse linear regression is one of the classical and extensively studied problems in high-dimensional statistics and compressed sensing. Despite the substantial body of literature dedicated to this problem, the precise determination of its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-10 Yilin Guo , Shubhangi Ghosh , Haolei Weng , Arian Maleki

We obtain the minimax rate for a mean location model with a bounded star-shaped set $K \subseteq \mathbb{R}^n$ constraint on the mean, in an adversarially corrupted data setting with Gaussian noise. We assume an unknown fraction $\epsilon…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Akshay Prasadan , Matey Neykov

In this paper, we address the risk estimation problem where one aims at estimating the probability of violation of safety constraints for a robot in the presence of bounded uncertainties with arbitrary probability distributions. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-04 Ashkan Jasour , Andreas Hofmann , Brian C. Williams