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We prove that under some regularity and strong identifiability conditions, around a mixing distribution with $m_0$ components, the optimal local minimax rate of estimation of a mixture with $m$ components is $n^{-1/(4(m-m_0) + 2)}$. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-15 Philippe Heinrich , Jonas Kahn

The Wasserstein metric is an important measure of distance between probability distributions, with applications in machine learning, statistics, probability theory, and data analysis. This paper provides upper and lower bounds on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Shashank Singh , Barnabás Póczos

Minimax detection of Gaussian stochastic sequences (signals) with unknown covariance matrices is studied. For a fixed false alarm probability (1-st kind error probability), the performance of the minimax detection is being characterized by…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-04-14 M. V. Burnashev

This paper investigates the finite-sample prediction risk of the high-dimensional least squares estimator. We derive the central limit theorem for the prediction risk when both the sample size and the number of features tend to infinity.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-17 Zeng Li , Chuanlong Xie , Qinwen Wang

We study the problem of estimating a distribution over a finite alphabet from an i.i.d. sample, with accuracy measured in relative entropy (Kullback-Leibler divergence). While optimal bounds on the expected risk are known, high-probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Jaouad Mourtada

We present an elementary mathematical method to find the minimax estimator of the Bernoulli proportion $\theta$ under the squared error loss when $\theta$ belongs to the restricted parameter space of the form $\Omega = [0, \eta]$ for some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Heejune Sheen , Yajun Mei

We consider the problem of robustly predicting as well as the best linear combination of $d$ given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

Sequential estimation of the success probability $p$ in inverse binomial sampling is considered in this paper. For any estimator $\hat p$, its quality is measured by the risk associated with normalized loss functions of linear-linear or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-18 Luis Mendo

The problem of estimating an unknown deterministic parameter vector from sign measurements with a perturbed sensing matrix is studied in this paper. We analyze the best achievable mean square error (MSE) performance by exploring the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-18 Jiang Zhu , Xiaohan Wang , Yuantao Gu

We consider a general statistical learning problem where an unknown fraction of the training data is corrupted. We develop a robust learning method that only requires specifying an upper bound on the corrupted data fraction. The method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-10 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Peter Stoica

The optimal rate of convergence of estimators of the integrated volatility, for a discontinuous It\^{o} semimartingale sampled at regularly spaced times and over a fixed time interval, has been a long-standing problem, at least when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Jean Jacod , Markus Reiss

We derive the optimal measurement for quantum state discrimination without a priori probabilities, i.e. in a minimax strategy instead of the usually considered Bayesian one. We consider both minimal-error and unambiguous discrimination…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-02 Giacomo Mauro D'Ariano , Massimiliano Federico Sacchi , Jonas Kahn

Consider the problem of estimating the mean of a Gaussian random vector when the mean vector is assumed to be in a given convex set. The most natural solution is to take the Euclidean projection of the data vector on to this convex set; in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-21 Sourav Chatterjee

In this work, the estimation of the multivariate normal mean by different classes of shrinkage estimators is investigated. The risk associated with the balanced loss function is used to compare two estimators. We start by considering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Abdelkader Benkhaled , Mekki Terbeche , Abdenour Hamdaoui

We propose a procedure to handle the problem of Gaussian regression when the variance is unknown. We mix least-squares estimators from various models according to a procedure inspired by that of Leung and Barron (2007). We show that in some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-05 Christophe Giraud

Measuring the contribution of a bank or an insurance company to overall systemic risk is a key concern, particularly in the aftermath of the 2007--2009 financial crisis and the 2020 downturn. In this paper, we derive worst-case and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Jinghui Chen , Edward Furman , X. Sheldon Lin

In this paper we consider the problem of linear unmixing hidden random variables defined over the simplex with additive Gaussian noise, also known as probabilistic simplex component analysis (PRISM). Previous solutions to tackle this…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-26 Nerya Granot , Tzvi Diskin , Nicolas Dobigeon , Ami Wiesel

While the matrix completion problem has attracted considerable attention over the decades, few works address the nonignorable missing issue and all have their limitations. In this article, we propose a nuclear norm regularized row- and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-30 Yuanhong A , Guoyu Zhang , Yongcheng Zeng , Bo Zhang

Many algorithms in machine learning and computational geometry require, as input, the intrinsic dimension of the manifold that supports the probability distribution of the data. This parameter is rarely known and therefore has to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Jisu Kim , Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman

The optimum quality that can be asymptotically achieved in the estimation of a probability p using inverse binomial sampling is addressed. A general definition of quality is used in terms of the risk associated with a loss function that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-01 Luis Mendo