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We derive the asymptotic distribution of ordinal-pattern frequencies under weak dependence conditions and investigate the long-run covariance matrix not only analytically for moving-average, Gaussian, and the novel generalized coin-tossing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Angelika Silbernagel , Christian Weiß

In this paper we employ methods from Statistical Mechanics to model temporal correlations in time series. We put forward a methodology based on the Maximum Entropy principle to generate ensembles of time series constrained to preserve part…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-15 Riccardo Marcaccioli , Giacomo Livan

Using the generalized entropies which depend on two parameters we propose a set of quantitative characteristics derived from the Information Geometry based on these entropies. Our aim, at this stage, is modest, as we are first constructing…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-02-14 Demetris P. K. Ghikas , Fotios Oikonomou

Time series and signals are attracting more attention across statistics, machine learning and pattern recognition as it appears widely in the industry especially in sensor and IoT related research and applications, but few advances has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-15 Lu Liu , Zhiguang Wang

Causality testing, the act of determining cause and effect from measurements, is widely used in physics, climatology, neuroscience, econometrics and other disciplines. As a result, a large number of causality testing methods based on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-02-20 Aditi Kathpalia , Nithin Nagaraj

In this paper, we developed a novel method of nonparametric relative entropy (RlEn) for modelling loss of complexity in intermittent time series. The method consists of two steps. We first fit a nonlinear autoregressive model to each…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Jie Li , Jian Zhang , Samantha L. Winter , Mark Burnley

A time series is uniquely represented by its geometric shape, which also carries information. A time series can be modelled as the trajectory of a particle moving in a force field with one degree of freedom. The force acting on the particle…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Kaushik Majumdar , Srinath Jayachandran

Subsequence-based time series classification algorithms provide accurate and interpretable models, but training these models is extremely computation intensive. The asymptotic time complexity of subsequence-based algorithms remains a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-18 Atif Raza , Stefan Kramer

A time series consists of a series of values or events obtained over repeated measurements in time. Analysis of time series represents and important tool in many application areas, such as stock market analysis, process and quality control,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-12-30 Vladimir Kurbalija , Miloš Radovanović , Zoltan Geler , Mirjana Ivanović

A possible mechanism of time is formulated by developing an idea of time replaced by quantum correlations, with the aid of modern quantum information theory. We invent a microscopic model, where correlations of a closed system are steadily…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2011-11-14 Akimasa Miyake

A highly comparative, feature-based approach to time series classification is introduced that uses an extensive database of algorithms to extract thousands of interpretable features from time series. These features are derived from across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-10 Ben D. Fulcher , Nick S. Jones

A scheme is presented to extract detailed dynamical signatures from successive measurements of complex systems. Relative entropy based time series tools are used to quantify the gain in predictive power of increasing past knowledge. By…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-31 Nick S. Jones

The richness of many complex systems stems from the interactions among their components. The higher-order nature of these interactions, involving many units at once, and their temporal dynamics constitute crucial properties that shape the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-29 Marco Mancastroppa , Iacopo Iacopini , Giovanni Petri , Alain Barrat

In the framework of time series analysis with recurrence networks, we introduce a self-adaptive method that determines the elusive recurrence threshold and identifies metastable states in complex real-world time series. As initial step, we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-10-22 Iliusi Vega , Christof Schütte , Tim O. F. Conrad

'Causal' direction is of great importance when dealing with complex systems. Often big volumes of data in the form of time series are available and it is important to develop methods that can inform about possible causal connections between…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-24 Fatimah Abdul Razak , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

We propose a novel approach for analysing time series using complex network theory. We identify the recurrence matrix calculated from time series with the adjacency matrix of a complex network, and apply measures for the characterisation of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-17 N. Marwan , J. F. Donges , Y. Zou , R. V. Donner , J. Kurths

Small, forested catchments are prototypes of terrestrial ecosystems and have been studied in several disciplines of environmental sciences since several decades. Time series of water and matter fluxes and nutrient concentrations from these…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-03-11 Holger Lange , Michael Hauhs

Classification of time series is a growing problem in different disciplines due to the progressive digitalization of the world. Currently, the state-of-the-art in time series classification is dominated by The Hierarchical Vote Collective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-18 Francisco J. Baldán , José M. Benítez

We introduce and discuss the notion of monotonicity for the complexity measures of general probability distributions, patterned after the resource theory of quantum entanglement. Then, we explore whether this property is satisfied by the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-01-20 Łukasz Rudnicki , Irene V. Toranzo , Pablo Sanchez-Moreno , Jesus S. Dehesa

An updated review [1] of nonextensive statistical mechanics and thermodynamics is colloquially presented. Quite naturally the possibility emerges for using the value of q-1 (entropic nonextensivity) as a simple and efficient manner to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Constantino Tsallis