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This paper introduces a class of generalised linear models (GLMs) driven by latent processes for modelling count, real-valued, binary, and positive continuous time series. Extending earlier latent-process regression frameworks based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Ngai Hang Chan

We develop a quasi-likelihood analysis procedure for a general class of multivariate marked point processes. As a by-product of the general method, we establish under stability and ergodicity conditions the local asymptotic normality of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Simon Clinet

In this paper, we study the asymptotic distribution of some U-statistics whose entries are functions of empirical moments computed from non-overlapping consecutive blocks of an underlying weakly dependent process. The length of these blocks…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-27 Herold G. Dehling , Davide Giraudo , Sara K. Schmidt

Central limit theorems for linear statistics of lattice random fields (including spin models) are usually proven under suitable mixing conditions or quasi-associativity. Many interesting examples of spin models do not satisfy mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Tulasi Ram Reddy , Sreekar Vadlamani , D. Yogeshwaran

We derive in this preprint the moment and exponential tail estimates, sufficient conditions for the Non-Central Limit Theorem (NCLT) in the ordinary one-dimensional space as well as in the space of continuous functions for the properly…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-17 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

Ordinal pattern dependence is a multivariate dependence measure based on the co-movement of two time series. In strong connection to ordinal time series analysis, the ordinal information is taken into account to derive robust results on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Ines Nüßgen , Alexander Schnurr

In this paper we propose a generalization of a class of Gaussian Semiparametric Estimators (GSE) of the fractional differencing parameter for long-range dependent multivariate time series. We generalize a known GSE-type estimator by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-23 Guilherme Pumi , Sílvia R. C. Lopes

Uncertainty in estimating the log-law parameters is arguably the greatest obstacle to establishing definitive conclusions regarding their numerical values and universality. This challenge is exacerbated by the limited number of studies that…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 M. Aguiar Ferreira , B. Ganapathisubramani

In real word applications, data generating process for training a machine learning model often differs from what the model encounters in the test stage. Understanding how and whether machine learning models generalize under such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-08 Abdulkadir Canatar , Blake Bordelon , Cengiz Pehlevan

In conventional machine learning (ML) approaches applied to electroencephalography (EEG), this is often a limited focus, isolating specific brain activities occurring across disparate temporal scales (from transient spikes in milliseconds…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-06 Jonathan W. Kim , Ahmed Alaa , Danilo Bernardo

We present a general central limit theorem with simple, easy-to-check covariance-based sufficient conditions for triangular arrays of random vectors when all variables could be interdependent. The result is constructed from Stein's method,…

Long Range Dependence (LRD) in functional sequences is characterized in the spectral domain under suitable conditions. Particularly, multifractionally integrated functional autoregressive moving averages processes can be introduced in this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-13 M. Dolores Ruiz-Medina

We prove quenched versions of (i) a large deviations principle (LDP), (ii) a central limit theorem (CLT), and (iii) a local central limit theorem (LCLT) for non-autonomous dynamical systems. A key advance is the extension of the spectral…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Davor Dragicevic , Gary Froyland , Cecilia Gonzalez-Tokman , Sandro Vaienti

We derive a central limit theorem for the probability distribution of the sum of many critically correlated random variables. The theorem characterizes a variety of different processes sharing the same asymptotic form of anomalous scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Fulvio Baldovin , Attilio L. Stella

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 D. Andrew Brown , Peter Kiessler , John Nicholson

We study (asymmetric) $U$-statistics based on a stationary sequence of $m$-dependent variables; moreover, we consider constrained $U$-statistics, where the defining multiple sum only includes terms satisfying some restrictions on the gaps…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Svante Janson

In descriptive statistics, $U$-statistics arise naturally in producing minimum-variance unbiased estimators. In 1984, Serfling considered the distribution formed by evaluating the kernel of the $U$-statistics and proposed generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-13 Li Tuobang

The purpose of this paper is to ensure the conditions of G\"artner-Ellis Theorem for evaluations of the empirical measure. We show that up-to-date conditions for ensuring the convergence to a quasi-stationary distribution can be applied…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Aurélien Velleret

We derive the exchange-driven growth (EDG) equations as the mean-field limit of interacting particle systems on the complete graph. Extending previous work, we consider symmetric exchange kernels $c(k, l) = c(l, k)$ satisfying super-linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Angeliki Koutsimpela

We give necessary and sufficient conditions for the (bounded) law of the iterated logarithm for canonical $U$-statistics of arbitrary order $d$, extending the previously known results for $d=2$. The nasc's are expressed as growth conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-17 Radosław Adamczak , Rafał Latała