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Aggregating conformal predictors is a standard way of balancing their predictive and computational efficiency while retaining their validity, at least approximately. An important advantage of conformal e-predictors is that they are easier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Vladimir Vovk

We use the periodic unfolding technique to derive corrector estimates for a reaction-diffusion system describing concrete corrosion penetration in the sewer pipes. The system, defined in a periodically-perforated domain, is semi-linear,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2012-01-30 Tasnim Fatima , adrian Muntean , Mariya Ptashnyk

In this paper, we propose a model averaging approach for addressing model uncertainty in the context of partial linear functional additive models. These models are designed to describe the relation between a response and mixed-types of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-12 Shishi Liu , Jingxiao Zhang

The ability to estimate the rate of convergence for the distributions of regenerative processes is in great demand. These processes are often encountered in queuing theory and in related problems. In some papers on regenerative processes,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Galina A. Zverkina

Sampling from multimodal distributions is a challenging task in scientific computing. When a distribution has an exact symmetry between the modes, direct jumps among them can accelerate the samplings significantly. However, the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Lexing Ying

The main aim of this work is to present two different methodologies for configuration averaging in disordered systems. The Recursion method is suitable for the calculation of spatial or self-averaging, while the Augmented space formalism…

We extend some previous results of our work [1] on the error of the averaging method, in the one-frequency case. The new error estimates apply to any separating family of seminorms on the space of the actions; they generalize our previous…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-02-18 Carlo Morosi , Livio Pizzocchero

In computational inverse problems, it is common that a detailed and accurate forward model is approximated by a computationally less challenging substitute. The model reduction may be necessary to meet constraints in computing time when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Daniela Calvetti , Matthew M. Dunlop , Erkki Somersalo , Andrew M. Stuart

Stochastic iterative methods are useful in a variety of large-scale numerical linear algebraic, machine learning, and statistical problems, in part due to their low-memory footprint. They are frequently used in a variety of applications,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Toby Anderson , Max Collins , Jamie Haddock , Jackie Lok , Elizaveta Rebrova

Stacking is a widely used model averaging technique that asymptotically yields optimal predictions among linear averages. We show that stacking is most effective when model predictive performance is heterogeneous in inputs, and we can…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-29 Yuling Yao , Gregor Pirš , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

Evolutionary algorithms have been widely studied from a theoretical perspective. In particular, the area of runtime analysis has contributed significantly to a theoretical understanding and provided insights into the working behaviour of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-04-22 Aneta Neumann , Bradley Alexander , Frank Neumann

The long time effect of nonlinear perturbation to oscillatory linear systems can be characterized by the averaging method, and we consider first-order averaging for its simplest applicability to high-dimensional problems. Instead of the…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Molei Tao

We analyze two theoretical approaches to ensemble averaging for integrable systems in quantum chaos - spectral averaging and parametric averaging. For spectral averaging, we introduce a new procedure - rescaled spectral averaging. Unlike…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-06-05 Tao Ma , R. A. Serota

We propose and analyze a generalized splitting method to sample approximately from a distribution conditional on the occurrence of a rare event. This has important applications in a variety of contexts in operations research, engineering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-10 Zdravko I. Botev , Pierre L'Ecuyer

Symplectic integrators are widely used for the study of planetary dynamics and other $N$-body problems. In a study of the outer Solar system, we demonstrate that individual symplectic integrations can yield biased errors in the semi-major…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-04-15 David M. Hernandez , Eric Agol , Matthew J. Holman , Sam Hadden

We propose and analyze a variant of the classic Polyak-Ruppert averaging scheme, broadly used in stochastic gradient methods. Rather than a uniform average of the iterates, we consider a weighted average, with weights decaying in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Gergely Neu , Lorenzo Rosasco

The partial averaging technique is defined and used in conjunction with the random series implementation of the Feynman-Kac formula. It enjoys certain properties such as good rates of convergence and convergence for potentials with…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Cristian Predescu

Processing sets or other unordered, potentially variable-sized inputs in neural networks is usually handled by aggregating a number of input tensors into a single representation. While a number of aggregation methods already exist from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Sergey Bartunov , Fabian B. Fuchs , Timothy Lillicrap

In this paper we present a novel tool to evaluate problem solving systems. Instead of using a system to solve a problem, we suggest using the problem to evaluate the system. By finding a numerical representation of a problem's complexity,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Goren Gordon , Uri Einziger-Lowicz

The estimation of normalizing constants is a fundamental step in probabilistic model comparison. Sequential Monte Carlo methods may be used for this task and have the advantage of being inherently parallelizable. However, the standard…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-16 Marco Fraccaro , Ulrich Paquet , Ole Winther
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