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For models evaluated at a random set of independent variables, the variance-based Shapley effects range between Sobol' indices, and the corresponding total indices admit derivative-based upper-bounds. Such relationships fail when the inputs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Matieyendou Lamboni

As uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of complex models grows ever more important, the difficulty of their timely realizations highlights a need for more efficient numerical operations. Non-intrusive Polynomial Chaos methods are highly…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Konstantin Weise , Erik Müller , Lucas Poßner , Thomas R. Knösche

Sensitivity analysis is an important tool used in many domains of computational science to either gain insight into the mathematical model and interaction of its parameters or study the uncertainty propagation through the input-output…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-02 Juraj Kardos , Wouter Edeling , Diana Suleimenova , Derek Groen , Olaf Schenk

Identifying optimal designs for generalized linear models with a binary response can be a challenging task, especially when there are both continuous and discrete independent factors in the model. Theoretical results rarely exist for such…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-09 Joshua Lukemire , Abhyuday Mandal , Weng Kee Wong

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) can provide rich information for controlling output uncertainty. In practical applications, segmented models are commonly used to describe an abrupt model change. For segmented models, the complicated…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-12 Shi-Shun Chen , Xiao-Yang Li

In the field of uncertainty quantification, sparse polynomial chaos (PC) expansions are commonly used by researchers for a variety of purposes, such as surrogate modeling. Ideas from compressed sensing may be employed to exploit this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 Paul Diaz , Alireza Doostan , Jerrad Hampton

We propose a holistic framework for constructing sensitivity measures for any elicitable functional $T$ of a response variable. The sensitivity measures, termed score-based sensitivities, are constructed via scoring functions that are…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-03 Tobias Fissler , Silvana M. Pesenti

Sensitivity analysis is an important part of a mathematical modeller's toolbox for model analysis. In this review paper, we describe the most frequently used sensitivity techniques, discussing their advantages and limitations, before…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-14 George Qian , Adam Mahdi

In this paper, we consider a regression model built on dependent variables. This regression modelizes an input output relationship. Under boundedness assumptions on the joint distribution function of the input variables, we show that a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Gaëlle Chastaing , Fabrice Gamboa , Clémentine Prieur

This chapter makes a review, in a complete methodological framework, of various global sensitivity analysis methods of model output. Numerous statistical and probabilistic tools (regression, smoothing, tests, statistical learning, Monte…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Bertrand Iooss , Paul Lemaître

Systems with both quantitative and qualitative responses are widely encountered in many applications. Design of experiment methods are needed when experiments are conducted to study such systems. Classic experimental design methods are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-24 Lulu Kang , Xinwei Deng , Ran Jin

The main objective of this paper is to propose a new approach for estimating the entire collection of Sobol' indices simultaneously. Our approach exploits the fact that Sobol' indices can be rewritten as solutions to an optimization problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Manon Costa , Sébastien Gadat , Xavier Gendre , Thierry Klein

Sensitivity analysis helps identify which model inputs convey the most uncertainty to the model output. One of the most authoritative measures in global sensitivity analysis is the Sobol' total-order index, which can be computed with…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-30 Arnald Puy , William Becker , Samuele Lo Piano , Andrea Saltelli

Accurate approximations of the change of system's output and its statistics with respect to the input are highly desired in computational dynamics. Ruelle's linear response theory provides breakthrough mathematical machinery for computing…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-29 Adam A. Sliwiak , Qiqi Wang

Physical phenomena are commonly modeled by numerical simulators. Such codes can take as input a high number of uncertain parameters and it is important to identify their influences via a global sensitivity analysis (GSA). However, these…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-04 Matthias De Lozzo , Amandine Marrel

Generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) expansions are well established for forward uncertainty propagation in many application areas. Although the associated computational effort may be reduced in comparison to Monte Carlo techniques, for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Niklas Georg , Ulrich Römer

The Shapley effects are global sensitivity indices: they quantify the impact of each input variable on the output variable in a model. In this work, we suggest new estimators of these sensitivity indices. When the input distribution is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-14 Baptiste Broto , François Bachoc , Marine Depecker

This paper introduces Tree-based Polynomial Chaos Expansion (Tree-PCE), a novel surrogate modeling technique designed to efficiently approximate complex numerical models exhibiting nonlinearities and discontinuities. Tree-PCE combines the…

Uncertainty quantification seeks to provide a quantitative means to understand complex systems that are impacted by parametric uncertainty. The polynomial chaos method is a computational approach to solve stochastic partial differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-27 Melvin Leok , Gautam Wilkins

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a classical and widely used surrogate modeling technique in physical simulation and uncertainty quantification. By taking a linear combination of a set of basis polynomials - orthonormal with respect to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Johannes Exenberger , Sascha Ranftl , Robert Peharz