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The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm (Dempster, Laird and Rubin, 1977) is a popular method for computing maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) in problems with missing data. Each iteration of the al- gorithm formally consists of an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-22 Ronald C. Neath

We consider the use of extreme learning machines (ELM) for computational partial differential equations (PDE). In ELM the hidden-layer coefficients in the neural network are assigned to random values generated on $[-R_m,R_m]$ and fixed,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-06-01 Suchuan Dong , Jielin Yang

The Student-$t$ distribution is widely used in statistical modeling of datasets involving outliers since its longer-than-normal tails provide a robust approach to hand such data. Furthermore, data collected over time may contain censored or…

Expectation maximization (EM) is the default algorithm for fitting probabilistic models with missing or latent variables, yet we lack a full understanding of its non-asymptotic convergence properties. Previous works show results along the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Frederik Kunstner , Raunak Kumar , Mark Schmidt

Jump Markov linear systems (JMLS) are a useful class which can be used to model processes which exhibit random changes in behavior during operation. This paper presents a numerically stable method for learning the parameters of jump Markov…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-21 Mark P. Balenzuela , Adrian G. Wills , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

The EM algorithm is a novel numerical method to obtain maximum likelihood estimates and is often used for practical calculations. However, many of maximum likelihood estimation problems are nonconvex, and it is known that the EM algorithm…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-16 Hideyuki Miyahara , Koji Tsumura

Maximum likelihood estimation of energy-based models is a challenging problem due to the intractability of the log-likelihood gradient. In this work, we propose learning both the energy function and an amortized approximate sampling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-29 Rithesh Kumar , Sherjil Ozair , Anirudh Goyal , Aaron Courville , Yoshua Bengio

In this study, we propose a robust mixture regression procedure based on the skew t distribution to model heavy-tailed and/or skewed errors in a mixture regression setting. Using the scale mixture representation of the skew t distribution,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-12 Fatma Zehra Doğru , Olcay Arslan

A probabilistic model for random hypergraphs is introduced to represent unary, binary and higher order interactions among objects in real-world problems. This model is an extension of the Latent Class Analysis model, which captures…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-16 Tin Lok James Ng , Thomas Brendan Murphy

We propose an expectation-maximization-like(EMlike) method to train Boltzmann machine with unconstrained connectivity. It adopts Monte Carlo approximation in the E-step, and replaces the intractable likelihood objective with efficiently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-08 Jinmeng Song , Chun Yuan

The EM algorithm is a powerful tool for maximum likelihood estimation with missing data. In practice, the calculations required for the EM algorithm are often intractable. We review numerous methods to circumvent this intractability, all of…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-03 William Ruth

A new approach for feature extraction from time series is proposed in this paper. This approach consists of a specific regression model incorporating a discrete hidden logistic process. The model parameters are estimated by the maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Allou Samé , Gérard Govaert , Patrice Aknin

Maximum likelihood estimators are proposed for the parameters and the densities in a semiparametric density ratio model in which the nonparametric baseline density is approximated by the Bernstein polynomial model. The EM algorithm is used…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Zhong Guan

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution function of the event time and a continuous mark variable based on censored data. More specifically, the event time is subject to current status censoring and the continuous mark…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-07 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed , Birgit Witte

In regression models involving economic variables such as income, log transformation is typically taken to achieve approximate normality and stabilize the variance. However, often the interest is predicting individual values or means of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-25 Nirian Martin , Isabel Molina

We investigate the problem of computing a nested expectation of the form $\mathbb{P}[\mathbb{E}[X|Y] \!\geq\!0]\!=\!\mathbb{E}[\textrm{H}(\mathbb{E}[X|Y])]$ where $\textrm{H}$ is the Heaviside function. This nested expectation appears, for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-15 Michael B. Giles , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali

This dissertation shows that careful injection of noise into sample data can substantially speed up Expectation-Maximization algorithms. Expectation-Maximization algorithms are a class of iterative algorithms for extracting maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-26 Osonde Adekorede Osoba

We study Sinkhorn EM (sEM), a variant of the expectation maximization (EM) algorithm for mixtures based on entropic optimal transport. sEM differs from the classic EM algorithm in the way responsibilities are computed during the expectation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-01 Gonzalo Mena , Amin Nejatbakhsh , Erdem Varol , Jonathan Niles-Weed

Mixture density networks are neural networks that produce Gaussian mixtures to represent continuous multimodal conditional densities. Standard training procedures involve maximum likelihood estimation using the negative log-likelihood (NLL)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Yutao Chen , Jasmine Bayrooti , Steven Morad

This paper introduces a novel model-based clustering approach for clustering time series which present changes in regime. It consists of a mixture of polynomial regressions governed by hidden Markov chains. The underlying hidden process for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Allou Samé , Patrice Aknin , Gérard Govaert