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We study the fluctuations of ergodic sums using global and local specifications on periodic points. We obtain Lindeberg-type central limit theorems in both situations. As an application, when the system possesses a unique measure of maximal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-14 Manfred Denker , Samuel Senti , Xuan Zhang

We prove pathwise large deviation principles of slow variables in slow-fast systems in the limit of time-scale separation tending to infinity. In the limit regime we consider, the convergence of the slow variable to its deterministic limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Richard C. Kraaij , Mikola C. Schlottke

In this paper, under mild assumptions, we derive a law of large numbers, a central limit theorem with an error estimate, an almost sure invariance principle and a variant of Chernoff bound in finite-state hidden Markov models. These limit…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-13 Guangyue Han

We study the large deviations of sums of correlated random variables described by a matrix product ansatz, which generalizes the product structure of independent random variables to matrices whose non-commutativity is the source of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-18 Florian Angeletti , Hugo Touchette , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

We derive a large deviation principle for families of random variables in the basin of attraction of spectrally positive stable distributions by proving a uniform version of the Tauberian theorem for Laplace-Stieltjes transforms. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Giampaolo Cristadoro , Gaia Pozzoli

We obtain moderate deviations theorems and exponential (Bernstein type) concentration inequalities for "nonconventional" sums of the form $S_N=\sum_{n=1}^N (F(\xi_{q_1(n)},\xi_{q_2(n)},...,\xi_{q_\ell(n)})-\bar F)$.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yeor Hafouta

We revisit the moment method to obtain a slightly strengthened version of the usual semicircular law. Our version assumes only that the upper triangular entries of Hermitian random matrices are independent, have mean zero and variances…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Wooyoung Chin

The discounted central limit theorem concerns the convergence of an infinite discounted sum of i.i.d. random variables to normality as the discount factor approaches $1$. We show that, using the Fourier metric on probability distributions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-12 Guy Katriel

We derive a Gaussian Central Limit Theorem for the sample quantiles based on locally dependent random variables with explicit convergence rate. Our approach is based on converting the problem to a sum of indicator random variables, applying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-05 Partha S. Dey , Grigory Terlov

We consider diffraction at random point scatterers on general discrete point sets in $\R^\nu$, restricted to a finite volume. We allow for random amplitudes and random dislocations of the scatterers. We investigate the speed of convergence…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Kuelske

We study the bootstrap for the maxima of the sums of independent random variables, a problem of high relevance to many applications in modern statistics. Since the consistency of bootstrap was justified by Gaussian approximation in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Hang Deng

The main result of the article is the rate of convergence to the Rosenblatt-type distributions in non-central limit theorems. Specifications of the main theorem are discussed for several scenarios. In particular, special attention is paid…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-16 Vo Anh , Nikolai Leonenko , Andriy Olenko

In this paper, we consider moderate deviations for Good's coverage estimator. The moderate deviation principle and the self-normalized moderate deviation principle for Good's coverage estimator are established. The results are also applied…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-10 Fuqing Gao

We build a sharp approximation of the whole distribution of the sum of iid heavy-tailed random vectors, combining mean and extreme behaviors. It extends the so-called 'normex' approach from a univariate to a multivariate framework. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Marie Kratz , Evgeny Prokopenko

We establish a large deviation principle for the smallest eigenvalue of a random matrix model composed of the sum of a GOE matrix and a diagonal matrix with an outlier. Our result generalizes and unifies previously studied cases.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-22 Jeanne Boursier , Alice Guionnet

The central limit theorem provides the theoretical foundation for the universality of the normal distribution: under broad conditions, the asymptotic distribution of a sum of independent random variables approaches a Gaussian. Yet, physical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-03-26 Mario Castro , José A. Cuesta

A stationary random sequence admits under some assumptions a representation as the sum of two others: one of them is a martingale difference sequence, and another is a so-called coboundary. Such a representation can be used for proving some…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-24 Mikhail Gordin

The martingale posterior framework is a generalization of Bayesian inference where one elicits a sequence of one-step ahead predictive densities instead of the likelihood and prior. Posterior sampling then involves the imputation of unseen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Edwin Fong , Andrew Yiu

We consider a branching random walk on $\mathbb{R}$ with a stationary and ergodic environment $\xi=(\xi_n)$ indexed by time $n\in\mathbb{N}$. Let $Z_n$ be the counting measure of particles of generation $n$ and $\tilde Z_n(t)=\int…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-07 Xiaoqiang Wang , Chunmao Huang

In this paper we consider the (weighted) spectral measure $\mu_n$ of a $n\times n$ random matrix, distributed according to a classical Gaussian, Laguerre or Jacobi ensemble, and show a moderate deviation principle for the standardised…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-27 Jan Nagel