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Continuous treatments (e.g., doses) arise often in practice, but many available causal effect estimators are limited by either requiring parametric models for the effect curve, or by not allowing doubly robust covariate adjustment. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-21 Edward H. Kennedy , Zongming Ma , Matthew D. McHugh , Dylan S. Small

We propose a nonparametric approach to link prediction in large-scale dynamic networks. Our model uses graph-based features of pairs of nodes as well as those of their local neighborhoods to predict whether those nodes will be linked at…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-19 Purnamrita Sarkar , Deepayan Chakrabarti , Michael Jordan

Can evolving networks be inferred and modeled without directly observing their nodes and edges? In many applications, the edges of a dynamic network might not be observed, but one can observe the dynamics of stochastic cascading processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Elahe Ghalebi , Baharan Mirzasoleiman , Radu Grosu , Jure Leskovec

We propose a nonparametric bivariate time-varying coefficient model for longitudinal measurements with the occurrence of a terminal event that is subject to right censoring. The time-varying coefficients capture the longitudinal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-10 Yue Wang , Bin Nan , Jack D. Kalbfleisch

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt

We propose a non-parametric link prediction algorithm for a sequence of graph snapshots over time. The model predicts links based on the features of its endpoints, as well as those of the local neighborhood around the endpoints. This allows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Purnamrita Sarkar , Deepayan Chakrabarti , Michael Jordan

When the sample path of a Hawkes process is observed discretely, such that only the total event counts in disjoint time intervals are known, the likelihood function becomes intractable. To overcome the challenge of likelihood-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Jason J. Lambe , Feng Chen , Tom Stindl , Tsz-Kit Jeffrey Kwan

Statistical analysis on networks has received growing attention due to demand from various emerging applications. In dynamic networks, one of the key interests is to model the event history of time-stamped interactions amongst nodes. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-09 Tony Sit , Zhiliang Ying , Yi Yu

This paper discusses a nonparametric regression model that naturally generalizes neural network models. The model is based on a finite number of one-dimensional transformations and can be estimated with a one-dimensional rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Joel L. Horowitz , Enno Mammen

Linear regression on network-linked observations has been an essential tool in modeling the relationship between response and covariates with additional network structures. Previous methods either lack inference tools or rely on restrictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-22 Can M. Le , Tianxi Li

We study generalized additive partial linear models, proposing the use of polynomial spline smoothing for estimation of nonparametric functions, and deriving quasi-likelihood based estimators for the linear parameters. We establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Li Wang , Xiang Liu , Hua Liang , Raymond J. Carroll

Parametric factor copula models typically work well in modeling multivariate dependencies due to their flexibility and ability to capture complex dependency structures. However, accurately estimating the linking copulas within these models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Bahareh Ghanbari , Pavel Krupskiy , Laleh Tafakori , Yan Wang

We extend the well-known $\beta$-model for directed graphs to dynamic network setting, where we observe snapshots of adjacency matrices at different time points. We propose a kernel-smoothed likelihood approach for estimating $2n$…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-22 Yuqing Du , Lianqiang Qu , Ting Yan , Yuan Zhang

We propose a time-varying generalization of the Bradley-Terry model that allows for nonparametric modeling of dynamic global rankings of distinct teams. We develop a novel estimator that relies on kernel smoothing to pre-process the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Heejong Bong , Wanshan Li , Shamindra Shrotriya , Alessandro Rinaldo

Recommendation systems are emerging as an important business application with significant economic impact. Currently popular systems include Amazon's book recommendations, Netflix's movie recommendations, and Pandora's music…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-12-03 Mingxuan Sun , Guy Lebanon , Paul Kidwell

A low-dimensional dynamical system is observed in an experiment as a high-dimensional signal; for example, a video of a chaotic pendulums system. Assuming that we know the dynamical model up to some unknown parameters, can we estimate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Ofir Lindenbaum , Amir Sagiv , Gal Mishne , Ronen Talmon

Bike sharing is an increasingly popular mobility choice as it is a sustainable, healthy and economically viable transportation mode. By interpreting rides between bike stations over time as temporal events connecting two bike stations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Melania Lembo , Rūta Juozaitienė , Veronica Vinciotti , Ernst C. Wit

We propose a nonparametric parameter estimation of confidence intervals when the underlying has large or infinite variance. We explain the method by a simple numerical example and provide an application to estimate the coupling strength in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Anirban Das , Manfred Denker , Anna Levina , Lucia Tabacu

We consider the problem of estimating the distribution function, the density and the hazard rate of the (unobservable) event time in the current status model. A well studied and natural nonparametric estimator for the distribution function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed , Birgit I. Witte

We study kernel-based estimation of nonparametric time-varying parameters (TVPs) in linear models. Our contributions are threefold. First, we establish consistency and asymptotic normality of the kernel-based estimator for a broad class of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Mikihito Nishi
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