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Graphical causal models are an important tool for knowledge discovery because they can represent both the causal relations between variables and the multivariate probability distributions over the data. Once learned, causal graphs can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-11 Andrew J Sedgewick , Joseph D. Ramsey , Peter Spirtes , Clark Glymour , Panayiotis V. Benos

The Poisson distribution is the default choice of likelihood for probabilistic models of count data. However, due to the equidispersion contraint of the Poisson, such models may have predictive uncertainty that is artificially inflated.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Jimmy Lederman , Aaron Schein

We suggest a new hardcore Poisson-type distribution for Young diagrams with the row lengths from some finite list. A discrete variant of the time-ordered Mat\'{e}rn II process in 1D is employed. This approach is related to that based on the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Ivan Cherednik

Empirical networks are often globally sparse, with a small average number of connections per node, when compared to the total size of the network. However, this sparsity tends not to be homogeneous, and networks can also be locally dense,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-20 Tiago P. Peixoto

The main contribution of this article is a new prior distribution over directed acyclic graphs, which gives larger weight to sparse graphs. This distribution is intended for structured Bayesian networks, where the structure is given by an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-28 Felix L. Rios , John M. Noble , Timo J. T. Koski

We investigate the directed random walk on hierarchic trees. Two cases are investigated: random variables on deterministic trees with a continuous branching, and random variables on the trees constructed trough the random branching process.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 David B. Saakian

In this article, we study random graphs with a given degree sequence $d_1, d_2, \cdots, d_n$ from the configuration model. We show that under mild assumptions of the degree sequence, the spectral distribution of the normalized Laplacian…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-04 Shuyi Wang , Kevin Li , Jiaoyang Huang

When modeling network data using a latent position model, it is typical to assume that the nodes' positions are independently and identically distributed. However, this assumption implies the average node degree grows linearly with the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Neil A. Spencer , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Random directed graphs $D(n,p)$ undergo a phase transition around the point $p = 1/n$, and the width of the transition window has been known since the works of Luczak and Seierstad. They have established that as $n \to \infty$ when $p = (1…

We present an algorithm to identify sparse dependence structure in continuous and non-Gaussian probability distributions, given a corresponding set of data. The conditional independence structure of an arbitrary distribution can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Rebecca E. Morrison , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk

We introduce a natural generalization of the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph model in which random instances of a fixed motif are added independently. The binomial random motif graph $G(H,n,p)$ is the random (multi)graph obtained by adding…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Michael Anastos , Peleg Michaeli , Samantha Petti

Existing approaches to causal discovery often rely on restrictive modeling assumptions that limit their applicability in real-world settings, particularly when data are heavy-tailed or contain a mixture of discrete and continuous variables.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Juraj Bodik , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

In this paper, we establish the partial correlation graph for multivariate continuous-time stochastic processes, assuming only that the underlying process is stationary and mean-square continuous with expectation zero and spectral density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Lea Schenk

Let $F$ be a probability distribution with support on the non-negative integers. Four methods for generating a simple undirected graph with (approximate) degree distribution $F$ are described and compared. Two methods are based on the so…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Tom Britton , Maria Deijfen , Anders Martin-Löf

The dynamic behaviour of stochastic spreading processes on a network model based on k-regular graphs is investigated. The contact process and the susceptible-infected-susceptible model for the spread of epidemics are considered as prototype…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-10-08 S. V. Fallert , S. N. Taraskin

Let d = (d1, d2, ..., dn) be a vector of non-negative integers with even sum. We prove some basic facts about the structure of a random graph with degree sequence d, including the probability of a given subgraph or induced subgraph.…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-11-30 Brendan D McKay

A compound Poisson process whose randomized time is an independent Poisson process is called compound Poisson process with Poisson subordinator. We provide its probability distribution, which is expressed in terms of the Bell polynomials,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Shelemyahu Zacks

In previous papers, threshold probabilities for the properties of a random distance graph to contain strictly balanced graphs were found. We extend this result to arbitrary graphs and prove that the number of copies of a strictly balanced…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-05-09 A. V. Burkin , M. E. Zhukovskii

This work introduces and compares approaches for estimating rare-event probabilities related to the number of edges in the random geometric graph on a Poisson point process. In the one-dimensional setting, we derive closed-form expressions…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Christian Hirsch , Sarat B. Moka , Thomas Taimre , Dirk P. Kroese

This paper presents some general formulas for random partitions of a finite set derived by Kingman's model of random sampling from an interval partition generated by subintervals whose lengths are the points of a Poisson point process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jim Pitman