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Conformal prediction (CP) for regression can be challenging, especially when the output distribution is heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed. Some of the issues can be addressed by estimating a distribution over the output, but in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Etash Guha , Shlok Natarajan , Thomas Möllenhoff , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Eugene Ndiaye

We consider the behaviour of a critical system in the presence of a gradient perturbation of the couplings. In the direction of the gradient an interface region separates the ordered phase from the disordered one. We develop a scaling…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-06 Thierry Platini , Dragi Karevski , Loïc Turban

When a quantity reaches a value higher (or lower) than its value at any time before, it is said to have made a record. We numerically study the statistical properties of records in the time series of order parameters in different models…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-16 Mily Kundu , Sudip Mukherjee , Soumyajyoti Biswas

Many-variable differential equations with random coefficients provide powerful models for the dynamics of many interacting species in ecology. These models are known to exhibit a dynamical phase transition from a phase where population…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-19 Thibaut Arnoulx de Pirey , Guy Bunin

Path integrals have played a fundamental role in emphasizing the profound analogies between Quantum Field Theory (QFT), and Classical as well as Quantum Statistical Physics. Ideas coming from Statistical Physics have then led to a deeper…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 Jean Zinn-Justin

An introductory review to short-time critical dynamics is given. From the scaling relation valid already in the early stage of the evolution of a system at or near the critical point, one derives power law behaviour for various quantities.…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2017-08-23 L. Schuelke

In inflationary models where the source of scalar perturbations is not the inflaton, but one or more scalars with negligible coupling with the inflaton, the resulting perturbations are not only scale invariant, but fully conformally…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2013-05-30 Paolo Creminelli

Changepoint detection is commonly formulated by minimizing the sum of in-sample losses to quantify the model's overall fit. However, for flexible modeling procedures -- especially those involving high-dimensional parameter spaces or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Chengde Qian , Guanghui Wang , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

We present a physical interpretation of machine learning functions, opening up the possibility to control properties of statistical systems via the inclusion of these functions in Hamiltonians. In particular, we include the predictive…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2021-02-17 Dimitrios Bachtis , Gert Aarts , Biagio Lucini

With extensive variational simulations, dissipative quantum phase transitions in the sub-Ohmic spin-boson model are numerically studied in a dense limit of environmental modes. By employing a generalized trial wave function composed of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-06 Yulong Shen , Nengji Zhou

Critical phenomena in the two-dimensional Ising model with a defect line are studied using boundary conformal field theory on the $c=1$ orbifold. Novel features of the boundary states arising from the orbifold structure, including…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2011-07-19 Masaki Oshikawa , Ian Affleck

Dynamical systems can be analyzed as computational devices capable of performing information processing. In coupled oscillators, enlarged capabilities are expected when the set of units is formed by subsets with collective behaviour within…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-06-24 Ernesto Estevez-Rams , K. Garcia-Medina , B. Aragon-Fernandez

We present an extension of the so-called cumulant crossing method which is used for determination of critical point in Monte Carlo simulations.The new method uses linear combination of several different order-parameter moments and almost…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Itakura

Conformal prediction is a popular, modern technique for providing valid predictive inference for arbitrary machine learning models. Its validity relies on the assumptions of exchangeability of the data, and symmetry of the given model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Scaling limits of critical percolation models show major differences between low and high dimensional models. The article discusses the formulation of the continuum limit for the former case. A mathematical framework is proposed for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-09-25 Michael Aizenman

The character of critical behavior in physical systems depends on the range of interactions. In the limit of infinite range of the interactions, systems will exhibit mean-field critical behavior, i.e., critical behavior not affected by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-11 Young C. Kim , Mikhail A. Anisimov , Jan V. Sengers , Erik Luijten

Conformal predictive systems are sets of predictive distributions with theoretical out-of-sample calibration guarantees. The calibration guarantees are typically that the set of predictions contains a forecast distribution whose prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Sam Allen , Enrico Pescara , Johanna Ziegel

Conformal predictive systems allow forecasters to issue predictive distributions for real-valued future outcomes that have out-of-sample calibration guarantees. On a more abstract level, conformal prediction makes use of in-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-07 Sam Allen , Georgios Gavrilopoulos , Alexander Henzi , Gian-Reto Kleger , Johanna Ziegel

We use the conformal bootstrap to perform a precision study of the operator spectrum of the critical 3d Ising model. We conjecture that the 3d Ising spectrum minimizes the central charge c in the space of unitary solutions to crossing…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2014-12-04 Sheer El-Showk , Miguel F. Paulos , David Poland , Slava Rychkov , David Simmons-Duffin , Alessandro Vichi

Spontaneous collapse models, which are phenomenological mechanisms introduced and designed to account for dynamical wavepacket reduction, are attracting a growing interest from the community interested in the characterisation of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-15 Giorgio Zicari , Matteo Carlesso , Andrea Trombettoni , Mauro Paternostro
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