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Applications of deep learning in financial market prediction has attracted huge attention from investors and researchers. In particular, intra-day prediction at the minute scale, the dramatically fluctuating volume and stock prices within…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-25 Yuze Lu , Hailong Zhang , Qiwen Guo

Statistical and dynamical characters of stock markets have been extensively studied, which now is providing the firm basis for econophysics and its application as ``stylized facts''. However, most of those studies are for markets under the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-04 Shota Nagumo , Takashi Shimada

This paper proposes a novel framework to predict traffic flows' bandwidth ahead of time. Modern network management systems share a common issue: the network situation evolves between the moment the decision is made and the moment when…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Maxime Labonne , Jorge López , Claude Poletti , Jean-Baptiste Munier

This paper studies reinforcement learning for high-frequency trading on limit order books by pairing an Order-Flow-based state model with policy-gradient methods. Instead of value-based RL techniques like tabular Q-learning, our approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Sayak Charabarty , Souradip Pal

Currently, knowledge discovery in databases is an essential step to identify valid, novel and useful patterns for decision making. There are many real-world scenarios, such as bankruptcy prediction, option pricing or medical diagnosis,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-20 José-Ramón Cano , Pedro Antonio Gutiérrez , Bartosz Krawczyk , Michał Woźniak , Salvador García

Midterm stock price prediction is crucial for value investments in the stock market. However, most deep learning models are essentially short-term and applying them to midterm predictions encounters large cumulative errors because they…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-06 Xinyi Li , Yinchuan Li , Xiao-Yang Liu , Christina Dan Wang

Data stream forecasts are essential inputs for decision making at digital platforms. Machine learning algorithms are appealing candidates to produce such forecasts. Yet, digital platforms require a large-scale forecast framework that can…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-18 Jeroen Rombouts , Ines Wilms

Time series analysis is the process of building a model using statistical techniques to represent characteristics of time series data. Processing and forecasting huge time series data is a challenging task. This paper presents Approximation…

This study presents a machine learning-based framework for heart disease prediction using the heart-disease dataset, comprising 303 samples with 14 features. The methodology involves data preprocessing, model training, and evaluation using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Ali Azimi Lamir , Shiva Razzagzadeh , Zeynab Rezaei

Road traffic forecasting plays a critical role in smart city initiatives and has experienced significant advancements thanks to the power of deep learning in capturing non-linear patterns of traffic data. However, the promising results…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Xu Liu , Yutong Xia , Yuxuan Liang , Junfeng Hu , Yiwei Wang , Lei Bai , Chao Huang , Zhenguang Liu , Bryan Hooi , Roger Zimmermann

Limit order books can transition rapidly from stable to stressed conditions, yet standard early-warning signals such as order flow imbalance and short-term volatility are inherently reactive. We formalise this limitation via a three-regime…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Prakul Sunil Hiremath , Vruksha Arun Hiremath

As the number of applications that use machine learning algorithms increases, the need for labeled data useful for training such algorithms intensifies. Getting labels typically involves employing humans to do the annotation, which directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-07-16 Alexandros Ntoulas , Omar Alonso , Vasilis Kandylas

The paper considers a general semi-Markov model for Limit Order Books with two states, which incorporates price changes that are not fixed to one tick. Furthermore, we introduce an even more general case of the semi-Markov model for…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-18 Anatoliy Swishchuk , Katharina Cera , Julia Schmidt , Tyler Hofmeister

We propose a novel sequence prediction method for sequential data capturing node traversals in graphs. Our method builds on a statistical modelling framework that combines multiple higher-order network models into a single multi-order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Christoph Gote , Giona Casiraghi , Frank Schweitzer , Ingo Scholtes

The stock market has been established since the 13th century, but in the current epoch of time, it is substantially more practicable to anticipate the stock market than it was at any other point in time due to the tools and data that are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-27 Ryan Chipwanya

Volume prediction is one of the fundamental objectives in the Fintech area, which is helpful for many downstream tasks, e.g., algorithmic trading. Previous methods mostly learn a universal model for different stocks. However, this kind of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-04 Ruibo Chen , Wei Li , Zhiyuan Zhang , Ruihan Bao , Keiko Harimoto , Xu Sun

In this paper we consider classes of models that have been recently developed for quantitative finance that involve modelling a highly complex multivariate, multi-attribute stochastic process known as the Limit Order Book (LOB). The LOB is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-23 Gareth W. Peters , Efstathios Panayi , Francois Septier

Performance forecasting is an age-old problem in economics and finance. Recently, developments in machine learning and neural networks have given rise to non-linear time series models that provide modern and promising alternatives to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-21 Carmina Fjellström

In this work, we investigate the market-making problem on a trading session in which a continuous phase on a limit order book is followed by a closing auction. Whereas standard optimal market-making models typically rely on terminal…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-27 Julius Graf , Thibaut Mastrolia

It is a challenging task to identify the best possible models based on given empirical data of observed time series. Though the financial markets provide us with a vast amount of empirical data, the best model selection is still a big…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-05 Vygintas Gontis