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In this paper, we employ Credit Default Swaps (CDS) to model the joint and conditional distress probabilities of banks in Europe and the U.S. using factor copulas. We propose multi-factor, structured factor, and factor-vine models where the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-09 Hoang Nguyen , Audronė Virbickaitė , M. Concepción Ausín , Pedro Galeano

We consider a structural stochastic volatility model for the loss from a large portfolio of credit risky assets. Both the asset value and the volatility processes are correlated through systemic Brownian motions, with default determined by…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Ben Hambly , Nikolaos Kolliopoulos

This study introduces the CIR3 model, a three-factor model characterized by stochastic and correlated trends and volatilities. The paper focuses on establishing the Wasserstein ergodicity of this model, a task not achievable through…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Giacomo Ascione , Michele Bufalo , Giuseppe Orlando

We introduce a new method to price American-style options on underlying investments governed by stochastic volatility (SV) models. The method does not require the volatility process to be observed. Instead, it exploits the fact that the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-26 Bhojnarine R. Rambharat , Anthony E. Brockwell

In this paper, we propose the uncertain volatility models with stochastic bounds. Like the regular uncertain volatility models, we know only that the true model lies in a family of progressively measurable and bounded processes, but instead…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-17 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ning Ning

The coupled nonlinear volatility and option pricing model presented recently by Ivancevic is investigated, which generates a leverage effect, i.e., stock volatility is (negatively) correlated to stock returns, and can be regarded as a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Zhenya Yan

In this paper we analyse the five-factor capital market model of Munk et al.(2004). The model features a Vasicek interest rate model, an equity index with mean-reverting excess return and an index for realized inflation with mean-reverting…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-14 Søren Fiig Jarner , Michael Preisel

In this paper, we investigate a portfolio investment problem under volatility uncertainty and short-sale constraints market via sublinear expectation which is used to model volatility uncertainty. We assume the stocks admit volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-05 Jing He , Shuzhen Yang

The Stochastic Volatility (SV) model and its variants are widely used in the financial sector while recurrent neural network (RNN) models are successfully used in many large-scale industrial applications of Deep Learning. Our article…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-25 Trong-Nghia Nguyen , Minh-Ngoc Tran , David Gunawan , R. Kohn

In this chapter we first briefly review the existing approaches to hedging in rough volatility models. Next, we present a simple but general result which shows that in a one-factor rough stochastic volatility model, any option may be…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-11 Masaaki Fukasawa , Blanka Horvath , Peter Tankov

The aim of our work is to propose a natural framework to account for all the empirically known properties of the multivariate distribution of stock returns. We define and study a "nested factor model", where the linear factors part is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-15 Rémy Chicheportiche , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Optimal B-robust estimate is constructed for multidimensional parameter in drift coefficient of diffusion type process with small noise. Optimal mean-variance robust (optimal V -robust) trading strategy is find to hedge in mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 N. Lazrieva , T. Toronjadze

Accurate volatility forecasts are vital in modern finance for risk management, portfolio allocation, and strategic decision-making. However, existing methods face key limitations. Fully multivariate models, while comprehensive, are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Duo Zhang , Jiayu Li , Junyi Mo , Elynn Chen

Conditions of Stability for explicit finite difference scheme and some results of numerical analysis for a unified 2 factor model of structural and reduced form types for corporate bonds with fixed discrete coupon are provided. It seems to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-28 Hyong-Chol O. , Jong-Chol Kim , Il-Gwang Jon

Our article considers a regression model with observed factors. The observed factors have a flexible stochastic volatility structure that has separate dynamics for the volatilities and the correlation matrix. The correlation matrix of the…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2011-07-14 Yu-Cheng Ku , Peter Bloomfield , Robert Kohn

This paper proposes a structural multivariate unobserved components model with external instrument (SMUC-IV) to investigate the effects of monetary policy shocks on key U.S. macroeconomic "stars"-namely, the level of potential output, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-13 Bowen Fu , Chenghan Hou , Jan Prüser

The Constant Elasticity of Variance (CEV) model is mathematically presented and then used in a Credit-Equity hybrid framework. Next, we propose extensions to the CEV model with default: firstly by adding a stochastic volatility diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marc Atlan , Boris Leblanc

Regime detection is vital for the effective operation of trading and investment strategies. However, the most popular means of doing this, the two-state Markov-switching regression model (MSR), is not an optimal solution, as two volatility…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Piotr Pomorski , Denise Gorse

The stochastic volatility model is a popular tool for modeling the volatility of assets. The model is a nonlinear and non-Gaussian state space model, and consequently is difficult to fit. Many approaches, both classical and Bayesian, have…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-22 Chen Gong , David S. Stoffer

Volatility for financial assets returns can be used to gauge the risk for financial market. We propose a deep stochastic volatility model (DSVM) based on the framework of deep latent variable models. It uses flexible deep learning models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Xiuqin Xu , Ying Chen