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Stochastic volatility models describe stock returns $r_t$ as driven by an unobserved process capturing the random dynamics of volatility $v_t$. The present paper quantifies how much information about volatility $v_t$ and future stock…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-04 Oliver Pfante , Nils Bertschinger

This dissertation develops and justifies a novel method for deriving approximate formulas to estimate two parameters in stochastic volatility diffusion models with exponentially-affine characteristic functions and single- or two-factor…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-16 Mikołaj Łabędzki

In this article we model chaotic dynamics in financial markets by treating the market price, and market makers' inventory, as anharmonic oscillators with a nonlinear coupling. The market makers' risk appetite being the key parameter that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-18 Will Hicks

The Stochastic Volatility (SV) model and its variants are widely used in the financial sector while recurrent neural network (RNN) models are successfully used in many large-scale industrial applications of Deep Learning. Our article…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-25 Trong-Nghia Nguyen , Minh-Ngoc Tran , David Gunawan , R. Kohn

The pricing of options, warrants and other derivative securities is one of the great success of financial economics. These financial products can be modeled and simulated using quantum mechanical instruments based on a Hamiltonian…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-18 Belal E. Baaquie , Claudio Coriano , Marakani Srikant

In a market with transaction costs, the price of a derivative can be expressed in terms of (preconsistent) price systems (after Kusuoka (1995)). In this paper, we consider a market with binomial model for stock price and discuss how to…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Tzuu-Shuh Chiang , Shang-Yuan Shiu , Shuenn-Jyi Sheu

We study the causal distributionally robust optimization (DRO) in both discrete- and continuous- time settings. The framework captures model uncertainty, with potential models penalized in function of their adapted Wasserstein distance to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Yifan Jiang , Jan Obloj

We consider option pricing using a discrete-time Markov switching stochastic volatility with co-jump model, which can model volatility clustering and varying mean-reversion speeds of volatility. For pricing European options, we develop a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 Michael C. Fu , Bingqing Li , Rongwen Wu , Tianqi Zhang

The stochastic leverage effect, defined as the standardized covariation between the returns and their related volatility, is analyzed in a stochastic volatility model set-up. A novel estimator of the effect is defined using a pre-estimation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-09 Imma Valentina Curato , Simona Sanfelici

We consider stochastic volatility dynamics driven by a general H\"older continuous Volterra-type noise and with unbounded drift. For these so-called SVV-models, we consider the explicit computation of quadratic hedging strategies. While the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-16 Giulia Di Nunno , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

The volatility characterizes the amplitude of price return fluctuations. It is a central magnitude in finance closely related to the risk of holding a certain asset. Despite its popularity on trading floors, the volatility is unobservable…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver

In the present paper, we first revisit the volatility estimation approach proposed by N. Kunitomo and S. Sato, and second, we show that the volatility estimator proposed by P. Malliavin and M.E. Mancino can be understood in a unified way by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Jirô Akahori , Ryuya Namba , Atsuhito Watanabe

In this note, we develop stock option price approximations for a model which takes both the risk o default and the stochastic volatility into account. We also let the intensity of defaults be influenced by the volatility. We show that it…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-12-21 Erhan Bayraktar

Many studies assume stock prices follow a random process known as geometric Brownian motion. Although approximately correct, this model fails to explain the frequent occurrence of extreme price movements, such as stock market crashes. Using…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-14 Miguel A. Fuentes , Austin Gerig , Javier Vicente

Stochastic models are necessary for the realistic description of an increasing number of applications. The ability to identify influential parameters and variables is critical to a thorough analysis and understanding of the underlying…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-29 Joseph L. Hart , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

In this paper, we develop a novel method based on Malliavin calculus to find an approximation for the convexity adjustment for various classical interest rate products. Malliavin calculus provides a simple way to get a template for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-28 David García-Lorite , Raul Merino

We present a new class of Bayesian dynamic models for bivariate price-realized volatility time series in financial forecasting. A novel dynamic gamma process model adopted for realized volatility is integrated with traditional Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Patrick Woitschig , Mike West

The determination of acceptability prices of contingent claims requires the choice of a stochastic model for the underlying asset price dynamics. Given this model, optimal bid and ask prices can be found by stochastic optimization. However,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-31 Martin Glanzer , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

We present an option pricing formula for European options in a stochastic volatility model. In particular, the volatility process is defined using a fractional integral of a diffusion process and both the stock price and the volatility…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-29 Marc Lagunas-Merino , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre

We provide sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of solutions to a stochastic differential equation which arises in a price impact model. These conditions are stated as smoothness and boundedness requirements on utility…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-21 Peter Bank , Dmitry Kramkov