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Studies in environmental and epidemiological sciences are often spatially varying and observational in nature with the aim of establishing cause and effect relationships. One of the major challenges with such studies is the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-16 Sayli Pokal , Yawen Guan , Honglang Wang , Yuzhen Zhou

Non-probability samples become increasingly popular in survey statistics but may suffer from selection biases that limit the generalizability of results to the target population. We consider integrating a non-probability sample with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim , Rui Song

We consider adaptive designs for a trial involving N individuals that we follow along T time steps. We allow for the variables of one individual to depend on its past and on the past of other individuals. Our goal is to learn a mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Aurelien Bibaut , Maya Petersen , Nikos Vlassis , Maria Dimakopoulou , Mark van der Laan

Consider the problem of estimating average treatment effects when a large number of covariates are used to adjust for possible confounding through outcome regression and propensity score models. The conventional approach of model building…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-31 Zhiqiang Tan

A central goal of machine learning is to learn robust representations that capture the causal relationship between inputs features and output labels. However, minimizing empirical risk over finite or biased datasets often results in models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Chunting Zhou , Xuezhe Ma , Paul Michel , Graham Neubig

We present a novel strategy for robust dual control of linear time-invariant systems based on gain scheduling with performance guarantees. This work relies on prior results of determining uncertainty bounds of system parameters estimated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-14 Janani Venkatasubramanian , Johannes Köhler , Julian Berberich , Frank Allgöwer

Progressive multi-state survival outcomes are common in trials with recurrent or sequential events and require treatment effect estimands that remain interpretable without proportional intensity or Markov assumptions. The restricted mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Xi Fang , Bingkai Wang , Guangyu Tong , Liangyuan Hu , Shuangge Ma , Fan Li

We propose a new estimation method for heterogeneous causal effects which utilizes a regression discontinuity (RD) design for multiple datasets with different thresholds. The standard RD design is frequently used in applied researches, but…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-14 Takayuki Toda , Ayako Wakano , Takahiro Hoshino

Longitudinal studies are often subject to missing data. The ICH E9(R1) addendum addresses the importance of defining a treatment effect estimand with the consideration of intercurrent events. Jump-to-reference (J2R) is one classically…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-06 Siyi Liu , Shu Yang , Yilong Zhang , Guanghan , Liu

We review distributionally robust optimization (DRO), a principled approach for constructing statistical estimators that hedge against the impact of deviations in the expected loss between the training and deployment environments. Many…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Jose Blanchet , Jiajin Li , Sirui Lin , Xuhui Zhang

We consider a residuals-based distributionally robust optimization (DRO) model, where the underlying uncertainty depends on both covariate information and our decisions. We adopt both parametric and nonparametric regression models to learn…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Qing Zhu , Xian Yu , Guzin Bayraksan

This paper concerns robust inference on average treatment effects following model selection. In the selection on observables framework, we show how to construct confidence intervals based on a doubly-robust estimator that are robust to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-13 Max H. Farrell

Semi-functional linear regression models postulate a linear relationship between a scalar response and a functional covariate, and also include a non-parametric component involving a univariate explanatory variable. It is of practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Graciela Boente , Matias Salibian-Barrera , Pablo Vena

Suppose we are interested in the mean of an outcome variable missing not at random. Suppose however that one has available a fully observed shadow variable, which is associated with the outcome but independent of the missingness process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Wang Miao , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

We review sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) estimators with multivariate response in this paper. A wide range of SDR methods are characterized as inverse regression SDR estimators or forward regression SDR estimators. The inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-03 Yuexiao Dong , Abdul-Nasah Soale , Michael D. Power

The regression discontinuity design (RDD) is a quasi-experimental design that can be used to identify and estimate the causal effect of a treatment using observational data. In an RDD, a pre-specified rule is used for treatment assignment,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-05 Panayiota Constantinou , Aidan G. O'Keeffe

Despite the high performance achieved by deep neural networks on various tasks, extensive studies have demonstrated that small tweaks in the input could fail the model predictions. This issue of deep neural networks has led to a number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Ming-Chang Chiu , Xuezhe Ma

Robust reinforcement learning is essential for deploying reinforcement learning algorithms in real-world scenarios where environmental uncertainty predominates. Traditional robust reinforcement learning often depends on rectangularity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Adil Zouitine , David Bertoin , Pierre Clavier , Matthieu Geist , Emmanuel Rachelson

Nonresponse after probability sampling is a universal challenge in survey sampling, often necessitating adjustments to mitigate sampling and selection bias simultaneously. This study explored the removal of bias and effective utilization of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Kosuke Morikawa , Kenji Beppu , Wataru Aida

Standard regression discontinuity design (RDD) models rely on the continuity of expected potential outcomes at the cutoff. The standard continuity assumption can be violated by strategic manipulation of the running variable, which is…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-18 Rahul Singh , Moses Stewart