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Models necessarily capture only parts of a reality. Prediction models aim at capturing a future reality. In this paper we address the question of how the future is constructed (or: imagined) in an investment context where market…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-24 Matthias J. Feiler , Thibaut Ajdler

Diffusion probabilistic models have made their way into a number of high-profile applications since their inception. In particular, there has been a wave of research into using diffusion models in the prediction and design of biomolecular…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-05 Trevor Norton , Debswapna Bhattacharya

The paper introduces a generalization for known probabilistic models such as log-linear and graphical models, called here multiplicative models. These models, that express probabilities via product of parameters are shown to capture…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Ydo Wexler , Christopher Meek

Mixtures of linear mixed models are widely used for modelling longitudinal data for which observation times differ between subjects. In typical applications, temporal trends are described using a basis expansion, with basis coefficients…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Lucas Kock , Nadja Klein , David J. Nott

Despite the growing interest in diffusion models, gaining a deep understanding of the model class remains an elusive endeavour, particularly for the uninitiated in non-equilibrium statistical physics. Thanks to the rapid rate of progress in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Fabio De Sousa Ribeiro , Ben Glocker

Mixture models are powerful statistical models used in many applications ranging from density estimation to clustering and classification. When dealing with mixture models, there are many issues that the experimenter should be aware of and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-23 Reshad Hosseini , Mohamadreza Mash'al

We illustrate the use of intersection types as a semantic tool for showing properties of the lattice of lambda theories. Relying on the notion of easy intersection type theory we successfully build a filter model in which the interpretation…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 M. Dezani-Ciancaglini , S. Lusin

Diffusion and flow-based models have become the state of the art for generative AI across a wide range of data modalities, including images, videos, shapes, molecules, music, and more. This tutorial provides a self-contained introduction to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Peter Holderrieth , Ezra Erives

Many economic theory models incorporate finiteness assumptions that, while introduced for simplicity, play a real role in the analysis. We provide a principled framework for scaling results from such models by removing these finiteness…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Yannai A. Gonczarowski , Scott Duke Kominers , Ran I. Shorrer

Completing a data matrix X has become an ubiquitous problem in modern data science, with applications in recommender systems, computer vision, and networks inference, to name a few. One typical assumption is that X is low-rank. A more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-03 Daniel L. Pimentel-Alarcón

We propose two neural network based mixture models in this article. The proposed mixture models are explicit in nature. The explicit models have analytical forms with the advantages of computing likelihood and efficiency of generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Dong Liu , Minh Thành Vu , Saikat Chatterjee , Lars K. Rasmussen

Future prediction is a fundamental principle of intelligence that helps plan actions and avoid possible dangers. As the future is uncertain to a large extent, modeling the uncertainty and multimodality of the future states is of great…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Osama Makansi , Eddy Ilg , Özgün Cicek , Thomas Brox

Estimating the model evidence - or mariginal likelihood of the data - is a notoriously difficult task for finite and infinite mixture models and we reexamine here different Monte Carlo techniques advocated in the recent literature, as well…

Computation · Statistics 2022-05-12 Adrien Hairault , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

We review a collection of models of random simplicial complexes together with some of the most exciting phenomena related to them. We do not attempt to cover all existing models, but try to focus on those for which many important results…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Omer Bobrowski , Dmitri Krioukov

For exchangeable data, mixture models are an extremely useful tool for density estimation due to their attractive balance between smoothness and flexibility. When additional covariate information is present, mixture models can be extended…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Sara Wade , Vanda Inacio , Sonia Petrone

A mixture of experts models the conditional density of a response variable using a mixture of regression models with covariate-dependent mixture weights. We extend the finite mixture of experts model by allowing the parameters in both the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-14 Parfait Munezero , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

Several formulations have long existed in the literature in the form of continuous mixtures of normal variables where a mixing variable operates on the mean or on the variance or on both the mean and the variance of a multivariate normal…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-31 Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle , Adelchi Azzalini

This article is the first of an intended series of works on the model theory of Ultrafinitism. It is roughly divided into two parts. The first one addresses some of the issues related to ultrafinitistic programs, as well as some of the core…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Mirco A. Mannucci , Rose M. Cherubin

Finite mixture of skew distributions have emerged as an effective tool in modelling heterogeneous data with asymmetric features. With various proposals appearing rapidly in the recent years, which are similar but not identical, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-29 Sharon X. Lee , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

Linear mixed-effects models are a central analytical tool for modeling hierarchical and longitudinal data, as they allow simultaneous representation of fixed and random sources of variation. In practice, inference for such models is most…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-12 Hilde Vinje , Lars Erik Gangsei
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