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We develop a stochastic volatility framework for modeling multiple currencies based on CBI-time-changed L\'evy processes. The proposed framework captures the typical risk characteristics of FX markets and is coherent with the symmetries of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-11 Claudio Fontana , Alessandro Gnoatto , Guillaume Szulda

The transition law of every exchangeable Feller process on the space of countable graphs is determined by a $\sigma$-finite measure on the space of $\{0,1\}\times\{0,1\}$-valued arrays. In discrete-time, this characterization amounts to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-23 Harry Crane

We present a new model for the electricity spot price dynamics, which is able to capture seasonality, low-frequency dynamics and the extreme spikes in the market. Instead of the usual purely deterministic trend we introduce a non-stationary…

Applications · Statistics 2012-01-06 Fred Espen Benth , Claudia Klüppelberg , Gernot Müller , Linda Vos

This paper is a supplement to our recent paper ``Alternative models for FX, arbitrage opportunities and efficient pricing of double barrier options in L\'evy models". We introduce the class of regime-switching L\'evy models with memory,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-27 Svetlana Boyarchenko , Sergei Levendorskiĭ

We derive a general multivariate theory for realised characteristics of `model-free discretisation-invariant swaps', so-called because the standard no-arbitrage assumption of martingale forward prices is sufficient to derive fair-value swap…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-05 Carol Alexander , Johannes Rauch

In this paper we discuss backward stochastic differential equations with Markov chain noise, having continuous drivers. We obtain the existence of a solution which is possibly not unique. Moreover, we show there is a minimal solution for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Dimbinirina Ramarimbahoaka , Zhe Yang , Robert J. Elliott

This paper presents the solution to a European option pricing problem by considering a regime-switching jump diffusion model of the underlying financial asset price dynamics. The regimes are assumed to be the results of an observed pure…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Anindya Goswami , Omkar Manjarekar , Anjana R

The large variability of renewable power sources is a central challenge in the transition to a sustainable energy system. Electricity markets are central for the coordination of electric power generation. These markets rely evermore on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-07 Chengyuan Han , Hannes Hilger , Eva Mix , Philipp C. Böttcher , Mark Reyers , Christian Beck , Dirk Witthaut , Leonardo Rydin Gorjão

Quanto options allow the buyer to exchange the foreign currency payoff into the domestic currency at a fixed exchange rate. We investigate quanto options with multiple underlying assets valued in different foreign currencies each with a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-26 Boris Ter-Avanesov , Gunter A. Meissner

It is shown that prize changes of the US dollar - German Mark exchange rates upon different delay times can be regarded as a stochastic Marcovian process. Furthermore we show that from the empirical data the Kramers-Moyal coefficients can…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-31 Rudolf Friedrich , Joachim Peinke , Christoph Renner

The problem of stochastic deadline scheduling is considered. A constrained Markov decision process model is introduced in which jobs arrive randomly at a service center with stochastic job sizes, rewards, and completion deadlines. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-10 Zhe Yu , Yunjian Xu , Lang Tong

In this paper the valuation problem of a European call option in presence of both stochastic volatility and transaction costs is considered. In the limit of small transaction costs and fast mean reversion, an asymptotic expression for the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-20 R. E. Caflisch , G. Gambino , M. Sammartino , C. Sgarra

In stochastic volatility models based on time-homogeneous diffusions, we provide a simple necessary and sufficient condition for the discretely sampled fair strike of a variance swap to converge to the continuously sampled fair strike. It…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-26 Carole Bernard , Zhenyu Cui , Don McLeish

We adopt the interpretability offered by a parametric, Hawkes-process-inspired conditional probability mass function for the marks and apply variational inference techniques to derive a general and scalable inferential framework for marked…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-21 Aristeidis Panos , Ioannis Kosmidis , Petros Dellaportas

In this paper, we consider a type of time-changed Markov process, where the time-change is an inverse killed subordinator. This can be seen as an extension of Chen (Chen, Z., Time fractional equations and probabilistic representation, Chaos…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-09 Huiyan Zhao , Siyan xu

We study continuous time Markov processes on graphs. The notion of frequency is introduced, which serves well as a scaling factor between any Markov time of a continuous time Markov process and that of its jump chain. As an application, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jianjun Tian , Xiao-Song Lin

Flowshop machine scheduling has been of main interest in several applications where the timing of its processes plays a fundamental role in the utilization of system resources. Addressing the optimal sequencing of the jobs when equivalent…

Performance · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Samah A. M. Ghanem

It is well documented that a model for the underlying asset price process that seeks to capture the behaviour of the market prices of vanilla options needs to exhibit both diffusion and jump features. In this paper we assume that the asset…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-21 A. Mijatovic , H. Lo

We explore the concept of a consistent exchangeable survival process - a joint distribution of survival times in which the risk set evolves as a continuous-time Markov process with homogeneous transition rates. We show a correspondence with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Walter Dempsey , Peter McCullagh

This paper proposes a novel model of financial prices where: (i) prices are discrete; (ii) prices change in continuous time; (iii) a high proportion of price changes are reversed in a fraction of a second. Our model is analytically…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-21 Neil Shephard , Justin J. Yang
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