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This paper proposes an algorithm capable of driving a system to follow a piecewise linear trajectory without prior knowledge of the system dynamics. Motivated by a critical failure scenario in which a system can experience an abrupt change…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Taha Shafa , Yiming Meng , Melkior Ornik

Model-based reinforcement learning is a powerful tool, but collecting data to fit an accurate model of the system can be costly. Exploring an unknown environment in a sample-efficient manner is hence of great importance. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Matthieu Blanke , Marc Lelarge

Bayesian optimal experiments that maximize the information gained from collected data are critical to efficiently identify behavioral models. We extend a seminal method for designing Bayesian optimal experiments by introducing two…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-19 Stefano Balietti , Brennan Klein , Christoph Riedl

Optimal design of experiments for Bayesian inverse problems has recently gained wide popularity and attracted much attention, especially in the computational science and Bayesian inversion communities. An optimal design maximizes a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Ahmed Attia , Sven Leyffer , Todd Munson

Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

We study the problem of data-driven, constrained control of unknown nonlinear dynamics from a single ongoing and finite-horizon trajectory. We consider a one-step optimal control problem with a smooth, black-box objective, typically a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-23 Abraham P. Vinod , Arie Israel , Ufuk Topcu

Mathematical models are routinely applied to interpret biological data, with common goals that include both prediction and parameter estimation. A challenge in mathematical biology, in particular, is that models are often complex and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Alexander P Browning , Jennifer A Flegg , Ryan J Murphy

In conventional ODE modelling coefficients of an equation driving the system state forward in time are estimated. However, for many complex systems it is practically impossible to determine the equations or interactions governing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Markus Heinonen , Cagatay Yildiz , Henrik Mannerström , Jukka Intosalmi , Harri Lähdesmäki

State space models are well-known for their versatility in modeling dynamic systems that arise in various scientific disciplines. Although parametric state space models are well studied, nonparametric approaches are much less explored in…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-23 Satyaki Mazumder , Sourabh Bhattacharya

The process of calibrating computer models of natural phenomena is essential for applications in the physical sciences, where plenty of domain knowledge can be embedded into simulations and then calibrated against real observations. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Rafael Oliveira , Dino Sejdinovic , David Howard , Edwin V. Bonilla

We present an optimal control-based strategy to enhance the estimation of impulse-like disturbances in continuously monitored linear classical and quantum systems by exploiting non-equilibrium states. Using optimal estimation techniques for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-13 Kaspar Schmerling , Andreas Kugi , Andreas Deutschmann-Olek

One of the pivotal tasks in scientific machine learning is to represent underlying dynamical systems from time series data. Many methods for such dynamics learning explicitly require the derivatives of state data, which are not directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Dongwei Ye , Mengwu Guo

This paper derives an optimal control strategy for a simple stochastic dynamical system with constant drift and an additive control input. Motivated by the example of a physical system with an unexpected change in its dynamics, we take the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-09 Daniel Gurevich , Debdipta Goswami , Charles L. Fefferman , Clarence W. Rowley

Data generated from dynamical systems with unknown dynamics enable the learning of state observers that are: robust to modeling error, computationally tractable to design, and capable of operating with guaranteed performance. In this paper,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-28 Ankush Chakrabarty , Mouhacine Benosman

Trajectory optimization of a controlled dynamical system is an essential part of autonomy, however many trajectory optimization techniques are limited by the fidelity of the underlying parametric model. In the field of robotics, a lack of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-02-17 Manan Gandhi , Yunpeng Pan , Evangelos Theodorou

We propose a general framework for studying optimal impulse control problem in the presence of uncertainty on the parameters. Given a prior on the distribution of the unknown parameters, we explain how it should evolve according to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-06 N. Baradel , B. Bouchard , Ngoc Minh Dang

Determining the causal structure of a set of variables is critical for both scientific inquiry and decision-making. However, this is often challenging in practice due to limited interventional data. Given that randomized experiments are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-28 Raj Agrawal , Chandler Squires , Karren Yang , Karthik Shanmugam , Caroline Uhler

We propose a technique for the design and analysis of adaptation algorithms in dynamical systems. The technique applies both to systems with conventional Lyapunov-stable target dynamics and to ones of which the desired dynamics around the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Tyukin Ivan , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen

Mechanistic mathematical models of biological systems usually contain a number of unknown parameters whose values need to be estimated from available experimental data in order for the models to be validated and used to make quantitative…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-16 Yue Liu , Philip K. Maini , Ruth E. Baker

Reliable optimal control is challenging when the dynamics of a nonlinear system are unknown and only infrequent, noisy output measurements are available. This work addresses this setting of limited sensing by formulating a Bayesian prior…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-21 Robert Lefringhausen , Theodor Springer , Sandra Hirche