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We introduce a nonasymptotic framework for sub-Poisson distributions with moment generating function dominated by that of a Poisson distribution. At its core is a new notion of optimal sub-Poisson variance proxy, analogous to the variance…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Lasse Leskelä , Ian Välimaa

We investigate the sub-Gaussian property for almost surely bounded random variables. If sub-Gaussianity per se is de facto ensured by the bounded support of said random variables, then exciting research avenues remain open. Among these…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Julyan Arbel , Olivier Marchal , Hien D. Nguyen

We investigate the problem of characterizing the optimal variance proxy for sub-Gaussian random variables,whose moment-generating function exhibits bounded growth at infinity. We apply a general characterization method to discrete random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Soufiane Atouani , Olivier Marchal , Julyan Arbel

This paper establishes the optimal sub-Gaussian variance proxy for truncated Gaussian and truncated exponential random variables. The proofs rely on first characterizing the optimal variance proxy as the unique solution to a set of two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Mathias Barreto , Olivier Marchal , Julyan Arbel

We revisit the problem of estimating the mean of a real-valued distribution, presenting a novel estimator with sub-Gaussian convergence: intuitively, "our estimator, on any distribution, is as accurate as the sample mean is for the Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Jasper C. H. Lee , Paul Valiant

The new field of adaptive data analysis seeks to provide algorithms and provable guarantees for models of machine learning that allow researchers to reuse their data, which normally falls outside of the usual statistical paradigm of static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-22 Sam Elder

We observe that gradients computed via the reparameterization trick are in direct correspondence with solutions of the transport equation in the formalism of optimal transport. We use this perspective to compute (approximate) pathwise…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-06 Martin Jankowiak , Fritz Obermeyer

We present some new and explicit error bounds for the approximation of distributions. The approximation error is quantified by the maximal density ratio of the distribution $Q$ to be approximated and its proxy $P$. This non-symmetric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-02 Lutz Duembgen , Richard Samworth , Jon Wellner

This note corrects a technical error in Guardiola (2020, Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications), presents updated derivations, and offers an extended discussion of the properties of the spherical Dirichlet distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-06 Jose H Guardiola

An important line of research is the investigation of the laws of random variables known as Dirichlet means as discussed in Cifarelli and Regazzini(1990). However there is not much information on inter-relationships between different…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Lancelot F. James

We present an optimal transport framework for performing regression when both the covariate and the response are probability distributions on a compact Euclidean subset $\Omega\subset\mathbb{R}^d$, where $d>1$. Extending beyond compactly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

Dirichlet distributions are commonly used for modeling vectors in a probability simplex. When used as a prior or a proposal distribution, it is natural to set the mean of a Dirichlet to be equal to the location where one wants the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Catherine Xue , Alessandro Zito , Jeffrey W. Miller

An interesting line of research is the investigation of the laws of random variables known as Dirichlet means. However, there is not much information on interrelationships between different Dirichlet means. Here, we introduce two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-11 Lancelot F. James

This paper consists of two halves. In the first half of the paper, we consider real-valued functions $f$ whose domain is the vertex set of a graph $G$ and that are Lipschitz with respect to the graph distance. By placing a uniform…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-05-30 Matthew Yancey

The Poisson model is frequently employed to describe count data, but in a Bayesian context it leads to an analytically intractable posterior probability distribution. In this work, we analyze a variational Gaussian approximation to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Simon Arridge , Kazufumi Ito , Bangti Jin , Chen Zhang

We describe the underlying probabilistic interpretation of alpha and beta divergences. We first show that beta divergences are inherently tied to Tweedie distributions, a particular type of exponential family, known as exponential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-09-20 Y. Kenan Yilmaz , A. Taylan Cemgil

We study the boundary regularity of solutions to the porous medium equation $u_t = \Delta u^m$ in the degenerate range $m>1$. In particular, we show that in cylinders the Dirichlet problem with positive continuous boundary data on the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Anders Björn , Jana Björn , Ugo Gianazza , Juhana Siljander

A simple way of obtaining robust estimates of the "center" (or the "location") and of the "scatter" of a dataset is to use the maximum likelihood estimate with a class of heavy-tailed distributions, regardless of the "true" distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Pavol Ševera

Consider a sequence of polynomials of bounded degree evaluated in independent Gaussian, Gamma or Beta random variables. We show that, if this sequence converges in law to a nonconstant distribution, then (i) the limit distribution is…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-14 Ivan Nourdin , Guillaume Poly

In this paper, we derive a necessary and sufficient condition on the parameters of the Hypergeometric distribution for weak convergence to a Normal limit. We establish a Berry-Esseen theorem for the Hypergeometric distribution solely under…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , A. Chatterjee , T. Maiti
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