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Classically, risk is characterized by a point value probability indicating the likelihood of occurrence of an adverse effect. However, there are domains where the attainability of objective numerical risk characterizations is increasingly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Paul J. Krause , John Fox , Philip Judson

Covariate imbalance between treatment groups makes it difficult to compare cumulative incidence curves in competing risk analyses. In this paper we discuss different methods to estimate adjusted cumulative incidence curves including inverse…

Causal inference using observational data is challenging, especially in the bivariate case. Through the minimum description length principle, we link the postulate of independence between the generating mechanisms of the cause and of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-17 Natasa Tagasovska , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Thibault Vatter

Safety and liveness are elementary concepts of computation, and the foundation of many verification paradigms. The safety-liveness classification of boolean properties characterizes whether a given property can be falsified by observing a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Thomas A. Henzinger , Nicolas Mazzocchi , N. Ege Saraç

We study the multiplicative hazards model with intermittently observed longitudinal covariates and time-varying coefficients. For such models, the existing ad hoc approach, such as the last value carried forward, is biased. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-13 Zhuowei Sun , Hongyuan Cao

Set-valued quantiles for multivariate distributions with respect to a general convex cone are introduced which are based on a family of (univariate) distribution functions rather than on the joint distribution function. It is shown that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Andreas H Hamel , Daniel Kostner

This article establishes several remarkably simple identities relating certain metric invariants of level curves of real and complex functions. In particular, we relate lengths of level curves to their curvature and to the gradient field of…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Pisheng Ding

It is well known that quantile regression model minimizes the portfolio extreme risk, whenever the attention is placed on the estimation of the response variable left quantiles. We show that, by considering the entire conditional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-02 Giovanni Bonaccolto , Massimiliano Caporin , Sandra Paterlini

The linear quantile-quantile relationship provides an easy-to-implement yet effective tool for transformation to and testing for normality. Its good performance is verified in this report.

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Douglas M Hawkins

The quantile-crossing spectrum is the spectrum of quantile-crossing processes created from a time series by the indicator function that shows whether or not the time series lies above or below a given quantile at a given time. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Ta-Hsin Li

This paper investigates how to measure common market risk factors using newly proposed Panel Quantile Regression Model for Returns. By exploring the fact that volatility crosses all quantiles of the return distribution and using penalized…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-30 Frantisek Cech , Jozef Barunik

Differential sensitivity measures provide valuable tools for interpreting complex computational models used in applications ranging from simulation to algorithmic prediction. Taking the derivative of the model output in direction of a model…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-03 Silvana M. Pesenti , Pietro Millossovich , Andreas Tsanakas

We incorporate quandle cocycle information into the quandle coloring quivers we defined in arXiv:1807.10465 to define weighted directed graph-valued invariants of oriented links we call \textit{quandle cocycle quivers}. This construction…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2019-04-22 Karina Cho , Sam Nelson

Quantiles can represent key operational and business metrics, but the computational challenges associated with inference has hampered their adoption in online experimentation. One-sample confidence intervals are trivial to construct;…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-02 Evan Miller

Quantile regression is effective in modeling and inferring the conditional quantile given some predictors and has become popular in risk management due to wide applications of quantile-based risk measures. When forecasting risk for economic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Liang Peng , Yongcheng Qi

We study emerging notions of quantum correlations in compound systems. Based on different definitions of quantumness in individual subsystems, we investigate how they extend to the joint description of a composite system. Especially, we…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-06-12 J. Sperling , E. Agudelo , I. A. Walmsley , W. Vogel

Several studies have focused on the Realized Range Volatility, an estimator of the quadratic variation of financial prices, taking into account the impact of microstructure noise and jumps. However, none has considered direct modeling and…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-28 Giovanni Bonaccolto , Massimiliano Caporin

In this note, we give an explicit expression for the quantile of a mixture of two random variables. We carefully examine all possible cases of discrete and continuous variables with possibly unbounded support. The result is useful for…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2014-11-19 Carole Bernard , Steven Vanduffel

Several collective risk models have recently been proposed by relaxing the widely used but controversial assumption of independence between claim frequency and severity. Approaches include the bivariate copula model, random effect model,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-11 Rosy Oh , Jae Youn Ahn , Woojoo Lee

In this paper, we develop a quantile functional regression modeling framework that models the distribution of a set of common repeated observations from a subject through the quantile function, which is regressed on a set of covariates to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-02 Hojin Yang , Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani , Jeffrey S. Morris