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We present a simple randomized procedure for the prediction of a binary sequence. The algorithm uses ideas from recent developments of the theory of the prediction of individual sequences. We show that if the sequence is a realization of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 L. Györfi , G. Lugosi , G. Morvai

We consider a random interval splitting process, in which the splitting rule depends on the empirical distribution of interval lengths. We show that this empirical distribution converges to a limit almost surely as the number of intervals…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-20 Pascal Maillard , Elliot Paquette

We examine the stationary distribution of random walks on directed graphs. In particular, we focus on the {\em principal ratio}, which is the ratio of maximum to minimum values of vertices in the stationary distribution. We give an upper…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-02-04 Sinan Aksoy , Fan Chung , Xing Peng

We generalize the proof of Karamata's Theorem by the method of approximation by polynomials to the operator case. As a consequence, we offer a simple proof of \emph{uniform dual ergodicity} for a very large class of dynamical systems with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-12-09 Ian Melbourne , Dalia Terhesiu

Recently, T. Tao gave a finitary proof a convergence theorem for multiple averages with several commuting transformations and soon later, T. Austin gave an ergodic proof of the same result. Although we give here one more proof of the same…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-09-27 Bernard Host

We discuss sufficient conditions that guarantee the existence of asymptotic expansions for the Central Limit Theorem for weakly dependent random variables including observations arising from sufficiently chaotic dynamical systems like…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Kasun Fernando , Carlangelo Liverani

We obtain pointwise ergodic theorems with rate under conditions expressed in terms of the convergence of series involving $\|\sum_{k=1} ^nf\circ \theta^k\|_2$, improving previous results. Then, using known results on martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-02 Christophe Cuny

In this paper we improve some existing results concerning the approximation of the distribution of extremes of a 1-dependent and stationary sequence of random variables. We enlarge the range of applicability and improve the approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Alexandru Amarioarei

Einmahl, de Haan and Zhou (2016, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 78(1), 31-51) recently introduced a stochastic model that allows for heteroscedasticity of extremes. The model is extended to the situation where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-21 Axel Bücher , Tobias Jennessen

We extend the setting of the right endpoint estimator introduced in Fraga Alves and Neves (Statist. Sinica 24:1811--1835, 2014) to the broader class of light-tailed distributions with finite endpoint, belonging to some domain of attraction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-20 Isabel Fraga Alves , Cláudia Neves , Pedro Rosário

This paper is a survey of various proofs of the so called {\em fundamental theorem of Markov chains}: every ergodic Markov chain has a unique positive stationary distribution and the chain attains this distribution in the limit independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Somenath Biswas

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent copies of a stationary process $\{X(t), t\ge0\}$. For given positive constants $u,T$, define the set of $r$th conjunctions $ C_{r,T,u}:= \{t\in [0,T]: X_{r:n}(t) > u\}$ with $X_{r:n}(t)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-07 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Chengxiu Ling

Statistical inference for exponential-family models of random graphs with dependent edges is challenging. We stress the importance of additional structure and show that additional structure facilitates statistical inference. A simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Jonathan Stewart

We consider the extremal values of the stationary distribution of sparse directed random graphs with given degree sequences and their relation to the extremal values of the in-degree sequence. The graphs are generated by the directed…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Xing Shi Cai , Pietro Caputo , Guillem Perarnau , Matteo Quattropani

The purpose of this paper is to ensure the conditions of G\"artner-Ellis Theorem for evaluations of the empirical measure. We show that up-to-date conditions for ensuring the convergence to a quasi-stationary distribution can be applied…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Aurélien Velleret

This paper investigates the optimal ergodic sublinear convergence rate of the relaxed proximal point algorithm for solving monotone variational inequality problems. The exact worst case convergence rate is computed using the performance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-15 Guoyong Gu , Junfeng Yang

In the framework of statistical mechanics the properties of macroscopic systems are deduced starting from the laws of their microscopic dynamics. One of the key assumptions in this procedure is the ergodic property, namely the equivalence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-09 Marco Baldovin , Raffaele Marino , Angelo Vulpiani

The purpose of this paper is to establish the almost sure weak ergodic convergence of a sequence of iterates $(x_n)$ given by $x_{n+1} = (I+\lambda_n A(\xi_{n+1},\,.\,))^{-1}(x_n)$ where $(A(s,\,.\,):s\in E)$ is a collection of maximal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Pascal Bianchi

We statistically compare the relationships between frequencies of digits in continued fraction expansions of typical rational points in the unit interval and higher dimensional generalisations. This takes the form of a Large Deviation and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Valérie Berthé , Stephen Cantrell , Jungwon Lee , Mark Pollicott

Let T be an ergodic automorphism of the d-dimensional torus T^d, and f be a continuous function from T^d to R^l. On the probability space T^d equipped with the Lebesgue-Haar measure, we prove the weak convergence of the sequential empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-01 J. Dedecker , F. Merlevède , F. Pène