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In this paper we study the volatility and its probability distribution function for the cumulative production based on the experience curve hypothesis. This work presents a generalization of the study of volatility in [1], which addressed…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-17 Rubina Zadourian , Andreas Klümper

A new notion of stochastic ordering is introduced to compare multivariate stochastic risk models with respect to extreme portfolio losses. In the framework of multivariate regular variation comparison criteria are derived in terms of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-26 Georg Mainik , Ludger Rüschendorf

The Weibull--like distributions form a large class of probability distributions that belong to the domain of attraction for the maxima of the Gumbel law. Besides the Weibull distribution, it includes important distributions as the Gamma…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-27 Armengol Gasull , José A. López-Salcedo , Frederic Utzet

Multiplicity fluctuations of intermediate-mass fragments are studied with the percolation model. It is shown that super-Poissonian fluctuations occur near the percolation transition and that this behavior is associated with the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-10-31 Tarek Gharib , Wolfgang Bauer , Scott Pratt

We study analytically and numerically the extreme value distribution of observables defined along the temporal evolution of a dynamical system. The convergence to the Gumbel law of observable recurrences gives information on the fractal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Théophile Caby , Davide Faranda , Sandro Vaienti , Pascal Yiou

A closed set of \textit{exact} equations describing statistical theory of turbulent self-diffusion by multivariate-normal turbulent velocity field is derived. In doing so, we first suggest exact formulas for correlations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. Vikram Raj Pandya

Univariate and multivariate normal probability distributions are widely used when modeling decisions under uncertainty. Computing the performance of such models requires integrating these distributions over specific domains, which can vary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-31 Abhranil Das , Wilson S Geisler

A three-parameter discrete distribution is developed to describe the multiplicity distributions observed in total- and limited phase space volumes in different collision processes. The probability law is obtained by the Poisson transform of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-28 S. Hegyi

In this article, bootstrap and Shewhart type process control monitoring schemes are proposed for the quantiles of generalized Weibull distribution under hybrid censoring. Monitoring schemes for the quantiles of Weibull, generalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-22 Amarjit Kundu , Shovan Chowdhury , Bidhan Modok

Within the framework of Ginzburg-Landau theory, the effect of multiplicity correlation between the dynamical multiplicity fluctuations is analyzed for a first-order phase transition from quark-gluon plasma to hadrons. Normalized factorial…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2014-11-19 Guanglei Li , Chunbin Yang

The modal factor model represents a new factor model for dimension reduction in high dimensional panel data. Unlike the approximate factor model that targets for the mean factors, it captures factors that influence the conditional mode of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-01 Zhe Sun , Yundong Tu

Complex systems often involve random fluctuations for which self-similar properties in space and time play an important role. Fractional Brownian motions, characterized by a single scaling exponent, the Hurst exponent $H$, provide a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-05-10 J. Friedrich , J. Peinke , A. Pumir , R. Grauer

Ordinary differential equation models are nowadays widely used for the mechanistic description of biological processes and their temporal evolution. These models typically have many unknown and non-measurable parameters, which have to be…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-27 Alejandro F. Villaverde , Dilan Pathirana , Fabian Fröhlich , Jan Hasenauer , Julio R. Banga

The peculiar properties of the Inverse Weibull (IW) distribution are shown. It is proven that the IW distribution is one of the few models having upside- down bathtub (UBT) shaped hazard function. Three real and typical de generative…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-30 Pasquale Erto

Maximum diversity problems arise in many practical settings from facility location to social networks, and constitute an important class of NP-hard problems in combinatorial optimization. There has been a growing interest in these problems…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-25 Francisco Parreño , Ramón Álvarez-Valdés , Rafael Martí

The Weibull distribution, with shape parameter $k>0$ and scale parameter $\lambda>0$, is one of the most popular parametric distributions in survival analysis with complete or censored data. Although inference of the parameters of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Enes Makalic , Daniel F. Schmidt

Multi-model ensembles provide a pragmatic approach to the representation of model uncertainty in climate prediction. However, such representations are inherently ad hoc, and, as shown, probability distributions of climate variables based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-26 T. N. Palmer , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , A. Weisheimer , G. J. Shutts , J. Berner , J. M. Murphy

Various phenomenological models of particle multiplicity distributions are discussed using a general form of a unified model which is based on the grand canonical partition function and Feynman's path integral approach to statistical…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-06-26 S. J. Lee , A. Z. Mekjian

This study examines degree distributions in two large collaboration networks: the Microsoft Academic Graph (1800-2020) and Internet Movie Database (1900-2020), comprising $2.72 \times 10^8$ and $1.88 \times 10^6$ nodes respectively.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Peter R Williams , Zhan Chen

Many models in natural language processing define probabilistic distributions over linguistic structures. We argue that (1) the quality of a model' s posterior distribution can and should be directly evaluated, as to whether probabilities…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2015-09-03 Khanh Nguyen , Brendan O'Connor