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This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of population processes with unbounded absorption rate, including one-dimensional birth and death processes with catastrophes and multi-dimensional birth and death processes, modeling…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-10 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We consider a nonlinear coupled discrete-time model of population dynamics. This model describes the movement of populations within a heterogeneous landscape, where the growth of subpopulations are modelled by (possibly different) bounded…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Blake McGrane-Corrigan , Oliver Mason , Rafael de Andrade Moral

We analyze the long-term stability of a stochastic model designed to illustrate the adaptation of a population to variation in its environment. A piecewise-deterministic process modeling adaptation is coupled to a Feller logistic diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Aurélien Velleret

This paper deals with extinction of an isolated population caused by intrinsic noise. We model the population dynamics in a "refuge" as a Markov process which involves births and deaths on discrete lattice sites and random migrations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

Recently a path integral formalism has been proposed by the author which gives the time evolution of moments of slow variables in a Hamiltonian statistical system. This closure relies on evaluating the informational discrepancy of a time…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-10-23 Richard Kleeman

The strong Allee effect plays an important role on the evolution of population in ecological systems. One important concept is the Allee threshold that determines the persistence or extinction of the population in a long time. In general, a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Fanze Kong , Juncheng Wei

In population genetics, diffusions on the unit interval are often used to model the frequency path of an allele. In this setting we derive approximations for fixation probabilities, expected hitting times and the expected…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anton Wakolbinger

The question of whether a population will persist or go extinct is of key interest throughout ecology and biology. Various mathematical techniques allow us to generate knowledge regarding individual behaviour, which can be analysed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-28 Stuart T. Johnston , Matthew J. Simpson , Edmund J. Crampin

We investigate a simple quantitative genetics model subjet to a gradual environmental change from the viewpoint of the phylogenies of the living individuals. We aim to understand better how the past traits of their ancestors are shaped by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-22 Vincent Calvez , Benoît Henry , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

In numerous papers, the behaviour of stochastic population models is investigated through the sign of a real quantity which is the growth rate of the population near the extinction set. In many cases, it is proven that when this growth rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Dang H. Nguyen , Edouard Strickler

We use interacting particle systems to investigate survival and extinction of a species with colonies located on each site of $\mathbb {Z}^d$. In each of the four models studied, an individual in a local population can reproduce, die or…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-15 Davide Borrello

Many species are unsustainable at small population densities (Allee Effect), i.e., below a threshold named Allee threshold, the population decreases instead of growing. In a closed local population, environmental fluctuations always lead to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-27 Rodrigo Crespo , Javier Jarillo , Francisco J. Cao-García

Populations experience a complex interplay of continuous and discrete processes: continuous growth and interactions are punctuated by discrete reproduction events, dispersal, and external disturbances. These dynamics can be modeled by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Sebastian J. Schreiber

Under mild non-degeneracy assumptions on branching rates in each generation, we provide a criterion for almost-sure extinction of a multi-type branching process with time-dependent branching rates. We also provide a criterion for the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Pratima Hebbar , Leonid Koralov , Mark Perlman

We revisit the classical population genetics model of a population evolving under multiplicative selection, mutation and drift. The number of beneficial alleles in a multi-locus system can be considered a trait under exponential selection.…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 Magnus Rattray , Jonathan L. Shapiro

We consider an individual-based spatially structured population for Darwinian evolution in an asexual population. The individuals move randomly on a bounded continuous space according to a reflected brownian motion. The dynamics involves…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Helene Leman

We study a generic reaction-diffusion model for single-species population dynamics that includes reproduction, death, and competition. The population is assumed to be confined in a refuge beyond which conditions are so harsh that they lead…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 C. Escudero , J. Buceta , F. J. de la Rubia , Katja Lindenberg

We derive an integration by parts formula for functionals of determinantal processes on compact sets, completing the arguments of [4]. This is used to show the existence of a configuration-valued diffusion process which is non-colliding and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Laurent Decreusefond , Ian Flint , Nicolas Privault , Giovanni Luca Torrisi

This article presents a comprehensive study of the continuous McKendrick model, which serves as a foundational framework in population dynamics and epidemiology. The model is formulated through partial differential equations that describe…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-23 Dragos-Patru Covei

We consider the system of reaction-diffusion equations proposed in [8] as a population dynamics model. The first equation stands for the population density and models the ecological effects, namely dispersion and growth with a Allee effect…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Matthieu Alfaro , Arnaud Ducrot
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