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Modeling data with non-stationary covariance structure is important to represent heterogeneity in geophysical and other environmental spatial processes. In this work, we investigate a multistage approach to modeling non-stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Ashton Wiens , Douglas Nychka , William Kleibe

Leveraging labelled data from multiple domains to enable prediction in another domain without labels is a significant, yet challenging problem. To address this problem, we introduce the framework DAPDAG (\textbf{D}omain \textbf{A}daptation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Yanke Li , Hatt Tobias , Ioana Bica , Mihaela van der Schaar

In this paper, we consider Gaussian models Markov with respect to an arbitrary DAG. We first construct a family of conjugate priors for the Cholesky parametrization of the covariance matrix of such models. This family has as many shape…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-09 Emanuel Ben-David , Tianxi Li , Helene Massam , Bala Rajaratnam

Recent work on causal abstraction, in particular graphical approaches focusing on causal structure between clusters of variables, aims to summarize a high-dimensional causal structure in terms of a low-dimensional one. Existing methods for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Francisco Madaleno , Francisco C Pereira , Alex Markham

We analyze a varying-coefficient dynamic spatial autoregressive model with spatial fixed effects. One salient feature of the model is the incorporation of multiple spatial weight matrices through their linear combinations with varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Zetai Cen , Yudong Chen , Clifford Lam

Comparing directed acyclic graphs is essential in various fields such as healthcare, social media, finance, biology, and marketing. DAGs often result from contagion processes over networks, including information spreading, retweet activity,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-08-31 Kathrin Guckes , Marc Schäpers , Margit Pohl , Andreas Kerren , Tatiana von Landesberger

Accurate spatial prediction and rigorous uncertainty quantification are central to modern spatial epidemiology and environmental risk analysis. We introduce a statistically principled hybrid modelling framework that integrates the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Toba Temitope Bamidele , Ezra Gayawan , Femi Barnabas Adebola , Olatunji Johnson

Learning the causal structure that underlies data is a crucial step towards robust real-world decision making. The majority of existing work in causal inference focuses on determining a single directed acyclic graph (DAG) or a Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Yashas Annadani , Jonas Rothfuss , Alexandre Lacoste , Nino Scherrer , Anirudh Goyal , Yoshua Bengio , Stefan Bauer

Traditional spatio-temporal models for areal data typically begin with spatial structure imposed at the level of random effects and later extend to include temporal dynamics. We propose an alternative hierarchical modeling framework that…

Deterministic variables are variables that are fully explained by one or more parent variables. They commonly arise when a variable has been algebraically constructed from one or more parent variables, as with composite variables, and in…

Discovering the causal relationship via recovering the directed acyclic graph (DAG) structure from the observed data is a well-known challenging combinatorial problem. When there are latent variables, the problem becomes even more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-02 Yunfeng Cai , Xu Li , Minging Sun , Ping Li

This article surveys the variety of ways in which a directed acyclic graph (DAG) can be used to represent a problem of probabilistic causality. For each of these we describe the relevant formal or informal semantics governing that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-16 Philip Dawid

The scheduling and schedulability analysis of real-time directed acyclic graph (DAG) task systems have received much recent attention. The DAG model can accurately represent intra-task parallelim and precedence constraints existing in many…

Operating Systems · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Zheng Dong , Cong Liu

Simulations are ubiquitous in machine learning. Especially in graph learning, simulations of Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAG) are being deployed for evaluating new algorithms. In the literature, it was recently argued that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Jonas Seng , Matej Zečević , Devendra Singh Dhami , Kristian Kersting

We study the accuracy of estimating the covariance and the precision matrix of a $D$-variate sub-Gaussian distribution along a prescribed subspace or direction using the finite sample covariance. Our results show that the estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-14 Zeljko Kereta , Timo Klock

We consider the problem of spatially dependent areal data, where for each area independent observations are available, and propose to model the density of each area through a finite mixture of Gaussian distributions. The spatial dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-09 Mario Beraha , Matteo Pegoraro , Riccardo Peli , Alessandra Guglielmi

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for effective disease control and prevention. Traditional compartmental models often struggle to estimate temporally and spatially varying epidemiological parameters, while deep learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Thomas R. Sokolowski , Kai Zhou , Horst Stöcker

We consider the joint sparse estimation of regression coefficients and the covariance matrix for covariates in a high-dimensional regression model, where the predictors are both relevant to a response variable of interest and functionally…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Xuan Cao , Kyoungjae Lee

Recently continuous relaxations have been proposed in order to learn Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) from data by backpropagation, instead of using combinatorial optimization. However, a number of techniques for fully discrete…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Andrew J. Wren , Pasquale Minervini , Luca Franceschi , Valentina Zantedeschi

The problem of finding an ancestral acyclic directed mixed graph (ADMG) that represents the causal relationships between a set of variables is an important area of research on causal inference. Most existing score-based structure learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Rui Chen , Sanjeeb Dash , Tian Gao