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A piecewise-deterministic Markov process, specified by random jumps and switching semi-flows, as well as the associated Markov chain given by its post-jump locations, are investigated in this paper. The existence of an exponentially…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

We consider a Markov chain $(x_n)$ whose kernel is indexed by a scaling parameter $\gamma>0$, refered to as the step size. The aim is to analyze the behavior of the Markov chain in the doubly asymptotic regime where $n\to\infty$ then…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-18 Pascal Bianchi , Walid Hachem , Adil Salim

For integer valued random variables, the translated Poisson distributions form a flexible family for approximation in total variation, in much the same way that the normal family is used for approximation in Kolmogorov distance. Using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-26 A. D. Barbour , Malwina J. Luczak , Aihua Xia

In this paper, a novel computational technique for finite discrete approximation of continuous dynamical systems suitable for a significant class of biochemical dynamical systems is introduced. The method is parameterized in order to affect…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2011-09-09 L. Brim , J. Fabriková , S. Dražan , D. Šafránek

Nonlinear Markov chains with finite state space have been introduced in Kolokoltsov (2010). The characteristic property of these processes is that the transition probabilities do not only depend on the state, but also on the distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Berenice Anne Neumann

We consider a hidden Markov model, where the signal process, given by a diffusion, is only indirectly observed through some noisy measurements. The article develops a variational method for approximating the hidden states of the signal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Tobias Sutter , Arnab Ganguly , Heinz Koeppl

A theory of systems with long-range correlations based on the consideration of binary N-step Markov chains is developed. In the model, the conditional probability that the i-th symbol in the chain equals zero (or unity) is a linear function…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii , K. E. Kechedzhy , S. S. Mel'nyk

Reaction networks are mathematical models of interacting chemical species that are primarily used in biochemistry. There are two modeling regimes that are typically used, one of which is deterministic and one that is stochastic. In…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-14 David Anderson , Daniele Cappelletti

Many biological systems can be described by finite Markov models. A general method for simplifying master equations is presented that is based on merging adjacent states. The approach preserves the steady-state probability distribution and…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-03-01 David Seiferth , Peter Sollich , Stefan Klumpp

We study the approximation of a Markov chain on a reduced state space, for both discrete- and continuous-time Markov chains. In this context, we extend the existing theory of formal error bounds for the approximated transient distributions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-12 Fabian Michel , Markus Siegle

We investigate the multi-chain version of the Chemical Master Equation, when there are transitions between different states inside the long chains, as well as transitions between (a few) different chains. In the discrete version, such a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Vahe Galstyan , David B. Saakian

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Adrian Casey , Jonathan A. Tawn

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are often used for approximate inference inside learning, but their slow mixing can be difficult to diagnose and the approximations can seriously degrade learning. To alleviate these issues, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-25 Jacob Steinhardt , Percy Liang

In computational system biology, the mesoscopic model of reaction-diffusion kinetics is described by a continuous time, discrete space Markov process. To simulate diffusion stochastically, the jump coefficients are obtained by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Lina Meinecke , Stefan Engblom , Andreas Hellander , Per Lötstedt

We study the difference between the probability density of a random variable $F$ on Markov diffusion chaos and the probability density of a general target distribution $Z$. In the special case where $F$ is a chaotic random variables and $Z$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Thanh Dang , Yaozhong Hu

In this paper, we proved moderate deviation principles for a fully coupled two-time-scale stochastic systems, where the slow process is given by stochastic differential equations with small noise, while the fast process is a rapidly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Hongjiang Qian

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

We study long time behavior of a discrete time weakly interacting particle system, and the corresponding nonlinear Markov process in $\mathbb{R}^d$, described in terms of a general stochastic evolution equation. In a setting where the state…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-16 Amarjit Budhiraja , Abhishek Pal Majumder

We consider the behavior of spatial point processes when subjected to a class of linear transformations indexed by a variable T. It was shown in Ellis [Adv. in Appl. Probab. 18 (1986) 646-659] that, under mild assumptions, the transformed…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Dominic Schuhmacher

We consider Markovian models on graphs with local dynamics. We show that, under suitable conditions, such Markov chains exhibit both rapid convergence to equilibrium and strong concentration of measure in the stationary distribution. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-30 Malwina J. Luczak
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