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We prove new lower bounds for the upper tail probabilities of suprema of Gaussian processes. Unlike many existing bounds, our results are not asymptotic, but supply strong information when one is only a little into the upper tail. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-25 Adam J. Harper

We derive a moment formula for generalized fractional polynomial processes, i.e., for polynomial-preserving Markov processes time-changed by an inverse L\'evy-subordinator. If the time change is inverse $\alpha$-stable, the time-derivative…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Johannes Assefa , Martin Keller-Ressel

This note provides a factorization of a L\'evy pocess over a phase-type horizon $\tau$ given the phase at the supremum, thereby extending the Wiener-Hopf factorization for $\tau$ exponential. One of the factors is defined using time…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Søren Asmussen , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

In this paper we deal with the generalized Gamma processes and their compositions. For the compositions of two or more than two generalized Gamma processes we give, when possible, the explicit law whereas, in the other cases the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-27 Mirko D'Ovidio

We develop a computational method for expected functionals of the drawdown and its duration in exponential L\'evy models. It is based on a novel simulation algorithm for the joint law of the state, supremum and time the supremum is attained…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-20 Jorge González Cázares , Aleksandar Mijatović

We give a sufficient condition for a random sequence in [0,1] generated by a $\Psi$-process to be equidistributed. The condition is met by the canonical example -- the $\max$-2 process -- where the $n$th term is whichever of two uniformly…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Matthew Junge

Using the Feynman-Kac and Cameron-Martin-Girsanov formulas, we obtain a generalized integral fluctuation theorem (GIFT) for discrete jump processes by constructing a time-invariable inner product. The existing discrete IFTs can be derived…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-06-11 Fei Liu , Yu-Pin Luo , Ming-Chang Huang , Zhong-can Ou-Yang

In this paper, we study a multivariate gamma subordinator whose components are independent gamma processes subject to a random time governed by an independent negative binomial process. We derive the explicit expressions for its joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Manisha Dhillon , Kuldeep Kumar Kataria , Shyan Ghosh

We consider a process $Z$ on the real line composed from a L\'evy process and its exponentially tilted version killed with arbitrary rates and give an expression for the joint law of $Z$ seen from its supremum, the supremum $\overline Z$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-15 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

Let $X$ be a symmetric, pure jump, unimodal Levy process in $\mathbb{R}$ with an infinite Levy measure. We prove that for any fixed $t > 0$ the survival probability $P^x(\tau_{(-a,a)} > t)$ is nondecreasing on $(-a,0]$, nonincreasing on…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Tadeusz Kulczycki

Process capability indices such as $C_{pk}$ are widely used in manufacturing to support supplier qualification, pilot-build release, and production approval. In practice, approval decisions are often based on deterministic threshold rules…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-14 Fei Jiang , Lei Yang

These lectures notes aim at introducing L\'{e}vy processes in an informal and intuitive way, accessible to non-specialists in the field. In the first part, we focus on the theory of L\'{e}vy processes. We analyze a `toy' example of a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Antonis Papapantoleon

In this paper, we introduce and study two time-changed variants of the generalized fractional Skellam process. These are obtained by time-changing the generalized fractional Skellam process with an independent L\'evy subordinator with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Mostafizar Khandakar , Bratati Pal , Palaniappan Vellaisamy

We show that the supremum of the average of the Airy process and its time reversal minus a parabola is distributed as the maximum of two independent GUE Tracy-Widom random variables. The proof is obtained by considering a directed last…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Jinho Baik , Zhipeng Liu

Let $\{D(s), s \geq 0\}$ be a non-decreasing L\'evy process. The first-hitting time process $\{E(t) t \geq 0\}$ (which is sometimes referred to as an inverse subordinator) defined by $E(t) = \inf \{s: D(s) > t \}$ is a process which has…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-28 Mark S. Veillette , Murad S. Taqqu

The two-parameter Poisson--Dirichlet distribution is a probability distribution on the totality of positive decreasing sequences with sum 1 and hence considered to govern masses of a random discrete distribution. A characterization of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-12 Kenji Handa

We propose a general framework to study last passage times, suprema and drawdowns of a large class of stochastic processes. A central role in our approach is played by processes of class Sigma. After investigating convergence properties and…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-30 Patrick Cheridito , Ashkan Nikeghbali , Eckhard Platen

Given a normalized Orlicz function $M$ we provide an easy formula for a distribution such that, if $X$ is a random variable distributed accordingly and $X_1,...,X_n$ are independent copies of $X$, then the expected value of the p-norm of…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-04 David Alonso-Gutierrez , Soeren Christensen , Markus Passenbrunner , Joscha Prochno

This paper develops a new direct approach to approximating suprema of general empirical processes by a sequence of suprema of Gaussian processes, without taking the route of approximating whole empirical processes in the sup-norm. We prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

For a one-dimensional L\'{e}vy process, we derive an explicit formula for the probability of first hitting a specified point among a fixed finite set. Moreover, using this formula, we obtain an explicit expression for each entry of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Kohki Iba