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This paper proposes approaches for the analysis of multiple changepoint models when dependency in the data is modelled through a hierarchical Gaussian Markov random field. Integrated nested Laplace approximations are used to approximate…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-17 Jason Wyse , Nial Friel , Håvard Rue

Multiplex networks are a powerful framework for representing systems with multiple types of interactions among a common set of entities. Understanding their structure requires statistical tools capturing higher-order cross-layer…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Karl Sawaya , Sofia Olhede

This article considers exponential families of truncated multivariate normal distributions with one-sided truncation for some or all coordinates. We observe that if all components are one-sided truncated then this family is not full. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Michael Levine , Donald Richards , Jianxi Su

The problem of joint estimation of multiple graphical models from high dimensional data has been studied in the statistics and machine learning literature, due to its importance in diverse fields including molecular biology, neuroscience…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-04 Peyman Jalali , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis

The problem of overdispersion in multivariate count data is a challenging issue. Nowadays, it covers a central role mainly due to the relevance of modern technologies data, such as Next Generation Sequencing and textual data from the web or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Noemi Corsini , Cinzia Viroli

We study pairs and m--tuples of compositions of a positive integer n with parts restricted to a subset P of positive integers. We obtain some exact enumeration results for the number of tuples of such compositions having the same number of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-12-09 Cyril Banderier , Pawel Hitczenko

In this paper, we study the structure of the complete asymptotic expansion of the probability that a large combinatorial object is connected or consists of a given number of connected components. For rapidly growing labeled families of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Thierry Monteil , Khaydar Nurligareev

Parameter inference and uncertainty quantification are important steps when relating mathematical models to real-world observations, and when estimating uncertainty in model predictions. However, methods for doing this can be…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-27 Michael J. Plank , Matthew J. Simpson

Probabilistic generative models can be used for compression, denoising, inpainting, texture synthesis, semi-supervised learning, unsupervised feature learning, and other tasks. Given this wide range of applications, it is not surprising…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-26 Lucas Theis , Aäron van den Oord , Matthias Bethge

The multinomial model is one of the simplest statistical models. When constraints are placed on the possible values for the probabilities, however, it becomes much more difficult to deal with. Model checking and checking for prior-data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Berthold-Georg Englert , Michael Evans , Gun Ho Jang , Hui Khoon Ng , David Nott , Yi-Lin Seah

For many practical, high-risk applications, it is essential to quantify uncertainty in a model's predictions to avoid costly mistakes. While predictive uncertainty is widely studied for neural networks, the topic seems to be under-explored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-05 Andrey Malinin , Liudmila Prokhorenkova , Aleksei Ustimenko

This study develops a framework for testing hypotheses on structural parameters in incomplete models. Such models make set-valued predictions and hence do not generally yield a unique likelihood function. The model structure, however,…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-03 Hiroaki Kaido , Yi Zhang

Nested sampling has emerged as a valuable tool for Bayesian analysis, in particular for determining the Bayesian evidence. The method is based on a specific type of random sampling of the likelihood function and prior volume of the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 Charles R. Keeton

We are interested in the problem of robust parametric estimation of a density from $n$ i.i.d. observations. By using a practice-oriented procedure based on robust tests, we build an estimator for which we establish non-asymptotic risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Mathieu Sart

Three-way data can be conveniently modelled by using matrix variate distributions. Although there has been a lot of work for the matrix variate normal distribution, there is little work in the area of matrix skew distributions. Three matrix…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-15 Michael P. B. Gallaugher , Paul D. McNicholas

The causal (belief) network is a well-known graphical structure for representing independencies in a joint probability distribution. The exact methods and the approximation methods, which perform probabilistic inference in causal networks,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

Multivariate distributions often carry latent structures that are difficult to identify and estimate, and which better reflect the data generating mechanism than extrinsic structures exhibited simply by the raw data. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 Bryon Aragam , Ruiyi Yang

Nonparametric maximum likelihood (NPML) for mixture models is a technique for estimating mixing distributions that has a long and rich history in statistics going back to the 1950s, and is closely related to empirical Bayes methods.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-15 Long Feng , Lee H. Dicker

We present new results for consistency of maximum likelihood estimators with a focus on multivariate mixed models. Our theory builds on the idea of using subsets of the full data to establish consistency of estimators based on the full…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Galin L. Jones

In this article, we develop a semiparametric Bayesian estimation and model selection approach for partially linear additive models in conditional quantile regression. The asymmetric Laplace distribution provides a mechanism for Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2013-07-11 Yuao Hu , Kaifeng Zhao , Heng Lian