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We study the scaling limits of genealogical trees arising from Cannings models. Under suitable moment conditions, we show that the rescaled contour and height functions converge to a time change of Brownian motion conditioned on a given…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Xiaodan Li , Chengshi Wang , Yushu Zheng

We consider a stochastic control model driven by a fractional Brownian motion. This model is a formal approximation to a queueing network with an on-off input process. We study stochastic control problems associated with the long-run…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-12 Arka P. Ghosh , Alexander Roitershtein , Ananda Weerasinghe

Our investigation is specially motivated by the stochastic version of a common model of potential spread in a dendritic tree. We do not assume the noise in the junction points to be Markovian. In fact, we allow for long-range dependence in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Delio Mugnolo

We consider plain vanilla European options written on an underlying asset that follows a continuous time semi-Markov multiplicative process. We derive a formula and a renewal type equation for the martingale option price. In the case in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Enrico Scalas , Bruno Toaldo

This paper analyzes single-item continuous-review inventory models with random supplies in which the inventory dynamic between orders is described by a diffusion process, and a long-term average cost criterion is used to evaluate decisions.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-07 K. L. Helmes , R. H. Stockbridge , C. Zhu

We consider a dynamic market model where buyers and sellers submit limit orders. If at a given moment in time, the buyer is unable to complete his entire order due to the shortage of sell orders at the required limit price, the unmatched…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-22 David German , Henry Schellhorn

We examine the correlation of the limit price with the order book, when a limit order comes. We analyzed the Rebuild Order Book of Stock Exchange Electronic Trading Service, which is the centralized order book market of London Stock…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Jun-ichi Maskawa

This paper presents a method for forecasting limit order book durations using a self-exciting flexible residual point process. High-frequency events in modern exchanges exhibit heavy-tailed interarrival times, posing a significant challenge…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-02 Kyungsub Lee

This paper explores the bifurcative dynamics of an artificial stock market exchange (ASME) with endogenous, myopic traders interacting through a limit order book (LOB). We showed that agent-based price dynamics possess intrinsic…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-26 Matej Steinbacher , Mitja Steinbacher , Matjaz Steinbacher

An agent-based model for financial markets has to incorporate two aspects: decision making and price formation. We introduce a simple decision model and consider its implications in two different pricing schemes. First, we study its…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-19 Daniel C. Wagner , Thilo A. Schmitt , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr , Dietrich E. Wolf

In this paper, we introduce a parametrized family of prices derived from the Maximum Entropy Principle. The price is obtained from the distribution that minimizes bias, given the bid and ask volume imbalance at the top of the order book.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Przemysław Rola

We introduce order-based diffusion processes as the solutions to multidimensional stochastic differential equations, with drift coefficient depending only on the ordering of the coordinates of the process and diffusion matrix proportional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-11 Benjamin Jourdain , Julien Reygner

We consider a framework for solving optimal liquidation problems in limit order books. In particular, order arrivals are modeled as a point process whose intensity depends on the liquidation price. We set up a stochastic control problem in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-30 Erhan Bayraktar , Michael Ludkovski

We generalise the description of the dynamics of the order book of financial markets in terms of a Brownian particle embedded in a fluid of incoming, exiting and annihilating particles by presenting a model of the velocity on each side (buy…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-26 Yoshihiro Yura , Hideki Takayasu , Didier Sornette , Misako Takayasu

Sticky diffusion processes on bounded domains spend finite time (and finite mean time) on the lower-dimensional space given by the boundary. Once the process hits the boundary, then it starts again after a random amount of time. While on…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Mirko D'Ovidio

We propose a minimal theory of non-linear price impact based on a linear (latent) order book approximation, inspired by diffusion-reaction models and general arguments. Our framework allows one to compute the average price trajectory in the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-03 Jonathan Donier , Julius Bonart , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In 1964, G.J. Stigler introduced a stochastic model for the evolution of an order book on a stock market. This model was independently rediscovered and generalized by H. Luckock in 2003. In his formulation, traders place buy and sell limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Jan M. Swart

In this paper we consider classes of models that have been recently developed for quantitative finance that involve modelling a highly complex multivariate, multi-attribute stochastic process known as the Limit Order Book (LOB). The LOB is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-23 Gareth W. Peters , Efstathios Panayi , Francois Septier

In the domain of the so called Econophysics some attempts already have been made for applying the theory of Thermodynamics and Statistical Mechanics to economics and financial markets. In this paper a similar approach is made from a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-24 Alberto Bicci

In a recent article, Krapivsky and Redner (J. Stat. Mech. 093208 (2018)) established that the distribution of the first hitting times for a diffusing particle subject to hitting an absorber is independent of the direction of the external…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Coline Larmier , Alain Mazzolo , Andrea Zoia