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For a system in contact with several reservoirs $r$ at different inverse-temperatures $\beta_r$, we describe how the Markov jump dynamics with the generalized detailed balance condition can be analyzed via a statistical physics approach of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-12 Cecile Monthus

Taylor's law, also known as fluctuation scaling in physics and the power-law variance function in statistics, is an empirical pattern widely observed across fields including ecology, physics, finance, and epidemiology. It states that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-13 Pok Him Cheng , Joel E. Cohen , Hok Kan Ling , Sheung Chi Phillip Yam

Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are used in physics to model anomalous diffusion, by incorporating a random waiting time between particle jumps. In finance, the particle jumps are log-returns and the waiting times measure delay between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-10 Mark M. Meerschaert , Enrico Scalas

Using a very simple argument based on the indepenence of increments and the fact that in a finite dimensional space $R^{d}$ there are not too many directions, we derive a theorem stating that exit time of any (non-constant) L\'{e}vy process…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Rafał Marcin Łochowski

The paper presents a multidimensional model for nonlinear Markovian random walks that generalizes one we developed previously (Phys. Rev. E v.79, 011110, 2009) in order to describe the Levy type stochastic processes in terms of continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Ihor Lubashevsky , Rudolf Friedrich , Andreas Heuer

In this paper, we get some convergence rates in total variation distance in approximating discretized paths of L{\'e}vy driven stochastic differential equations, assuming that the driving process is locally stable. The particular case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Emmanuelle Clément

Advances in data science are leading to new progresses in the analysis and understanding of complex dynamics for systems with experimental and observational data. With numerous physical phenomena exhibiting bursting, flights, hopping, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-09 Yang Li , Jinqiao Duan

With the rapid increase of valuable observational, experimental and simulating data for complex systems, great efforts are being devoted to discovering governing laws underlying the evolution of these systems. However, the existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-03 Yang Li , Jinqiao Duan

Starting from the model of continuous time random walk, we focus our interest on random walks in which the probability distributions of the waiting times and jumps have fat tails characterized by power laws with exponent between 0 and 1 for…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-03 Rudolf Gorenflo , Entsar A. A. Abdel-Rehim

The state of the atmosphere is governed by the classical laws of fluid motion and exhibits correlations in various spatial and temporal scales. These correlations are crucial to understand the short and long term trends in climate. Cirrus…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 K. Ivanova , T. P. Ackerman , E. E. Clothiaux , P. Ch. Ivanov , H. E. Stanley , M. Ausloos

We derive subexponential tail asymptotics for the distribution of the maximum of a compound renewal process with linear component and of a L\'evy process, both with negative drift, over random time horizon $\tau$ that does not depend on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov , Zbigniew Palmowski

Extreme environmental events such as severe storms, drought, heat waves, flash floods, and abrupt species collapse have become more prevalent in the earth-atmosphere dynamic system in recent years. In order to fully understand the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Myungsoo Yoo , Likun Zhang , Christopher K. Wikle , Thomas Opitz

We introduce and investigate a new model of a finite number of particles jumping forward on the real line. The jump lengths are independent of everything, but the jump rate of each particle depends on the relative position of the particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-08 Marton Balazs , Miklos Z. Racz , Balint Toth

Confounding variables are a recurrent challenge for causal discovery and inference. In many situations, complex causal mechanisms only manifest themselves in extreme events, or take simpler forms in the extremes. Stimulated by data on…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Olivier C. Pasche , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Anthony C. Davison

A model of homogeneously driven dissipative system, consisting of a collection of $N$ particles that are characterized by only their velocities, is considered. Adopting a discrete time dynamics, at each time step, a pair of velocities is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-30 V. V. Prasad , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Abhishek Dhar

Recently observation of random walks in complex environments like the cell and other glassy systems revealed that the spreading of particles, at its tails, follows a spatial exponential decay instead of the canonical Gaussian. We use the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-23 Wanli Wang , Eli Barkai , Stanislav Burov

We present a continuous time random walk model for the scale-invariant transport found in a self-organized critical rice pile [Christensen et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 77, 107 (1996)]. From our analytical results it is shown that the dynamics…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Marian Boguna , Alvaro Corral

This article discusses modelling of the tail of a multivariate distribution function by means of a large deviation principle (LDP), and its application to the estimation of the probability of a multivariate extreme event from a sample of n…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-23 Cees de Valk

We present theoretical and experimental results of L\'evy flights of light originating from a random walk of photons in a hot atomic vapor. In contrast to systems with quenched disorder, this system does not present any correlations between…

A Yule tree is the result of a branching process with constant birth and death rates. Such a process serves as an instructive null model of many empirical systems, for instance, the evolution of species leading to a phylogenetic tree.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-02 Michael Sheinman , Florian Massip , Peter F. Arndt