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Simple exponential smoothing is widely used in forecasting economic time series. This is because it is quick to compute and it generally delivers accurate forecasts. On the other hand, its multivariate version has received little attention…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-17 Federico Poloni , Giacomo Sbrana

The Earth Mover's Distance (EMD) is a state-of-the art metric for comparing discrete probability distributions, but its high distinguishability comes at a high cost in computational complexity. Even though linear-complexity approximation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-29 Kubilay Atasu , Thomas Mittelholzer

Estimation-of-distribution algorithms (EDAs) are general metaheuristics used in optimization that represent a more recent alternative to classical approaches like evolutionary algorithms. In a nutshell, EDAs typically do not directly evolve…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-06-15 Martin S. Krejca , Carsten Witt

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is routinely used for the maximum likelihood estimation in the latent class analysis. However, the EM algorithm comes with no guarantees of reaching the global optimum. We study the geometry of…

We use the delta method and Stein's method to derive, under regularity conditions, explicit upper bounds for the distributional distance between the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a $d$-dimensional parameter and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Andreas Anastasiou , Robert E. Gaunt

A weighted likelihood technique for robust estimation of a multivariate Wrapped Normal distribution for data points scattered on a p-dimensional torus is proposed. The occurrence of outliers in the sample at hand can badly compromise…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-01 Giovanni Saraceno , Claudio Agostinelli , Luca Greco

This paper considers the maximum likelihood estimation of factor models of high dimension, where the number of variables (N) is comparable with or even greater than the number of observations (T). An inferential theory is developed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-31 Jushan Bai , Kunpeng Li

The problem of monotone missing data has been broadly studied during the last two decades and has many applications in different fields such as bioinformatics or statistics. Commonly used imputation techniques require multiple iterations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-25 Thu Nguyen , Duy H. M. Nguyen , Huy Nguyen , Binh T. Nguyen , Bruce A. Wade

Radial velocity surveys for extra-solar planets generally require substantial amounts of large telescope time in order to monitor a sufficient number of stars. Two of the aspects which can limit such surveys are the single-object…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Stephen R. Kane , Donald P. Schneider , Jian Ge

We study maximum likelihood estimation in log-linear models under conditional Poisson sampling schemes. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions for existence of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the model parameters and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Stephen E. Fienberg , Alessandro Rinaldo

The Estimation of Distribution Algorithm is a new class of population based search methods in that a probabilistic model of individuals is estimated based on the high quality individuals and used to generate the new individuals. In this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-04-03 R. Rastegar , M. R. Meybodi

We study modeling and inference with the Elliptical Gamma Distribution (EGD). We consider maximum likelihood (ML) estimation for EGD scatter matrices, a task for which we develop new fixed-point algorithms. Our algorithms are efficient and…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-04 Reshad Hosseini , Suvrit Sra , Lucas Theis , Matthias Bethge

In this work, we explore the theoretical properties of conditional deep generative models under the statistical framework of distribution regression where the response variable lies in a high-dimensional ambient space but concentrates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Shivam Kumar , Yun Yang , Lizhen Lin

Standard maximum-likelihood estimators for binary-star and exoplanet eccentricities are biased high, in the sense that the estimated eccentricity tends to be larger than the true eccentricity. As with most non-trivial observables, a simple…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-01-19 David W. Hogg , Adam D. Myers , Jo Bovy

We explore the efficacy of machine learning (ML) in characterizing exoplanets into different classes. The source of the data used in this work is University of Puerto Rico's Planetary Habitability Laboratory's Exoplanets Catalog (PHL-EC).…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-24 Suryoday Basak , Surbhi Agrawal , Snehanshu Saha , Abhijit Jeremiel Theophilus , Kakoli Bora , Gouri Deshpande , Jayant Murthy

Dramatic increases in the size and dimensionality of many recent data sets make crucial the need for sophisticated methods that can exploit inherent structure and handle missing values. In this article we derive an expectation-maximization…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-26 Hunter Glanz , Luis Carvalho

We introduce and develop a novel approach to outlier detection based on adaptation of random subspace learning. Our proposed method handles both high-dimension low-sample size and traditional low-dimensional high-sample size datasets.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-05 Bohan Liu , Ernest Fokoue

Most of the existing methods for estimating the local intrinsic dimension of a data distribution do not scale well to high-dimensional data. Many of them rely on a non-parametric nearest neighbors approach which suffers from the curse of…

In this paper, we outline the use of Mixture Models in density estimation of large astronomical databases. This method of density estimation has been known in Statistics for some time but has not been implemented because of the large…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. J. Connolly , C. Genovese , A. W. Moore , R. C. Nichol , J. Schneider , L. Wasserman

The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm and its variants are widely used in statistics. In high-dimensional mixture linear regression, the model is assumed to be a finite mixture of linear regression and the number of predictors is much…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-24 Ning Wang , Xin Zhang , Qing Mai