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In digital markets comprised of many competing services, each user chooses between multiple service providers according to their preferences, and the chosen service makes use of the user data to incrementally improve its model. The service…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Jinyan Su , Sarah Dean

This paper presents a usage-based pricing framework for the Intelligent Medical Objects ProblemIT Portal utilized by eClinicalWorks (eCW) clients. The approach begins by determining a stable monthly unit price per request, estimated as the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-30 Paramahansa Pramanik , Joel Graff , Mike Decaro

Coupon distribution is a critical marketing strategy used by online platforms to boost revenue and enhance user engagement. Regrettably, existing coupon distribution strategies fall far short of effectively leveraging the complex sequential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Li Kong , Bingzhe Wang , Zhou Chen , Suhan Hu , Yuchao Ma , Qi Qi , Suoyuan Song , Bicheng Jin

Real-time Bidding (RTB) advertisers wish to \textit{know in advance} the expected cost and yield of ad campaigns to avoid trial-and-error expenses. However, Campaign Performance Forecasting (CPF), a sequence modeling task involving tens of…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-05-20 XiaoYu Wang , YongHui Guo , Hui Sheng , Peili Lv , Chi Zhou , Wei Huang , ShiQin Ta , Dongbo Huang , XiuJin Yang , Lan Xu , Hao Zhou , Yusheng Ji

We present a novel framework for concomitant dimension reduction and clustering. This framework is based on a novel class of Bayesian clustering factor models. These models assume a factor model structure where the vectors of common factors…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-09 Hwasoo Shin , Marco A. R. Ferreira , Allison N. Tegge

Valuation-based system (VBS) provides a general framework for representing knowledge and drawing inferences under uncertainty. Recent studies have shown that the semantics of VBS can represent and solve Bayesian decision problems (Shenoy,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Hong Xu

In this paper we consider the simulation-based Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility in mean (SVM) models. Extending the highly efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo mixture sampler for the SV model proposed in Kim et al. (1998) and Omori…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-21 Daichi Hiraki , Siddhartha Chib , Yasuhiro Omori

The CEV model subsumes some of the previous option pricing models. An important parameter in the model is the parameter b, the elasticity of volatility. For b=0, b=-1/2, and b=-1 the CEV model reduces respectively to the BSM model, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-23 Evangelos Melas

To take unit commitment (UC) decisions under uncertain net load, most studies utilize a stochastic UC (SUC) model that adopts a one-size-fits-all representation of uncertainty. Disregarding contextual information such as weather forecasts…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-01 Ogun Yurdakul , Feng Qiu , Sahin Albayrak

Gaussian and discrete non-Gaussian spatial datasets are common across fields like public health, ecology, geosciences, and social sciences. Bayesian spatial generalized linear mixed models (SGLMMs) are a flexible class of models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-27 Jin Hyung Lee , Ben Seiyon Lee

It can be challenging to perform an integrative statistical analysis of multi-view high-dimensional data acquired from different experiments on each subject who participated in a joint study. Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-31 Siddhesh Kulkarni , Subhadip Pal , Jeremy T. Gaskins

In the context of a motivating study of dynamic network flow data on a large-scale e-commerce web site, we develop Bayesian models for on-line/sequential analysis for monitoring and adapting to changes reflected in node-node traffic. For…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-08 Xi Chen , David Banks , Mike West

This article considers a stable vector autoregressive (VAR) model and investigates return predictability in a Bayesian context. The VAR system comprises asset returns and the dividend-price ratio as proposed in Cochrane (2008), and allows…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-06 Borys Koval , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Leopold Sögner

The multivariate extended skew-normal distribution allows for accommodating raw data which are skewed and heavy tailed, and has at least three appealing statistical properties, namely closure under conditioning, affine transformations, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-19 Mathieu Gerber , Florian Pelgrin

Distributed inference/estimation in Bayesian framework in the context of sensor networks has recently received much attention due to its broad applicability. The variational Bayesian (VB) algorithm is a technique for approximating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-30 Junhao Hua , Chunguang Li

Extending data-driven algorithms based on Willems' fundamental lemma to stochastic data often requires empirical and customized workarounds. This work presents a unified Bayesian framework for linear systems that provides a systematic and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-01 Mingzhou Yin , Andrea Iannelli , Seyed Ali Nazari , Matthias A. Müller

We consider the inverse reinforcement learning problem, that is, the problem of learning from, and then predicting or mimicking a controller based on state/action data. We propose a statistical model for such data, derived from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-27 Sumeetpal S. Singh , Nicolas Chopin , Nick Whiteley

Longitudinal item response data are common in social science, educational science, and psychology, among other disciplines. Studying the time-varying relationships between items is crucial for educational assessment or designing marketing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Jaewoo Park , Yeseul Jeon , Minsuk Shin , Minjeong Jeon , Ick Hoon Jin

We propose a general algorithmic framework for Bayesian model selection. A spike-and-slab Laplacian prior is introduced to model the underlying structural assumption. Using the notion of effective resistance, we derive an EM-type algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-19 Youngseok Kim , Chao Gao

Sequential or online dimensional reduction is of interests due to the explosion of streaming data based applications and the requirement of adaptive statistical modeling, in many emerging fields, such as the modeling of energy end-use…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-07-17 Zhaoyi Kang , Costas J. Spanos