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We present a Bayesian framework for estimating the customer lifetime value (CLV) and the customer equity (CE) based on the purchasing behavior deducible from the market surveys on customer purchasing behavior. The proposed framework…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-12 Juha Karvanen , Ari Rantanen , Lasse Luoma

We present the first empirical study on customer churn prediction in the scholarly publishing industry. The study examines our proposed method for prediction on a customer subscription data over a period of 6.5 years, which was provided by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Michael Roberts , J. Ignacio Deza , Hisham Ihshaish , Yanhui Zhu

Companies across the globe are keen on targeting potential high-value customers in an attempt to expand revenue and this could be achieved only by understanding the customers more. Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) is the total monetary value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Karan Gadgil , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Ahmed M. Abdelmoniem

Customer churn describes terminating a relationship with a business or reducing customer engagement over a specific period. Two main business marketing strategies play vital roles to increase market share dollar-value: gaining new and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-24 David Hason Rudd , Huan Huo , Guandong Xu

Predicting customers' long-term revenue from sparse and irregular transaction data is central to marketing resource allocation in non-contractual settings, yet existing approaches face a trade-off. Traditional probabilistic customer base…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Jeffrey Näf , Riana Valera Mbelson , Markus Meierer

We study data-driven decision-making problems in the Bayesian framework, where the expectation in the Bayes risk is replaced by a risk-sensitive entropic risk measure. We focus on problems where calculating the posterior distribution is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

We develop a Bayesian variable selection method, called SVEN, based on a hierarchical Gaussian linear model with priors placed on the regression coefficients as well as on the model space. Sparsity is achieved by using degenerate spike…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Dongjin Li , Somak Dutta , Vivekananda Roy

This paper presents a marketing analytics framework that operationalizes subscription pricing as a dynamic, guardrailed decision system, uniting multivariate demand forecasting, segment-level price elasticity, and churn propensity to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Deepit Sapru

We consider stochastic optimization under distributional uncertainty, where the unknown distributional parameter is estimated from streaming data that arrive sequentially over time. Moreover, data may depend on the decision of the time when…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Tianyi Liu , Yifan Lin , Enlu Zhou

Few Bayesian methods for analyzing high-dimensional sparse survival data provide scalable variable selection, effect estimation and uncertainty quantification. Such methods often either sacrifice uncertainty quantification by computing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-06 Michael Komodromos , Eric Aboagye , Marina Evangelou , Sarah Filippi , Kolyan Ray

We investigate the data distribution valuation problem, which aims to quantify the values of data distributions from their samples. This is a recently proposed problem that is related to but different from classical data valuation and can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Cuong N. Nguyen , Cuong V. Nguyen

Customer churn, the discontinuation of services by existing customers, poses a significant challenge to the telecommunications industry. This paper proposes a novel adaptive ensemble learning framework for highly accurate customer churn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Mohammed Affan Shaikhsurab , Pramod Magadum

As companies increase their efforts in retaining customers, being able to predict accurately ahead of time, whether a customer will churn in the foreseeable future is an extremely powerful tool for any marketing team. The paper describes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-14 Philip Spanoudes , Thomson Nguyen

It becomes a significant challenge to predict customer behavior and retain an existing customer with the rapid growth of digitization which opens up more opportunities for customers to choose from subscription-based products and services…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-03 Jitendra Maan , Harsh Maan

We study the approximate dynamic programming approach to revenue management in the context of attended home delivery. We draw on results from dynamic programming theory for Markov decision problems, convex optimisation and discrete convex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-18 Denis Lebedev , Paul Goulart , Kostas Margellos

Churn prediction, or the task of identifying customers who are likely to discontinue use of a service, is an important and lucrative concern of firms in many different industries. As these firms collect an increasing amount of large-scale,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-22 Muhammad R. Khan , Johua Manoj , Anikate Singh , Joshua Blumenstock

Complex network data problems are increasingly common in many fields of application. Our motivation is drawn from strategic marketing studies monitoring customer choices of specific products, along with co-subscription networks encoding…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-11 Daniele Durante , Sally Paganin , Bruno Scarpa , David B. Dunson

We present SDA-Bayes, a framework for (S)treaming, (D)istributed, (A)synchronous computation of a Bayesian posterior. The framework makes streaming updates to the estimated posterior according to a user-specified approximation batch…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-22 Tamara Broderick , Nicholas Boyd , Andre Wibisono , Ashia C. Wilson , Michael I. Jordan

The cloud computing is evolving as a key computing platform for sharing resources like infrastructure, platform, software etc. This has proven to be an essential requirement for extending many existing applications. Software as a service…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Mrs. Dhanamma Jagli , Sunita Mahajan , Dr. N. Subhash Chandra

Predicting keywords performance, such as number of impressions, click-through rate (CTR), conversion rate (CVR), revenue per click (RPC), and cost per click (CPC), is critical for sponsored search in the online advertising industry. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-10 Yuan Yuan , Xiaojing Dong , Chen Dong , Yiwen Sun , Zhenyu Yan , Abhishek Pani
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