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Traditional time series forecasting methods optimize for accuracy alone. This objective neglects temporal consistency, in other words, how consistently a model predicts the same future event as the forecast origin changes. We introduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Chutian Ma , Grigorii Pomazkin , Giacinto Paolo Saggese , Paul Smith

Numerous powerful point process models have been developed to understand temporal patterns in sequential data from fields such as health-care, electronic commerce, social networks, and natural disaster forecasting. In this paper, we develop…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-08-15 Yatao Zhong , Bicheng Xu , Guang-Tong Zhou , Luke Bornn , Greg Mori

We present Higher-Order Tensor RNN (HOT-RNN), a novel family of neural sequence architectures for multivariate forecasting in environments with nonlinear dynamics. Long-term forecasting in such systems is highly challenging, since there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Rose Yu , Stephan Zheng , Anima Anandkumar , Yisong Yue

High-frequency trading requires fast data processing without information lags for precise stock price forecasting. This high-paced stock price forecasting is usually based on vectors that need to be treated as sequential and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Adamantios Ntakaris , Moncef Gabbouj , Juho Kanniainen

Generation and load balance is required in the economic scheduling of generating units in the smart grid. Variable energy generations, particularly from wind and solar energy resources, are witnessing a rapid boost, and, it is anticipated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-07 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

Traffic learning and prediction is at the heart of the evaluation of the performance of telecommunications networks and attracts a lot of attention in wired broadband networks. Now, benefiting from the big data in cellular networks, it…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2017-03-29 Rongpeng Li , Zhifeng Zhao , Jianchao Zheng , Chengli Mei , Yueming Cai , Honggang Zhang

Time-series forecasting has been an important research domain for so many years. Its applications include ECG predictions, sales forecasting, weather conditions, even COVID-19 spread predictions. These applications have motivated many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Shruti Jadon , Jan Kanty Milczek , Ajit Patankar

Traditionally, weather predictions are performed with the help of large complex models of physics, which utilize different atmospheric conditions over a long period of time. These conditions are often unstable because of perturbations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 A H M Jakaria , Md Mosharaf Hossain , Mohammad Ashiqur Rahman

Wireless sensor networks (WSNs) are employed across a wide range of industrial applications where ultra-low power consumption is a critical prerequisite. At the same time, these systems must maintain a certain level of determinism to ensure…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Stefano Scanzio , Gabriele Formis , Tullio Facchinetti , Gianluca Cena

Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many domains. Boosted by the advances in Deep Learning algorithms, it has for instance been used to predict wind power for eolic energy production, stock market fluctuations, or motor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Luis P. Silvestrin , Leonardos Pantiskas , Mark Hoogendoorn

Modern Internet of Things (IoT) environments are monitored via a large number of IoT enabled sensing devices, with the data acquisition and processing infrastructure setting restrictions in terms of computational power and energy resources.…

Heat, Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems play a critical role in maintaining a comfortable thermal environment and cost approximately 40% of primary energy usage in the building sector. For smart energy management in buildings,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Dafang Zhao , Zheng Chen , Zhengmao Li , Xiaolei Yuan , Ittetsu Taniguchi

This paper proposes a spatiotemporal graph neural network-based performance prediction algorithm to address the challenge of forecasting performance fluctuations in distributed backend systems with multi-level service call structures. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Zhihao Xue , Yun Zi , Nia Qi , Ming Gong , Yujun Zou

This paper presents a new approach for predicting team performance from the behavioral traces of a set of agents. This spatiotemporal forecasting problem is very relevant to sports analytics challenges such as coaching and opponent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Shengnan Hu , Gita Sukthankar

Efficient and accurate incident prediction in spatio-temporal systems is critical to minimize service downtime and optimize performance. This work aims to utilize historic data to predict and diagnose incidents using spatio-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Shreshth Tuli , Matthew R. Wilkinson , Chris Kettell

The main contribution reported in the paper is a novel paradigm through which mobile cellular traffic forecasting is made substantially more accurate. Specifically, by incorporating freely available road metrics we characterise the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Natalia Vassileva Vesselinova

In recent years, several HPC facilities have started continuous monitoring of their systems and jobs to collect performance-related data for understanding performance and operational efficiency. Such data can be used to optimize the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Ian J. Costello , Abhinav Bhatele

Motivated by the prediction of cell loads in cellular networks, we formulate the following new, fundamental problem of statistical learning of geometric marks of point processes: An unknown marking function, depending on the geometry of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Antoine Brochard , Bartłomiej Błaszczyszyn , Stéphane Mallat , Sixin Zhang

Time series forecasting models have diverse real world applications (e.g., from electricity metrics to software workload). Latest foundational models trained for time series forecasting show strengths (e.g., for long sequences and in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Keun Soo Yim

A functional time series approach is proposed for investigating spatial correlation in daily maximum temperature forecast errors for 111 cities spread across the U.S. The modelling of spatial correlation is most fruitful for longer forecast…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-23 Phillip A. Jang , David S. Matteson