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Most of the methods that produce space weather forecasts are based on deterministic models. In order to generate a probabilistic forecast, a model needs to be run several times sampling the input parameter space, in order to generate an…

Space Physics · Physics 2019-05-01 Enrico Camporeale , Xiangning Chu , Oleksiy Agapitov , Jacob Bortnik

In engineering design, one often wishes to calculate the probability that the performance of a system is satisfactory under uncertainty. State of the art algorithms exist to solve this problem using active learning with Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Jonathan Sadeghi , Romain Mueller , John Redford

We consider the problem of planning a collision-free path of a robot in the presence of risk zones. The robot is allowed to travel in these zones but is penalized in a super-linear fashion for consecutive accumulative time spent there. We…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2017-03-10 Oren Salzman , Siddhartha Srinivasa

The goal of autonomous vehicles is to navigate public roads safely and comfortably. To enforce safety, traditional planning approaches rely on handcrafted rules to generate trajectories. Machine learning-based systems, on the other hand,…

This paper studies motion planning of a mobile robot under uncertainty. The control objective is to synthesize a {finite-memory} control policy, such that a high-level task specified as a Linear Temporal Logic (LTL) formula is satisfied…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Meng Guo , Michael M. Zavlanos

A large part of modern machine learning theory often involves computing the high-dimensional expected trace of a rational expression of large rectangular random matrices. To symbolically compute such quantities using free probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Arjun Subramonian , Elvis Dohmatob

Autonomous technology, which has become widespread today, appears in many different configurations such as mobile robots, manipulators, and drones. One of the most important tasks of these vehicles during autonomous operations is path…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Yafes Enes Şahiner , Esat Yusuf Gündoğdu , Volkan Sezer

Balancing safety and efficiency when planning in crowded scenarios with uncertain dynamics is challenging where it is imperative to accomplish the robot's mission without incurring any safety violations. Typically, chance constraints are…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Khaled A. Mustafa , Oscar de Groot , Xinwei Wang , Jens Kober , Javier Alonso-Mora

Quantifying and encoding occupants' preferences as an objective function for the tactical decision making of autonomous vehicles is a challenging task. This paper presents a low-complexity approach for lane-change initiation and planning to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Salar Arbabi , Shilp Dixit , Ziyao Zheng , David Oxtoby , Alexandros Mouzakitis , Saber Fallah

Agents are small programs that autonomously take actions based on changes in their environment or ``state.'' Over the last few years, there have been an increasing number of efforts to build agents that can interact and/or collaborate with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Juergen Dix , Mirco Nanni , VS Subrahmanian

We formalize the notion of nesting probabilistic programming queries and investigate the resulting statistical implications. We demonstrate that while query nesting allows the definition of models which could not otherwise be expressed,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-31 Tom Rainforth

Probabilistic programming has become a standard practice to model stochastic events and learn about the behavior of nature in different scientific contexts, ranging from Genetics and Ecology to Linguistics and Psychology. However, domain…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Guilherme Espada , Alcides Fonseca

Randomized optimization is an established tool for control design with modulated robustness. While for uncertain convex programs there exist randomized approaches with efficient sampling, this is not the case for non-convex problems.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-08 Sergio Grammatico , Xiaojing Zhang , Kostas Margellos , Paul Goulart , John Lygeros

In recent years the belief network has been used increasingly to model systems in Al that must perform uncertain inference. The development of efficient algorithms for probabilistic inference in belief networks has been a focus of much…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Peter Che , Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan , Martha Evens

Our paper deals with inferring simulator-based statistical models given some observed data. A simulator-based model is a parametrized mechanism which specifies how data are generated. It is thus also referred to as generative model. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-01 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

Deep neural networks has been increasingly applied in fault diagnostics, where it uses historical data to capture systems behavior, bypassing the need for high-fidelity physical models. However, despite their competence in prediction tasks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Arman Mohammadi , Mattias Krysander , Daniel Jung , Erik Frisk

In imitation learning, an agent learns how to behave in an environment with an unknown cost function by mimicking expert demonstrations. Existing imitation learning algorithms typically involve solving a sequence of planning or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Jonathan Ho , Jayesh K. Gupta , Stefano Ermon

We investigate the probabilistic feasibility of randomized solutions to two distinct classes of uncertain multi-agent optimization programs. We first assume that only the constraints of the program are affected by uncertainty, while the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-29 George Pantazis , Filiberto Fele , Kostas Margellos

Alignment algorithms usually rely on simplified models of gaps for computational efficiency. Based on an isomorphism between alignments and physical helix-coil models, we show in statistical mechanics that alignments with realistic laws for…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-26 E. Yeramian , E. Debonneuil

To mitigate risks from AI systems, we need to assess their capabilities accurately. This is especially difficult in cases where capabilities are only rarely displayed. Phuong et al. propose two methods that aim to obtain better estimates of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Axel Højmark , Govind Pimpale , Arjun Panickssery , Marius Hobbhahn , Jérémy Scheurer